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View Full Version : Early voting suggests 2008 may see record turnout



Daniel
10-21-2008, 05:00 PM
There have been a lot of questions about whether or not Obama could translate his popularity into actual votes...

This doesn't look like a good sign for McCain.

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WASHINGTON (CNN) -- Officials in early voting states are reporting record turnout with Election Day still two weeks away.


Voters line up Monday in Fort Lauderdale, Florida, to cast their ballots early.

The numbers indicate a record percentage of voters could participate in the presidential election, a voting expert said.

Michael McDonald, an associate professor of politics and government at George Mason University, said at least 2.2 million people already have voted using absentee or other types of ballots that allow them to vote before the polls open on November 4.

Twenty-nine states were accepting early ballots as of Tuesday, and two more -- New Jersey and Oklahoma -- will begin accepting early ballots next week.

In North Carolina, which has developed into a battleground state, nearly 500,000 voters have cast absentee ballots, according to the State Board of Elections. Officials at the State Board of Elections expect to surpass numbers from the 2004 election, when 700,000 people voted early.

Fifty-six percent, of those voting early in North Carolina were Democrats, while 28 percent were Republicans and 16 percent were not registered as a member of a party, the elections board said.

Officials in Houston, Texas, said more than 39,000 people voted on the first day of early voting Monday, nearly double the amount for the initial day in 2004, CNN affiliate KHOU-TV in Houston reported.

Early voting has also begun in the critical battleground states of Florida, Colorado, Ohio, Nevada and Virginia.

A record numbers of voters lined up to vote when Florida opened its early voting stations Monday, with some waiting hours to cast their ballots. The early polling stations will remain open until the weekend before Election Day.


Jennifer Davis, spokeswoman for the Florida secretary of state's office, said several counties are reporting numbers far exceeding the 2004 turnout.

In Sarasota County, 4,700 people cast ballots Monday, compared with 2,088 on the first day four years ago, Davis said, leading officials there to believe that half the county's ballots could be cast before November 4.

In Martin, St. Lucie and Indian River counties, 6,688 people already had opted for early voting, compared with 1,088 on the first day in 2004.

The Jacksonville Times-Union reported long lines in northeast Florida, with at least two counties reporting problems with voting machines. In Duval County, 7 of 15 optical scanning machines used to count ballots had to be replaced, the newspaper reported. Watch as early voters face long lines in Florida »

The number of voters who already have cast their ballots could be much higher, McDonald said, because many states have not reported the number of ballots they have received so far.

Early voting suggests a record 213 million people are eligible to vote this year, said McDonald, who also works with the consortium that conducts election exit polling for broadcast and news networks.

"This will be the election in which the most people have ever voted in an American election in the history of our country," he said.

McDonald said early voting is often a good prediction of the level of turnout on Election Day, and heavy early voting indicates the turnout this year will exceed the 60 percent turnout in the 2004 election.

"We have a very good chance of beating the 64 percent turnout in the 1960 election," McDonald said. "We really could be looking at a historic election in modern American history."

That race saw the highest level of turnout in American history, except the 66 percent turnout in the 1908 presidential election.

McDonald pointed to the record number of early votes already cast in Georgia as an example of the high interest in the race.

More than 690,000 Georgians already have voted, more than the entire number that cast ballots before Election Day in 2004, McDonald said. That figure represents nearly 21 percent of all the 3.3 million presidential votes cast in 2004, he said.

"If we see this persist across all states, we really could be in for an election of historic proportions," McDonald said.

Of Georgians who voted early, a majority, 56 percent, were women, according to the Georgia secretary of state's office. About 60 percent of those voting were white, while 35 percent voting early were black, the office said.

Turnout was so heavy in Charlotte, North Carolina, that Mecklenburg County officials are extending voting hours and opening 20 voting sites this weekend instead of the originally planned five, WSOC-TV in Charlotte reported.

Like Georgia, a majority of those voting early in North Carolina -- 56 percent -- were women, the election board said. The board also reported that 68 percent of those voting early were white, while 28 percent were black.

When early voting began in Virginia last Wednesday, election officials in Mason District, in the northern Virginian county of Fairfax, had to turn their largest meeting room into a seating area to handle the number of voters wanting to cast early ballots.

"We needed to have enough room for people, so they wouldn't go into the parking lot," Supervisor Penny Gross said.


Gross said she had expected large numbers because "I had people in my office for weeks, asking if they could vote," but said even she was caught off guard by the turnout.

"I was pleasantly surprised by the crowd, surprised at the variety and quite frankly, the numbers," she said.

Moist Happenings
10-21-2008, 05:11 PM
I think this kind of early turnout is because at this point in the race one side cannot even fathom how anyone could vote for the other side because they are so incredibly different fundamentally now. If you look at past elections, there are many you'll find where the differences of opinion on a large number of topics have been much less significant than they are here. Obama's definitely got a significant lead right now, but there are enough people out there that are so die-hard McCain that I think it scares a lot of people. Scares them enough that there are these people out there that might just win out that they ABSOLUTELY must get there and cast their vote.

I'm sure the same point stands for many McCain supporters. They absolutely cannot fathom how anyone could vote for Obama. Whether it's because they think he's a terrorist, or they think he's a communist, or they just don't agree with his ideas, they just can't understand.

In past elections I could see merit in both sides. In this one, I started out for McCain (after Hillary was knocked out), and slowly but surely got turned to the other side. I turned because of how he's running his campaign, and his stances on a large number of topics, which might I add are not nearly as moderate conservative as he claimed to be during the primaries.

Gan
10-21-2008, 07:03 PM
I voted today.

I voted for McCain.

Durgrimst
10-21-2008, 07:06 PM
Didn't this happen last election, with a bunch of celebrities like Paris Hilton and others doing huge 'Get out and vote' concerts and events and then the celebrities never voted, while the news media kept saying that it was going to be a record number of voters from the ages of 18-25 and it also didn't work out that way either?

Gan
10-21-2008, 07:12 PM
Didn't this happen last election, with a bunch of celebrities like Paris Hilton and others doing huge 'Get out and vote' concerts and events and then the celebrities never voted, while the news media kept saying that it was going to be a record number of voters from the ages of 18-25 and it also didn't work out that way either?

This time it will be different. Promise!

Durgrimst
10-21-2008, 07:13 PM
I'm not saying it won't, I just love it when things like this are predicted multiple elections in a row and they were wrong the previous times.

Inspire
10-21-2008, 07:48 PM
I think another difference in this election is that people like one or the other.

In the last election nobody really liked either person.

Crazy Bard
10-21-2008, 07:55 PM
I voted today.

I voted for McCain.

Your vote doesn't matter.

crb
10-22-2008, 09:37 AM
I don't think this is a sign of higher than normal turnout, or atleast significantly so (it'll be higher, for sure).

I think rather this is a sign of enthusiasm. People really want to vote, they vote early, but the early voters are less people that'll be voting on election day.