Latrinsorm
07-04-2013, 05:32 PM
I have previously discussed the concept of MVP Shares (http://www.basketball-reference.com/leaders/mvp_shares.html), and in keeping with my socialist republican shtick I thought I would introduce the same analysis to the Defensive Player of the Year award. A brief history:
1983 - DPOY first awarded
1985 - voting records for DPOY first made public; however, the records for 1986 and 1988 are incomplete. The total possible hidden share is .165 for players not Jordan, Eaton, Olajuwon, Robertson, Bol, and Moncrief.
2003 - voting changes from a 1 vote 1 point system to 3 votes for 5, 3, and 1 point system. 2009 and 2012 received at least one incomplete ballot each, resulting in a total possible unvoted share of .008.
Full list:
3.747 Ben Wallace
3.202 Dwight Howard
2.146 Dikembe Mutombo
2.025 Dennis Rodman
1.969 Hakeem Olajuwon
1.638 Kevin Garnett
1.514 Bruce Bowen
1.334 Alonzo Mourning
1.331 David Robinson
1.331 Marcus Camby
1.283 Metta World Peace
1.233 Gary Payton
0.998 Tim Duncan
0.967 Mark Eaton
0.822 LeBron James
0.794 Michael Jordan
0.718 Alvin Robertson
0.708 Serge Ibaka
0.691 Tyson Chandler
0.548 Shane Battier
0.503 Scottie Pippen
0.436 Michael Cooper
0.432 Manute Bol
0.366 Andrei Kirilenko
0.358 Marc Gasol
0.341 Shawn Marion
0.317 Tony Allen
0.3 Josh Smith
0.274 Gerald Wallace
0.27 Sidney Moncrief
0.262 Kobe Bryant
0.248 Shaquille O'Neal
0.225 Theo Ratliff
0.221 Mookie Blaylock
0.218 Doug Christie
0.205 Joakim Noah
0.196 Dwyane Wade
0.19 Andre Iguodala
0.182 Chris Paul
0.18 Rajon Rondo
0.149 Larry Sanders
0.141 Paul Pressey
0.115 Maurice Cheeks
0.112 Tayshaun Prince
0.101 Eddie Jones
0.094 Paul George
0.091 Andrew Bogut
0.085 Larry Hughes
0.083 Joe Dumars
0.082 Luol Deng
0.076 Dennis Johnson
0.074 Allen Iverson
0.064 Kevin McHale
0.06 Roy Hibbert
0.055 Grant Hill
0.055 Patrick Ewing
0.051 Bo Outlaw
0.049 Nate McMillan
0.045 Derek Harper
0.043 Buck Williams
0.041 Anthony Mason
0.04 Thabo Sefolosha
0.039 T.R. Dunn
0.037 Horace Grant
0.035 Anderson Varejao
0.03 Charles Oakley
0.028 Avery Bradley
0.026 Danny Vranes
0.026 Micheal Ray Richardson
0.025 Fat Lever
0.024 Clifford Robinson
0.022 Chuck Hayes
0.022 Rasheed Wallace
0.021 Kirk Hinrich
0.019 Derrick McKey
0.017 Chris Andersen
0.017 Emeka Okafor
0.017 Jermaine O'Neal
0.017 Kendall Gill
0.017 Raja Bell
0.016 Jason Kidd
0.015 Kenyon Martin
0.013 Bill Hanzlik
0.013 Doc Rivers
0.012 Joel Przybilla
0.011 Josh Howard
0.01 Dan Majerle
0.01 Eric Snow
0.01 John Starks
0.01 John Stockton
0.01 Karl Malone
0.009 Brevin Knight
0.009 Latrell Sprewell
0.009 Mario Elie
0.009 Quinton Ross
0.009 Rick Fox
0.009 Shawn Kemp
0.008 JaVale McGee
0.008 Keith Bogans
0.008 Michael Curry
0.008 Udonis Haslem
0.007 Russell Westbrook
0.007 Trevor Ariza
0.006 Trenton Hassell
0.005 Adonal Foyle
0.005 Andrew Bynum
0.005 Caron Butler
0.005 David Wesley
0.005 Elton Brand
0.005 Jimmy Butler
0.005 Kenneth Faried
0.005 Mike Conley
0.005 Richard Hamilton
0.005 Samuel Dalembert
0.004 Andres Nocioni
0.004 James Posey
0.003 Iman Shumpert
0.003 Manu Ginobili
0.003 Ronny Turiaf
0.002 Anthony Parker
0.002 Arron Afflalo
0.002 Brendan Haywood
0.002 Chauncey Billups
0.002 David Lee
0.002 Devin Harris
0.002 Earl Watson
0.002 Greg Monroe
0.002 Hedo Turkoglu
0.002 Kendrick Perkins
0.002 Kyle Lowry
0.002 Luc Mbah a Moute
0.002 Matt Barnes
0.002 P.J. Brown
0.002 Yao Ming
Top 20 for perimeter players (obviously some guys are borderline, but if you don't like it make your own damn list):
1.514 Bruce Bowen
1.283 Metta World Peace
1.233 Gary Payton
0.822 LeBron James
0.794 Michael Jordan
0.718 Alvin Robertson
0.548 Shane Battier
0.503 Scottie Pippen
0.436 Michael Cooper
0.366 Andrei Kirilenko
0.341 Shawn Marion
0.317 Tony Allen
0.3 Josh Smith
0.274 Gerald Wallace
0.27 Sidney Moncrief
0.262 Kobe Bryant
0.221 Mookie Blaylock
0.218 Doug Christie
0.196 Dwyane Wade
0.19 Andre Iguodala
0.182 Chris Paul
0.18 Rajon Rondo
Top 10 for the modern voting era of 2003-present:
3.202 Dwight Howard
2.731 Ben Wallace
1.498 Bruce Bowen
1.376 Kevin Garnett
1.331 Marcus Camby
1.283 Metta World Peace
0.833 Tim Duncan
0.822 LeBron James
0.708 Serge Ibaka
0.691 Tyson Chandler
.
