2016 Election Prediction Thread

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Originally Posted by Warriorbird

The markets sure don't seem to think so.

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They'll fix themselves. It is unexpected because people like Time4fun saw polls as infalliable.

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Originally Posted by time4fun

No it's not. And if you had been paying attention the last year, you'd realize that.

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I did, I saw a criminal constantly evading justice that would have seen anyone else arrested.

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Originally Posted by Dendum

Actually they are reporting that new york times upshot model is giving him a 55 percent chance

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Nah, 538 is giving him a 55% chance to win. It's on the right side of the main page.

The markets do not like surprises, that is why things are acting so oddly, it is a paper loss, it will all settle out no matter who wins.

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Originally Posted by DoctorUnne

Betfair already like 4 to 1 Trump. Peso is down 9%. Seems close to over in favor of Trump

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All that crap is basically polls in different form; and you know how accurate polls turned out to be.

This shit still isn't over anyways, simmer down.

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Originally Posted by kutter

The markets do not like surprises, that is why things are acting so oddly, it is a paper loss, it will all settle out no matter who wins.

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Originally Posted by Gelston

They'll fix themselves. It is unexpected because people like Time4fun saw polls as infalliable.

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Republicans are traditionally pretty terrible for the markets.

According to Jake Tapper the pollsters may have missed a few people this election cycle... You think??

Michigan and Wisconsin. It'll be interesting.

Even if Trump loses the current qq by Time4fun feeds me.