Nov 4/5 Your Electoral Prediction [Archive] - The Gemstone IV Players' Corner

ElanthianSiren

11-01-2008, 03:58 PM

Obama 278
McCain 233

Generally, I just gave all the states where Obama isn't above McCain by at least 10% in preliminary polling to McCain and took out Pennsylvania for Obama.

Kranar

11-01-2008, 04:03 PM

Obama 353 McCain 185

Stanley Burrell

11-01-2008, 04:06 PM

Obama 9,000,000
McCain -3

Da Bears.

Mighty Nikkisaurus

11-01-2008, 04:12 PM

Obama 353 McCain 185

That's mine too.

Kefka

11-01-2008, 04:50 PM

Arizona Polls

Republican Democrat Others Pollster Dates MoE

McCain 48% Obama 47% other 3% Research 2000 10/28-30/08 4%

McCain 50% Obama 46% other 1% American Research Group 10/28-30/08 4%

That's how bad it looks.

Tsa`ah

11-01-2008, 05:06 PM

Texas and Alaska will be the only states touching an ocean, or surrounding the gulf, to go for McCain. Nothing around the Great Lakes, and only 3 states, of the lower 48, that make contact with Canada.

He'll carry the landlocked southern states east of the Mississippi, and only one state (AR) that contacts the Mississippi, from there he'll carry everything else westward (not touching an ocean) with the exceptions of NV, CO and NM. And he'll get one electoral from ME.

Obama 421, McCain 117.

Daniel

11-01-2008, 05:12 PM

Obama 9-6 in a hard fought defensive struggle.

Hecates

11-01-2008, 05:30 PM

mc cain by 8%

Numbers

11-01-2008, 06:31 PM

Obama by rock over scissor.

Renian

11-01-2008, 06:59 PM

Obama 344, McCain 194.

...Though I hack. http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/

Mighty Nikkisaurus

11-01-2008, 07:04 PM

Obama 344, McCain 194.

...Though I hack. http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/

Information 538 compiled was what I mostly used to get my predictions.

Gan

11-01-2008, 08:00 PM

Obama by a nose.

Hulkein

11-02-2008, 08:36 AM

I think Obama will win either Florida or Ohio and that'll be it for McCain. No late night return watching this year.

crb

11-02-2008, 12:56 PM

Obama will win popular vote. McCain will squeak by an electoral college win. LA will burn.

Warriorbird

11-02-2008, 12:58 PM

And a few brave white men, lead by crb, will fight to reclaim the city!

... oh wait... this isn't 'The Turner Diaries'... it is the PC!

Valthissa

11-02-2008, 01:13 PM

My best guess is 292-245 Obama, but it may not be that close.

C/Valth

FNLN

11-02-2008, 01:52 PM

Don't really care who it is. Either one will fuck it up because they're still playing retarded partisan politics.

To expand on this.

It will be more of the same short term thinking that's plagued nearly every administration. They're more concerned about getting reelected instead of actually fixing anything so they'll trot out some glamorous "new" project make a lot of mouth noises and the American public will eat it up. Or at least those that voted for the retard.

The other side will raise a stink, bitch and moan about the guy in office and when they get a shot at the big seat they'll do the same bullshit.

Stanley Burrell

11-02-2008, 03:28 PM

Don't really care who it is. Either one will fuck it up because they're still playing retarded partisan politics.

This is all Thomas Jefferson's fault for starting the Democrat-Republican party. Bipartisan pandering bastard.

Oh. My. God. Forums on the Internet make me not productive moreso than is my standard medium. Penis.

Is "moreso" one or two words? Feck.

Warriorbird

11-02-2008, 03:30 PM

I'm going with 291-247.

Moist Happenings

11-02-2008, 03:46 PM

Obama 352 McCain 185 Zombie Paul 1

Atlanteax

11-02-2008, 03:48 PM

McCain wins ... 274 - 264

TheRoseLady

11-02-2008, 04:22 PM

Obama 338 McCain 200

ClydeR

11-02-2008, 04:26 PM

Obama 357, including FL, OH, NC, VA, CO, IA, NM, NV, ND and Omaha
McCain 181

So says Clyde.

Renian

11-03-2008, 04:44 AM

Wow. Clyder's more in touch with reality than I thought.

