What Are the Swing States in 2020?

[ClydeR]

Realclearpolitics.com (https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/trump-vs-biden-top-battleground-states/) has a list, with recent poll averages, of 6 battleground states..

Arizona
Florida
Michigan
North Carolina
Pennsylvania
Wisconsin
They need to update their list. Michigan? Really?

Fivethirtheight.com (https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/) has a forecast page that lists the 9 closest states, updated at least daily..

Arizona
Florida
Georgia
Iowa
North Carolina
Ohio
Pennsylvania
Texas
Wisconsin
The snake chart on Fivethirtheight.com is an excellent way to take in the status of the race with a quick glance.

CNN's electoral vote map (https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/electoral-college-interactive-maps) shows 6 battleground states, and they're not the same 6 as Realclearpolitics.com..

Arizona
Florida
Georgia
North Carolina
Ohio
Wisconsin

All three sources agree that the following 4 are swing states..

Arizona
Florida
North Carolina
Wisconsin

I'm not sure how they draw those conclusions. Every recent poll has given Biden a much bigger lead in Wisconsin than Trump has in Texas, where the polls are basically a dead heat. Yet Wisconsin is considered a swing state, and Texas is not. Texas is one of the closest states in the country. It should be on every list.

Here is something fun. If Trump wins all four of the agreed upon swing states, and the other states go based on recent polling -- Ohio and Georgia to Trump and Pennsylvania to Biden -- then the electoral vote count will be 268 to Biden and 268 to Trump, leaving Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District and Maine's 2nd Congressional District to decide. If those two districts split their votes, then it will be 269 to 269. In case of an electoral vote tie, the House of Representatives gets to decide the winner. But it's not a vote of all House members. Instead, it is one vote per state. And it is decided by the newly elected House that will take over in January, not the House members currently in office. In the event of an electoral vote tie, the House would probably give it the Republican because there are more states with Republican members of the House. The VP is decided by the Senate. It would be possible to have a President from one party and a VP from the other.

[Keller]

Interesting to see how far Arizona is swinging toward Biden.

Recent polling has shown Trump losing ground with voters over the age of 65. I wonder if that explains the shift.

[Taernath]

Interesting to see how far Arizona is swinging toward Biden.

Recent polling has shown Trump losing ground with voters over the age of 65. I wonder if that explains the shift.

It's been a long time in the making and you can thank a slew of absolute clowns like Arpaio, McSally, and Ducey. Arpaio The Racist Sheriff cost the state ~150 million dollars in lawsuit settlements, McSally The Unelected Senator is running a confused, negative campaign with no platform beyond being pro-Trump, and Ducey The Incompetent Governor bungled the coronavirus response turning us into an infection hotspot.

I will lol long and hard if we go full blue in November.

[Parkbandit]

One issue is the stupidity of the liberal voter. They flee states like NY, NJ and CA because of high taxes, high crime and high costs of living and move to blue states... then vote the same way they did in the cesspool states they are fleeing.

[~Rocktar~]

One issue is the stupidity of the liberal voter. They flee states like NY, NJ and CA because of high taxes, high crime and high costs of living and move to blue states... then vote the same way they did in the cesspool states they are fleeing.

This is correct.

[Voldemort]

One issue is the stupidity of the liberal voter. They flee states like NY, NJ and CA because of high taxes, high crime and high costs of living and move to blue states... then vote the same way they did in the cesspool states they are fleeing.

NY NJ Cali? states that prop up 90% of the US economy Alex. Oh well Apple isn’t in these shithole oh wait... it’s in Cali. But! But but Tesla is in... oh that’s right in Cali. SpaceX? Cali... Netflix? Google? heck fucking HBO? yeah in Cali. Ok.. what about the seat of money and finance? Wall Street? oh right... New York.

The hottest girls, best quality of living including healthcare, intellectuals and people with the highest IQ live in the most liberal parts of the country? Why? WHY?!

[Parkbandit]

NY NJ Cali? states that prop up 90% of the US economy Alex. Oh well Apple isn’t in these shithole oh wait... it’s in Cali. But! But but Tesla is in... oh that’s right in Cali. SpaceX? Cali... Netflix? Google? heck fucking HBO? yeah in Cali. Ok.. what about the seat of money and finance? Wall Street? oh right... New York.

The hottest girls, best quality of living including healthcare, intellectuals and people with the highest IQ live in the most liberal parts of the country? Why? WHY?!

