2016 Election Prediction Thread

[macgyver]

>President Trump just arrived.
smile
>You smile.

[ClydeR]

So going by the latest polls where Trump is either leading or is within the margin of error things COULD look like this...



I'm not saying this is gonna happen...but this election sure as shit isn't a sure thing for Hillary anymore.

I already told you that Trump cannot win Nevada. It's almost like you're disagreeing with me.

You can still make your map work if you give him New Hampshire. Although it won't affect the outcome of the election, don't forget that Maine splits its electoral votes, and Trump might get one electoral vote in ME-2, which is much more likely than his winning either New Hampshire or Nevada. 270towin.com allows you to split Maine and Nebraska.

[Tgo01]

I already told you that Trump cannot win Nevada. It's almost like you're disagreeing with me.

You can still make your map work if you give him New Hampshire. Although it won't affect the outcome of the election, don't forget that Maine splits its electoral votes, and Trump might get one electoral vote in ME-2, which is much more likely than his winning either New Hampshire or Nevada. 270towin.com allows you to split Maine and Nebraska.

Your face is ugly.

[ClydeR]

Your face is ugly.

This is definitely NOT my prediction. It's just a two changes from Tgo01's map. I switched Nevada's 6 votes to Clinton and ME-2's 1 vote to Trump. It shows a scenario in which Maine's vote splitting would give the election to Trump, which is who will win if there is a tie.

[Androidpk]

Nice prediction, ClydeR.

[Gelston]

Trump would win under that projection.

[ClydeR]

Trump would win under that projection.

Make one more switch by giving Clinton 1 electoral vote in NE-2, and we're back to a Clinton victory. Obama won NE-2 in 2008 but not 2012. The big problem for Trump on all of these maps is that he has to win every close state. Fail in just one and Clinton wins. Colorado, North Carolina, Florida and Ohio. Clinton is very likely to win two of those and more likely than not to win a third.

[Tgo01]

Make one more switch by giving Clinton 1 electoral vote in NE-2, and we're back to a Clinton victory. Obama won NE-2 in 2008 but not 2012. The big problem for Trump on all of these maps is that he has to win every close state. Fail in just one and Clinton wins. Colorado, North Carolina, Florida and Ohio. Clinton is very likely to win two of those and more likely than not to win a third.

Clyder why do you let your wannabe Stephen Colbert persona drop from time to time and become your obvious liberal hack self? Why not just hop on your Latrin account when you want to do that?

[macgyver]

Election won't end Tuesday. I see Trump winning the popular and Clinton getting the electoral college vote. May end up going tobthe courts again. Definitely won't end Tuesday.

[Gelston]

Election won't end Tuesday. I see Trump winning the popular and Clinton getting the electoral college vote. May end up going tobthe courts again. Definitely won't end Tuesday.

Um, if Clinton gets the Electorals, it is over.