2016 Election Prediction Thread

[Warriorbird]

My 50/50 Senate predictions were clearly generous. Will be interesting to see who got closest on the election itself.

[Tgo01]

538 had Trump at a 28.6% chance of winning 12 hours ago.

I so hope Trump wins now, if nothing else than to shut up that partisan hack once and for all.

[Gelston]

I want him to win for all the qq.

[macgyver]

Holy crap Virginia is tight... Never expected that.

[Gelston]

Virginia was called for Clinton, because Virginia is a northern state.

[Tgo01]

Holy crap Virginia is tight... Never expected that.

Rape culture!!!!

[Warriorbird]

Virginia was called for Clinton, because Virginia is a northern state.

The Deep South stays thirsty?

538 had Trump at a 28.6% chance of winning 12 hours ago.

I so hope Trump wins now, if nothing else than to shut up that partisan hack once and for all.

He shifted prediction models.

Expected electoral votes
Clinton Trump
276.6 260.7

[macgyver]

96% reporting Florida, Trump up 100k. Assume he wins Fl, take NC then this is possible. Wow, just wow.

Again,

> President Trump arrives.
smile
>You smile.

[DoctorUnne]

Betfair already like 4 to 1 Trump. Peso is down 9%. Seems close to over in favor of Trump

[Warriorbird]

Betfair already like 4 to 1 Trump. Peso is down 9%. Seems close to over in favor of Trump

I dunno. There's a lot of Western states and some unfinished Midwestern states. Seems like if Clinton wins it'll be far closer to my 270 call than the people who were declaring 330 though.