I would like to briefly remark on a Mr. Kobe Bryant. He has received 2 first place votes for DPOY in his career, both in the year 2009, more than Kevin Garnett and Chris Paul.
1. This was the first of three straight .900+ share years for Dwight Howard. Only one other player has ever touched .900+: Ben Wallace, once. Contrarian voting is stupid.
2. The Lakers had the sixth best DRtg in the league that year at 104.7. However, the Lakers with Kobe Bryant on the court posted only a 105.8 to a 104.5 off. (Higher numbers are bad because they mean the other team scores more points.) Okay, but maybe Kobe had an incredible defender backing him up. Nope, Sasha Vujacic.
3. You know who had an incredible DRtg split on the Lakers? Lamar Odom! His value of -8.0 changed the Lakers from the Toronto Raptors into the Boston Celtics. (Lamar Odom got 0 DPOY votes.)
4. Ok, but Kobe had 1.5 steals per game, that's got to count for something! Actually that value was only good for 15th in the league. Even if we do steals + blocks for perimeter guys, he only ends up tied for 9th with (among others) his teammate Trevor Ariza (got one 3rd-place vote).
It could be that stats are for nerds and Kobe is actually awesome at everything and stupid nerds should shut up, or it could be that Kobe just didn't deserve these votes... which may beg the question, what else was he awarded that he didn't deserve?
1983 - DPOY first awarded
1985 - voting records for DPOY first made public; however, the records for 1986 and 1988 are incomplete. The total possible hidden share is .165 for players not Jordan, Eaton, Olajuwon, Robertson, Bol, and Moncrief.
2003 - voting changes from a 1 vote 1 point system to 3 votes for 5, 3, and 1 point system. 2009 and 2012 received at least one incomplete ballot each, resulting in a total possible unvoted share of .008.
Full list:
3.747 Ben Wallace
3.202 Dwight Howard
2.146 Dikembe Mutombo
2.025 Dennis Rodman
1.969 Hakeem Olajuwon
1.638 Kevin Garnett
1.514 Bruce Bowen
1.334 Alonzo Mourning
1.331 David Robinson
1.331 Marcus Camby
1.283 Metta World Peace
1.233 Gary Payton
0.998 Tim Duncan
0.967 Mark Eaton
0.822 LeBron James
0.794 Michael Jordan
0.718 Alvin Robertson
0.708 Serge Ibaka
0.691 Tyson Chandler
0.548 Shane Battier
0.503 Scottie Pippen
0.436 Michael Cooper
0.432 Manute Bol
0.366 Andrei Kirilenko
0.358 Marc Gasol
0.341 Shawn Marion
0.317 Tony Allen
0.3 Josh Smith
0.274 Gerald Wallace
0.27 Sidney Moncrief
0.262 Kobe Bryant
0.248 Shaquille O'Neal
0.225 Theo Ratliff
0.221 Mookie Blaylock
0.218 Doug Christie
0.205 Joakim Noah
0.196 Dwyane Wade
0.19 Andre Iguodala
0.182 Chris Paul
0.18 Rajon Rondo
0.149 Larry Sanders
0.141 Paul Pressey
0.115 Maurice Cheeks
0.112 Tayshaun Prince
0.101 Eddie Jones
0.094 Paul George
0.091 Andrew Bogut
0.085 Larry Hughes
0.083 Joe Dumars
0.082 Luol Deng
0.076 Dennis Johnson
0.074 Allen Iverson
0.064 Kevin McHale
0.06 Roy Hibbert
0.055 Grant Hill
0.055 Patrick Ewing
0.051 Bo Outlaw
0.049 Nate McMillan
0.045 Derek Harper
0.043 Buck Williams
0.041 Anthony Mason
0.04 Thabo Sefolosha
0.039 T.R. Dunn
0.037 Horace Grant
0.035 Anderson Varejao
0.03 Charles Oakley
0.028 Avery Bradley
0.026 Danny Vranes
0.026 Micheal Ray Richardson
0.025 Fat Lever
0.024 Clifford Robinson
0.022 Chuck Hayes
0.022 Rasheed Wallace
0.021 Kirk Hinrich
0.019 Derrick McKey
