Last edited by Gelston; 07-05-2022 at 05:37 PM.
Ceterum censeo Carthaginem esse delendam
They would still be selling oil at 130 dollars per barrel, how long that price would last would depend on a lot of factors. Even if companies started pumping out more oil and prices dropped to ONLY 120 dollars per barrel they would still be selling millions of barrels of more of oil per day at 120-130 dollars. Shit even 100 dollars per barrel is still a lot more than oil has been selling for during the Trump years.
But you really think all oil companies all over the world, from giant conglomerates to small mom and pop rigs that is in someone's backyard, they all got together and decided to sell LESS oil at historic high prices because they wanted to keep the price high?
Or is the much simpler explanation that governments all over the world have curtailed oil extraction over the past couple of decades?
Psst! It's the latter.
Last edited by Tgo01; 07-05-2022 at 05:53 PM.
It really depends on how the cost is absorbed. Commercial is always going to have to run, but the cost increase is going to pass on in other ways.
They are shooting themselves heavily in the foot though, this is pushing people a lot more toward hybrid/electric, even commercial. They have 700 mile electric trucks coming soon and a sedan full electric is coming out next model year starting at 30k.
Ceterum censeo Carthaginem esse delendam
This is another reason it doesn't make sense that oil companies are purposefully limiting production. There was already a big push towards electric and other alternative fuels for cars, having the price be this high is just gonna make the push that much bigger.
And it won't even require everyone to get into an electric vehicle, it would just require 10% of the miles driven being an electric vehicle to really lower oil prices.
Another way to look at this. Let's say an oil company is pumping out 1 million barrels per day and they bump that up 20% to 1.2 million barrels per day.
At 120 dollars per barrel and 1 million barrels per day they are making 120 million dollars a day.
At 100 dollars per barrel and 1.2 million barrels per day they are still making 120 million dollars a day.
Which means oil has to drop 17% before they are earning just as much at 1.2 million barrels per day compared to 1 million barrels per day.
It makes absolutely no sense for companies to purposefully not drill for more oil.
The only way these kind of price control schemes work is if everyone involved sticks to the plan, which is also known as a cartel, which is exactly what OPEC+ is, which is almost exclusively made up of our enemies. And rather than increasing competition to OPEC to counter their power, Western nations have decided to limit their ability to compete with OPEC+ and instead allow them to do pretty much whatever they want in the realm of energy production.