NFL: Week 16 Lines: Help a brother out

[Rimalon]

So... I'm still in the same contest as last week, we bet play money each week with the spread...

100 people in the contest, 30 bucks to enter, winner gets $2000, second place $500, third $300, fourth $200.

I'm currently sitting in FIRST PLACE with $122k. Second place is at $120k, with third at $90k. A bunch of others have between 70--60k.

You have to bet 4 games each week, but at a minimum of $100. So a minimum $400 bet each week.

My dilemma is this... do I control my own destiny and bet it all to double up, or do I play it safe and hope someone else makes a mistake?

I'm thinking I should bet it all, ESPECIALLY because of San Diego (-7.5) @ Cincinnati. SEEMS LIKE EASY MONEY TO ME TAKING THE CHARGERS????????? RIGHT????

The rest of the board looks like trash. The only other game I would consider bettable is Tennessee @ Kansas City (-5), taking KC... but that Chargers game is just too good NOT to bet on. Right??

Help. Am I missing anything?

[Clipt]

Can you only play regular spreads? Or can you tease and parlay?

[DoctorUnne]

Is this the last week? I don't even think it matters. In my opinion you have to bet it all each week. Look at the payouts. It's so heavily weighted towards first place that everyone behind you is going to try to double up each week. If you don't bet it all you will most assuredly NOT finish first because someone will hit the right bet twice and pass you.

Therefore I would put it all on San Diego. I bet that's what most of the others will be doing. I agree and I think that's the safest line this week.

[NocturnalRob]

I asked about other bets and was never answered. I like the chargers. I like the giants. I like the skins. I like the bills.

[LMingrone]

I've broken even so far this year, so don't trust me. Last week killed me.

My four bets for this week:
Carolina +15
Miami -3 1/2
Indy -3
Giants - 0

[Rimalon]

Naw, no parlays or teasers.

Rob: Explain your big love for the Skins? Jacksonville is in desperation mode, I feel... do we trust Rex Grossman in a game that means nothing for the Skins???

LM: What games were you on last week??

The posted line for our contest is Giants @ Green Bay (-3)... is there any chance in hell the G-men bounce back? How CRUSHED were they last week? It's a must-win for GB to stay in the playoff picture...

Speaking of that... What about Seattle @ Tampa (-6)? If GB beats the Giants, and Tampa beats Seattle, they're all 9-6 and vying for the last playoff spot....

Hmmmmm.

[LMingrone]

I lost the Giants, Pitt, and the Jets under.

I got the Giants at 0 this week.