Kembal

11-03-2008, 11:48 AM

The persona behind Clyde just predicted a landslide. Damn.

I'm not that confident. I'm going with Obama holding all Kerry States + NM, CO, IA, VA, and NV. 291-247.

ClydeR

11-03-2008, 12:03 PM

Does the person with the correct prediction get a prize?

Renian

11-03-2008, 04:17 PM

They get an internet.

Faent

11-03-2008, 04:50 PM

Obama: 353-185

Crazy Bard

11-03-2008, 04:58 PM

Obama: 336 - 202

You heard it first.

Mabus

11-03-2008, 05:05 PM

Reagan 525
Mondale 13

oldanforgotten

11-03-2008, 05:36 PM

Obama 311
McCain 227

Popular Vote 52-47 Obama

Jorddyn

11-03-2008, 05:46 PM

Well, I just used Fox News's and got 421 Obama - 194 McCain based on what I picked. I'm going to go out on a limb and say that is NOT going to happen.

diethx

11-03-2008, 07:39 PM

Well, I just used Fox News's and got 421 Obama - 194 McCain based on what I picked. I'm going to go out on a limb and say that is NOT going to happen.

Isn't the total 538? 421+194 = 615 = ???

Cephalopod

11-03-2008, 10:32 PM

Due to overconfidence, I predict McCain will win by a landslide.

Jorddyn

11-03-2008, 10:55 PM

Isn't the total 538? 421+194 = 615 = ???

Um, yea, that was kinda my point :)

diethx

11-04-2008, 02:14 AM

Um, yea, that was kinda my point :)

Oh. I thought you were saying there was no way Obama would win by such a landslide. MAI BAD. :)

Goldenranger

11-04-2008, 02:19 AM

373 Obama 165 McCain

Moist Happenings

11-04-2008, 02:38 AM

Isn't not being able to count the number of votes the same problem we had last election? I thought we fixed that.

ClydeR

11-05-2008, 08:04 AM

Now that Missouri has finally counted its votes, we can announce who is the smartest person in this forum on politics.

I've gone through all of the posted predictions and have found the two people who got the closest. Imagine my lack of surprise when I discovered that I was the winner with my amazingly close call. Goldenranger has the honor of being the runner up.

It's official. I am the most knowledgeable person here about politics. But I'm not going to make a big deal out of it. :)

With that triumph under my belt, I think I'll go on a well deserved vacation.

Parkbandit

11-05-2008, 08:27 AM

DeV

11-05-2008, 08:43 AM

Welcome back Latrinesorm.Seriously. We know it's you already...

Sean of the Thread

11-05-2008, 08:43 AM

Kranar wins this pool. He came the closest.

Obama 353 McCain 185

Parkbandit

11-05-2008, 08:48 AM

Seriously. We know it's you already...

Who's "We"?

Clearly you haven't been following ClydeR very closely. Like I stated months ago, he/she's clearly a liberal who is trying to portray a right wing nut.

I'm far from a liberal.

DeV

11-05-2008, 10:21 AM

Like I stated months ago, he/she's clearly a liberal who is trying to portray a right wing nut.Clearly, you misunderstood the fact that I was agreeing with you.

I think it's Latrinsorm who I've often regarded as being conflicted, although I believe it to be him based not only on his views but more so his posting style.

Gan

11-05-2008, 10:24 AM

I think it's Latrinsorm who I've often regarded as being conflicted, although I believe it to be him based not only on his views but more so his posting style.
x2

Mighty Nikkisaurus

11-05-2008, 10:41 AM

Kranar wins this pool. He came the closest.

Obama 353 McCain 185

ME TOO.

And the real winner is really 538.com in my case, heh, since it was their polling that I used.

Gan

11-05-2008, 10:42 AM

So which poll was the most accurate this election?

Last election it was the TIPP poll.

Mighty Nikkisaurus

11-05-2008, 10:47 AM

So which poll was the most accurate this election?

Last election it was the TIPP poll.

I think fivethirtyeight.com was one of the most accurate, if you count all the polls taken during the primary battle between Obama and Clinton, because of it's style of combining other polls and adjusting the weighting and such.

I think Quinnipiac and Gallup both were pretty accurate as well.