But you live in SF in an apartment you can't afford.

What are retards living in SF for $100 Alex?

[Realk]

Just swung by to say that hottest girls isn't a good decision factor for living... and it certainly doe not mean that they are smart, wise or anything otherwise... but we all know Texas esp. DFW has a major swimming pool of hot womens.

[time4fun]

One issue is the stupidity of the liberal voter. They flee states like NY, NJ and CA because of high taxes, high crime and high costs of living and move to blue states... then vote the same way they did in the cesspool states they are fleeing.

If you're looking for an example of stupid voters, imagine voters who supported someone who was endlessly flattering to dictators, authorized state-sponsored violence against peaceful protesters and also unleashed state forces to "preemptively" arrest others without charges, intentionally politicized a pandemic that has cost over 200,000 American lives, used the government's Dept of Justice to attack political enemies and play favorites with his personal friends, who refuses to protect the election system from foreign attacks because he thinks it favors him if he doesn't, who attacks the integrity of his own country's voting system, who unleashes political pressure on the government's medical regulatory agency to get them to do things that are against the law and dangerous to his citizens, and who tries to black mail foreign allies into influencing our elections and launching fake investigations against political rivals. Now imagine those same voters are so incredibly deluded that they actually think he's trying to protect their Democracy. Ooof THAT would be stupid.

[Voldemort]

Just swung by to say that hottest girls isn't a good decision factor for living... and it certainly doe not mean that they are smart, wise or anything otherwise... but we all know Texas esp. DFW has a major swimming pool of hot womens.

All hot women need to do is make those anguished moaning noises as they punish themselves on my 8 inch steel-engorged cock. Brains not needed.

[Parkbandit]

All hot women need to do is make those anguished moaning noises as they punish themselves on my 8 inch steel-engorged cock. Brains not needed.

2 things.

I thought you were into dudes? What was that whole "I wanna do gay porn for a living" all about?

What's "steel-engorged"? Are you saying you have a prosthetic penis?

[Furryrat]

NY NJ Cali? states that prop up 90% of the US economy Alex. Oh well Apple isn’t in these shithole oh wait... it’s in Cali. But! But but Tesla is in... oh that’s right in Cali. SpaceX? Cali... Netflix? Google? heck fucking HBO? yeah in Cali. Ok.. what about the seat of money and finance? Wall Street? oh right... New York.

Funny how most of those names paid little to no federal tax FY2018. Tesla is only profitable on paper due to purchasing carbon offsets. California was first in line for federal funding for their unemployment program due to the pandemic, and how much aid is NY crying for? 90% of the economy? Nope, they are both well in the red, dude. Alex, the Canadian, would say about 1/3 in revenues during good times, yes. Texas and Florida combined contribute significantly more than NY and both are of far more economic value than New Jersey.

[Parkbandit]

If you're looking for an example of stupid voters, imagine voters who supported someone who was endlessly flattering to dictators, authorized state-sponsored violence against peaceful protesters and also unleashed state forces to "preemptively" arrest others without charges, intentionally politicized a pandemic that has cost over 200,000 American lives, used the government's Dept of Justice to attack political enemies and play favorites with his personal friends, who refuses to protect the election system from foreign attacks because he thinks it favors him if he doesn't, who attacks the integrity of his own country's voting system, who unleashes political pressure on the government's medical regulatory agency to get them to do things that are against the law and dangerous to his citizens, and who tries to black mail foreign allies into influencing our elections and launching fake investigations against political rivals. Now imagine those same voters are so incredibly deluded that they actually think he's trying to protect their Democracy. Ooof THAT would be stupid.

Then why are they fleeing these liberal cesspool states?

Andraste.. you aren't good at being a GM (which is why you got fired) and you aren't very good at debating facts.

Maybe you should stick to just pretending you have a flat stomach with a bellybutton ring.

[Ashlander]

2 things.

I thought you were into dudes? What was that whole "I wanna do gay porn for a living" all about?

What's "steel-engorged"? Are you saying you have a prosthetic penis?

I think he's saying his dick is pierced....or that he can only get an erection with a catheter shoved in....

[Parkbandit]

I think he's saying his dick is pierced....or that he can only get an erection with a catheter shoved in....

Probably the catheter thing since he claimed he's into dudes. He probably can't get an erection around a female without an aid.