0.017 Chris Andersen
0.017 Emeka Okafor
0.017 Jermaine O'Neal
0.017 Kendall Gill
0.017 Raja Bell
0.016 Jason Kidd
0.015 Kenyon Martin
0.013 Bill Hanzlik
0.013 Doc Rivers
0.012 Joel Przybilla
0.011 Josh Howard
0.01 Dan Majerle
0.01 Eric Snow
0.01 John Starks
0.01 John Stockton
0.01 Karl Malone
0.009 Brevin Knight
0.009 Latrell Sprewell
0.009 Mario Elie
0.009 Quinton Ross
0.009 Rick Fox
0.009 Shawn Kemp
0.008 JaVale McGee
0.008 Keith Bogans
0.008 Michael Curry
0.008 Udonis Haslem
0.007 Russell Westbrook
0.007 Trevor Ariza
0.006 Trenton Hassell
0.005 Adonal Foyle
0.005 Andrew Bynum
0.005 Caron Butler
0.005 David Wesley
0.005 Elton Brand
0.005 Jimmy Butler
0.005 Kenneth Faried
0.005 Mike Conley
0.005 Richard Hamilton
0.005 Samuel Dalembert
0.004 Andres Nocioni
0.004 James Posey
0.003 Iman Shumpert
0.003 Manu Ginobili
0.003 Ronny Turiaf
0.002 Anthony Parker
0.002 Arron Afflalo
0.002 Brendan Haywood
0.002 Chauncey Billups
0.002 David Lee
0.002 Devin Harris
0.002 Earl Watson
0.002 Greg Monroe
0.002 Hedo Turkoglu
0.002 Kendrick Perkins
0.002 Kyle Lowry
0.002 Luc Mbah a Moute
0.002 Matt Barnes
0.002 P.J. Brown
0.002 Yao Ming
Top 20 for perimeter players (obviously some guys are borderline, but if you don't like it make your own damn list):
1.514 Bruce Bowen
1.283 Metta World Peace
1.233 Gary Payton
0.822 LeBron James
0.794 Michael Jordan
0.718 Alvin Robertson
0.548 Shane Battier
0.503 Scottie Pippen
0.436 Michael Cooper
0.366 Andrei Kirilenko
0.341 Shawn Marion
0.317 Tony Allen
0.3 Josh Smith
0.274 Gerald Wallace
0.27 Sidney Moncrief
0.262 Kobe Bryant
0.221 Mookie Blaylock
0.218 Doug Christie
0.196 Dwyane Wade
0.19 Andre Iguodala
0.182 Chris Paul
0.18 Rajon Rondo
Top 10 for the modern voting era of 2003-present:
3.202 Dwight Howard
2.731 Ben Wallace
1.498 Bruce Bowen
1.376 Kevin Garnett
1.331 Marcus Camby
1.283 Metta World Peace
0.833 Tim Duncan
0.822 LeBron James
0.708 Serge Ibaka
0.691 Tyson Chandler
.
I would like to briefly remark on a Mr. Kobe Bryant. He has received 2 first place votes for DPOY in his career, both in the year 2009, more than Kevin Garnett and Chris Paul.
1. This was the first of three straight .900+ share years for Dwight Howard. Only one other player has ever touched .900+: Ben Wallace, once. Contrarian voting is stupid.
2. The Lakers had the sixth best DRtg in the league that year at 104.7. However, the Lakers with Kobe Bryant on the court posted only a 105.8 to a 104.5 off. (Higher numbers are bad because they mean the other team scores more points.) Okay, but maybe Kobe had an incredible defender backing him up. Nope, Sasha Vujacic.
3. You know who had an incredible DRtg split on the Lakers? Lamar Odom! His value of -8.0 changed the Lakers from the Toronto Raptors into the Boston Celtics. (Lamar Odom got 0 DPOY votes.)
4. Ok, but Kobe had 1.5 steals per game, that's got to count for something! Actually that value was only good for 15th in the league. Even if we do steals + blocks for perimeter guys, he only ends up tied for 9th with (among others) his teammate Trevor Ariza (got one 3rd-place vote).
It could be that stats are for nerds and Kobe is actually awesome at everything and stupid nerds should shut up, or it could be that Kobe just didn't deserve these votes... which may beg the question, what else was he awarded that he didn't deserve?