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Kefka
05-14-2008, 11:01 AM
In a major blow to national Republicans, a Mississippi congressional seat that once voted for President Bush by a twenty-five point margin elected a Democrat on Tuesday. Prentiss County Chancery Clerk Travis Childers beat out Republican candidate Greg Davis, the mayor of Southaven, by a 54%-46% margin, a spread that several Republican strategists on Capitol Hill characterized as a startling wake-up call for a party in dire straits.

Voters cast ballots for the fourth time in three months for the seat, vacated when Republican Roger Wicker was appointed to fill the remainder of Senator Trent Lott's term. After winning the primary and the runoff election, Childers came within 410 votes of winning the first round of the special election against Davis on April 22, beating the Republican by a 49%-46% margin.

Last night, Childers, a conservative Democrat, again outperformed Davis in many rural counties. Childers did better than in April in eighteen out of twenty four counties, while he underperformed in just two counties. Childers held steady in three of the remaining counties, while Winston County produced just ten votes. Most importantly, Childers held firm in Lee County, the district's largest and home to Tupelo, winning 58% of the vote, while improving his showing in DeSoto County, Davis's home field. Childers won 25% of the vote in DeSoto County, better than his anemic 17% showing in April.

The results came despite national Republican efforts aimed at winning the seat. Senators Thad Cochran and Roger Wicker, former Senator Trent Lott and Governor Haley Barbour campaigned hard for Davis. On Monday, perhaps as an unfortunate measure of how Republican the district really is, Vice President Dick Cheney held a rally for Davis. Closing the gap in DeSoto County, said Childers pollster John Anzalone, was crucial. "All we were looking to do was to cut the margins there," he said.


http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2008/05/gop_stunned_by_loss_in_mississ.html

Gan
05-14-2008, 12:38 PM
So does that mean the GOP sucks or does the candidate (Davis) sucks?

I cant correlate how losing 1 seat, even in a backwoods bible belt district, can mean the GOP is in dire straits.

:nutty:

Kefka
05-14-2008, 12:53 PM
So does that mean the GOP sucks or does the candidate (Davis) sucks?

I cant correlate how losing 1 seat, even in a backwoods bible belt district, can mean the GOP is in dire straits.

:nutty:

It's the third seat lost in strong GOP districts in the past 60 days. This last one went heavily for Bush in 2004. If this is the trend, what once was red might now be purple states. I also heard it's the third time they ran ads linking the candidate to Obama.

cizzymac
05-14-2008, 01:01 PM
The RNC must be shitting bricks after this turn of events. An R+10 district elected a Democrat by 8 points. In the end, what likely killed the conservative's chances was Dick Cheney campaigning there the last day and the huge mistake of attempting to link the Democratic candidate to Barack Obama.

Assuming Obama wins the nomination, this does not bode well for Republicans in open races down the ticket.

Hulkein
05-14-2008, 01:45 PM
It's the third seat lost in strong GOP districts in the past 60 days. This last one went heavily for Bush in 2004. If this is the trend, what once was red might now be purple states. I also heard it's the third time they ran ads linking the candidate to Obama.

They are losing to conservative Democrats. Obama and Hillary are not conservative Democrats. I don't think it means much in the general election.