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Thread: Don’t believe the polls - Trump is winning

  1. #1

    Default Don’t believe the polls - Trump is winning

    It’s because people are skeptical when asked directly about who they’re voting for, especially Trump voters.

    https://thehill.com/opinion/campaign...ning-bigly?amp

  2. #2

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    Skeptical or secretive?

  3. #3

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    This article was terribly reasoned. Trump still could very well win (~10% chance), but the arguments here are so beyond speculative, they're just laughable. "Research shows that the wording of questions can affect responses!" Yeah, someone call the entire polling industry and let them know about this hugely important new discovery. And they ignore important counter-evidence. "People don't like confrontation!" Correct, but there's no significant difference between Trump support in live caller polls vs online polls, which kind of kills that entire point.

    It's just a silly article.

  4. #4

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    Yeah. It’s the sort of terribly reasoned piece that ends up becoming a GRE “Analyze This Argument” question for wannabe grad students to tear apart.
    Last edited by BriarFox; 10-30-2020 at 09:46 PM.
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  5. #5
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    Quote Originally Posted by time4fun View Post
    This article was terribly reasoned. Trump still could very well win (~10% chance), but the arguments here are so beyond speculative, they're just laughable. "Research shows that the wording of questions can affect responses!" Yeah, someone call the entire polling industry and let them know about this hugely important new discovery. And they ignore important counter-evidence. "People don't like confrontation!" Correct, but there's no significant difference between Trump support in live caller polls vs online polls, which kind of kills that entire point.

    It's just a silly article.
    Hi.

    Remember that time when you were completely and utterly wrong back in 2016?

  6. #6

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    Quote Originally Posted by Fortybox View Post
    Hi.

    Remember that time when you were completely and utterly wrong back in 2016?
    Make Shattered a $5 stand-alone subscription

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