View Full Version : My Paper on Predicting Baseball Hall of Fame Odds
Bobmuhthol
08-10-2012, 04:52 PM
I put enough effort into writing this that I'm slightly annoyed at how few people are actually exposed to it, so here's what I spent my last month of undergrad on. I wrote it with a reasonably literate but not very mathematical audience in mind, so it should be easy to understand. I liked writing it, and I hope people like reading it (it is not short).
Hopefully my link works (it might not in IE but it at least worked for me in Chrome): https://www.dropbox.com/s/qfsekhcyxkxukkv/CapstonePC.pdf
WRoss
08-10-2012, 05:26 PM
I'll read it bud.
AnticorRifling
08-10-2012, 05:58 PM
Didn't work for me using IE here at work.
Latrinsorm
08-10-2012, 08:49 PM
Did you copy this from basketball-reference or what. I don't think Prof. Bob would approve of that.
I'll read more of it later but I would stay away from position to position comparisons, especially something like LF to C, and if you ever speak ill of Ralph Kiner again I will find you and weep quietly until you get so embarrassed you issue a retraction.
Bobmuhthol
08-10-2012, 08:55 PM
I applied the basketball-reference methodology to baseball, yes. I'm not hiding it -- it's cited and explicitly mentioned.
There are a few ways I considered separating players. Differences between position might matter but it's not like a 2B has a better shot because he was the best 2B, otherwise the Hall would be evenly distributed among positions. It would also be way too segmented, well beyond usefulness, if I separated by position given that I already separated by time period. There are only so many possible candidates, and each one being a category would be silly.
SHAFT
08-10-2012, 10:47 PM
Bob, if I read this, will I enjoy baseball more? I've tried to like baseball, I really have.
Bobmuhthol
08-10-2012, 11:26 PM
I like to think that you will. If nothing else, I have at least a few clever lines in there. (The Pete Rose section just said "This is obvious" before my advisor recommended actually writing a paragraph.)
Latrinsorm
08-11-2012, 12:54 AM
I applied the basketball-reference methodology to baseball, yes. I'm not hiding it -- it's cited and explicitly mentioned.
There are a few ways I considered separating players. Differences between position might matter but it's not like a 2B has a better shot because he was the best 2B, otherwise the Hall would be evenly distributed among positions. It would also be way too segmented, well beyond usefulness, if I separated by position given that I already separated by time period. There are only so many possible candidates, and each one being a category would be silly.Oh, ok. C-. :|
No seriously it's good Bob. Good job. :)
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