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    I've been mostly MIA for a week or so because of work, but let's jump right back into it, shall we?

    Quote Originally Posted by Latrinsorm View Post
    The same reasoning applies to car insurance, and it is just as incorrect there. You cannot foresee a car accident by ten years, or a tumor, or schizophrenia.
    This is the risk you take. Either pay for insurance, or pay for what happens. The fact is, statistically, most of is will not have anything catastrophically bad happen to us (medically) in the first 40 or so years of our life. Obviously we're taking a gamble with that, but playing the odds usually works out.

    This is a coherent theory, but one that does not turn out to match empirical data. Consider the report detailed in this article, for instance.
    Lol at a link to a Slate "journalist" who uses links to his own other articles and/or broken links that don't exist to back up his claims. Though I will give him credit for admitting "On average, the rejects were better off financially than people who were accepted". C'mon Latrin...usually when you give reference, it's somewhat reliable. I thought better of you.

    And if I could ask you this: what was your first instinct when presented with this?
    1. Look up the data you used to come to this belief in the first place.
    2. Look up data that supports your belief.
    3. Dismiss the data presented, or dismiss the concept of data in general.
    Don't know about anyone else, but my first instincts were to:

    1. Question the veracity of the claims, as any good scientist would.
    2. Do independent research.
    3. Form belief.

    In that order.

    People believing something does not make it true.
    QED.
    Last edited by Thondalar; 01-30-2014 at 05:29 PM.

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