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I told you they would likely bank around an additional 30k dem ballot edge off of Broward and Miami-Dade on Sunday alone, and you went bonkers saying it was impossible to know that. (I was right)
And now you're ranting about the correlation between early voting and final count for reasons that are unclear to everyone.
I get why you like Trump. You two argue the same way.
God damn you back peddle so fast I'm surprised you haven't time traveled to the year 1800 yet.Quote:
Originally Posted by time4fun
You didn't say they would "likely" bank 30k votes, you stated it as a fact and you heavily implied this translated into a 30k vote advantage for Hillary. And I didn't say it was "impossible to know that", I asked how could you arrive at that conclusion based on the information you provided, because your train of thought made exactly zero sense. You didn't provide any information other than 100k people voted in two counties and these counties with 61-67% for Obama in 2012. Okay, that's great. Were most of these 100k people Republicans? Independents? Democrats?
And stop patting yourself on the back so much for supposedly being "right", spout off enough nonsensical crazy bullshit and you're bound to be right once in a while, doesn't change the fact that most of what you spew is stupid bullshit.
Even your idol Nate Silver said Democrats relied too much on early voting and the numbers polled higher in 2014 and they ended up getting "wiped out" as he put it. But I guess Nate Silver's opinion only matters when he's saying Democrats are going to win everything easily, right?Quote:
Originally Posted by time4fun
Backs for sale here! Get your backs for sale here cheap!
And I quote:
So you can go shave your back now.Quote:
Miami-Dade and Broward both had record turnout today- combined approximately 100,000 people voted today. Both counties went for Obama by 61-67% in 2012, which means Dems are looking at banking about another 30,000 vote advantage today, not counting the rest of the counties.
Bye Jason.
:rofl:Quote:
Originally Posted by time4fun
What do you think you just proved here?
How far ahead was Obama in early voting in 2012?Quote:
Originally Posted by time4fun
Quote:
Originally Posted by ClydeR
Very interesting. It shows what we would have expected. Ohio and Iowa are very close. Clinton is leading comfortably in Colorado and Florida, both of which have large percentages of the vote completed. She is also leading comfortably in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Nevada, but those states have a lower percentage of votes completed and could easily change. Iowa and Ohio are very tight. Clinton is up by one percentage point in Ohio, and Trump is up by one percentage point in Iowa. Both Iowa and Ohio have more than 40% of their vote still to go. No good numbers from New Hampshire.
You can view county level maps, if you want, but you would need to know something about each state to make sense of the numbers.
If Clinton really does end up only at 58% in Miami-Dade, that could be a problem for her. She should be getting at least 61-62. If Miami-Dade ends up more than 2% higher than that, she's probably got Florida in the bag. If Miami-Dade goes 2-3% lower than that, Trump probably has Florida.
Trump is on Fox News already referencing made up stories of voter fraud from today's voting, and he's getting aggressive about not being willing to commit to accepting the outcome.
This is going to be ugly. He's such a child, and he'll happily drag peoples' faith in democracy down so he doesn't have to admit a loss.
They have some numbers from New Hampshire now. It shows Clinton up by 4 percentage points, but with less than 50% of the votes in. There's a lot of heroin addicts in that state and they probably won't show up to vote until late.