ClydeR
04-21-2011, 09:35 PM
As the member of this forum who most closely predicted the electoral vote in 2008, I am proud to be able to introduce the subject of 2012 electoral votes.
Political scientist Larry Sabato gets us started..
If you INCLUDE the “Leans” states with the “Likely” and “Safe,” the numbers are as follows:
247 Democratic EVs
180 Republican EVs
111 Undecided
If you DO NOT INCLUDE the “Leans” states, i.e., just counting “Likely” and “Safe,” the numbers are as follows:
196 Democratic EVs
170 Republican EVs
172 Undecided
With 270 needed for election, our Democratic readers will prefer the first tally, and our Republican readers the second. Indulge yourselves! As heated as the campaign will get, let’s remember to have fun along the way.
More... (http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/ljs2011042101/)
If the first set of numbers is right, then all Republicans have to do is turn Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, Ohio, Indiana and Iowa.
Political scientist Larry Sabato gets us started..
If you INCLUDE the “Leans” states with the “Likely” and “Safe,” the numbers are as follows:
247 Democratic EVs
180 Republican EVs
111 Undecided
If you DO NOT INCLUDE the “Leans” states, i.e., just counting “Likely” and “Safe,” the numbers are as follows:
196 Democratic EVs
170 Republican EVs
172 Undecided
With 270 needed for election, our Democratic readers will prefer the first tally, and our Republican readers the second. Indulge yourselves! As heated as the campaign will get, let’s remember to have fun along the way.
More... (http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/ljs2011042101/)
If the first set of numbers is right, then all Republicans have to do is turn Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, Ohio, Indiana and Iowa.