Your numbers are off.
I think the RAND health insurance survey is the best number out there:
http://www.rand.org/blog/2014/04/sur...an-adults.html
Bullet points:
Bolding mine.
Two caveats:
1. There is a large margin of error on this survey, about 3.5 million. however, at worst, that still means a net gain of 5.8 million insured.
2. The survey did not capture the last minute enrollment surge at the end of March.
With that said, the marketplace enrollment statistic is not the only barometer of how successful the ACA will be in reducing the amount of uninsured. The increased enrollment in Medicaid and the increased enrollment in
employer-sponsored insurance (due to the mandate) have to be included as well.