View Full Version : My election predictions
GSTamral
11-01-2004, 07:39 PM
As far as the big battleground states are concerned.
Kerry will win Ohio.
Bush will win PA on the basis of the closeness of the election, and the thousands of military ballots destined for the state.
Bush will win Iowa.
Kerry will win Minnesota
Bush will win Wisconsin
Kerry will win Michigan.
Kerry will pull a surprise and win Colorado
Kerry will win New Mexico
Bush will win Florida by a comfortable margin on the strength of the military absentee ballot.
Bush will win West Virginia
Bush will win Hawaii
Kerry will win New Hampshire
Kerry will easily win NJ, which never should have been a battleground state.
And in what will be an extremely tight electoral vote yet again, the edge will go to Bush. What is odd about it, is that his vault to victory will be the very same military that he has "sent to die" as some people call it, overseas.
Toxicvixen
11-01-2004, 08:01 PM
You don't think some of the Military ballots will be for Kerry in hopes of comming home? People keep telling me to Vote for Kerry to bring our troops home.
Warriorbird
11-01-2004, 08:01 PM
The military and the ignorant yokels he buffalos into thinking he's somehow "conservative" in spending. But yeah, considering how terrible a president he is, Kerry should be killing him. He isn't. I think this indicates a combination of American stupidity and Kerry's weakness as a candidate. Makes me sad, but I can't do much other than hope my already cast ballot is useful.
My prediction. Kerry by 56-59%.
Wezas
11-01-2004, 08:09 PM
Originally posted by Backlash
My prediction. Kerry by 56-59%.
Holy crap, you mean you expect Kerry to get at least 78% of the vote and Bush only 22%?
Good luck with that.
:saint:
GSTamral
11-01-2004, 08:11 PM
<<<
I think this indicates a combination of American stupidity and Kerry's weakness as a candidate. Makes me sad, but I can't do much other than hope my already cast ballot is useful.
>>>
People vote based on their feelings about issues. If you want to assert that conservatives are all stupid, I'd be more than happy to point out that we're doing much better over here than you are.
Again, the man that both Newsweek and Time called the smartest man alive is voting for Bush. Not because he likes Bush as much as his belief in a conservative agenda.
Warriorbird
11-01-2004, 08:35 PM
Oh conservatives aren't all stupid. A few of you are very smart and gifted at leading the masses... who don't get much benefit from your policies. They're the vast minority, however. Sort've rephrasing the John Stuart Mill quote.
[Edited on 11-2-2004 by Warriorbird]
Chadj
11-01-2004, 08:40 PM
Washington lost to the Packers.
Judging by how that has gone in the past, the current president will not win the election.
Therefore it goes to Kerry.. because Green Bay won.
CrystalTears
11-01-2004, 08:43 PM
Heh, my coworker walked in here on Saturday and exclaimed, "There was an eclipse last night and the Boston Red Sox won the World Series. Next thing you know Kerry will win, the moon will turn red and the world will collapse." :lol:
[Edited on 11/2/2004 by CrystalTears]
Chadj
11-01-2004, 08:51 PM
No one can argue with my logic.
Toxicvixen
11-01-2004, 09:00 PM
Who would want to Chadj? :grin:
Latrinsorm
11-01-2004, 10:32 PM
Originally posted by Warriorbird
But yeah, considering how terrible a president he is, Kerry should be killing him. He isn't. I think this indicates a combination of American stupidity and Kerry's weakness as a candidate.That, or your assessment of the President is incorrect. ;)
Chadj, there is one unassailable way to destroy any logical argument you present: You play 3-down football. :wtf:
edited for clarification
[Edited on 11-2-2004 by Latrinsorm]
GSTamral
11-01-2004, 10:35 PM
And the general quality of football in Canada is quite a bit less.
When was the last time you saw the NFL draft someone from the Canada football system?
I think there are more than one college team out there that could win the CFL title even with the change of rules.
Warriorbird
11-01-2004, 10:45 PM
Australian football is much manlier than Canadian.
Hulkein
11-01-2004, 10:50 PM
I think Flutie is the most well known of CFL players.. Did Herschal Walker play in the CFL or was that the other short lived non-NFL American league?
Chadj
11-01-2004, 11:16 PM
<<Chadj, there is one unassailable way to destroy any logical argument you present: You play 3-down football>>
I also play city football, which is 4 down.
Originally posted by GSTamral
And the general quality of football in Canada is quite a bit less.
When was the last time you saw the NFL draft someone from the Canada football system?
I think there are more than one college team out there that could win the CFL title even with the change of rules.
True Canadian football on average is not on the same scale as American. There isn't the same interest up here, it is nearly as popular. Hockey is a different story. Kids from any High School could beat most Olympic teams. Hockey is a religion up here.
[Edited on 11-2-2004 by xtc]
The military vote at least in the location I am in is leaning very much towards the current president.
Darnell
11-01-2004, 11:57 PM
I predict the old white guy with grey hair will win and I'll still be unhappy.
The Original Darnell
kheldarin
11-02-2004, 03:31 AM
Lots of my friends in the military are definately voting for Bush.
Keller
11-02-2004, 04:08 AM
As to the whole CFL discussion: Raghib Ismail was drafted in 1991 by the Oakland Raiders but spurned their offer to run to play for Toronto.
Then there is Mike VanderDontFuckingMissaFieldGoalExceptToBeatThePatr iotsjact
TheRoseLady
11-02-2004, 05:54 AM
Originally posted by Dave
The military vote at least in the location I am in is leaning very much towards the current president.
Of course you mean anecdotally right?
Parkbandit
11-02-2004, 08:35 AM
I went to vote this morning. Usually, it's a 20 minute affair... I park, wait in line for a couple minutes and vote.
This morning I couldn't even park... let alone get in line.
I see this as a very bad omen for Bush. Many people in this line were young.. which traditionally favors the challenger.
I'm nervous for the first time in this election...
Wezas
11-02-2004, 08:59 AM
Originally posted by Parkbandit
I see this as a very bad omen for Bush. Many people in this line were young.. which traditionally favors the challenger.
I'm nervous for the first time in this election...
:yes:
I saw the same thing this morning. My girl and I voted and we saw a black woman bring her two kids around to see her vote. There needs to be more of that all around.
Unfortunately - my vote this morning will likely not matter much. Northern Virginia has been the most democratic part of the state. There would have had to be alot of progress in central (Richmond), Southwest (sticks), and Southeast (Military) Virginia for it to be a blue state.
Tsa`ah
11-02-2004, 09:53 AM
Originally posted by Parkbandit
I went to vote this morning. Usually, it's a 20 minute affair... I park, wait in line for a couple minutes and vote.
This morning I couldn't even park... let alone get in line.
I see this as a very bad omen for Bush. Many people in this line were young.. which traditionally favors the challenger.
I'm nervous for the first time in this election...
Yep, I'm looking at different local stations. High School students are going to be late for school due to the long lines. College students are ditching classes and literally storming the campus polling stations.
Nope, doesn't look good for Dubya.
Hulkein
11-02-2004, 09:58 AM
Originally posted by TheRoseLady
Originally posted by Dave
The military vote at least in the location I am in is leaning very much towards the current president.
Of course you mean anecdotally right?
There are valid studies that say the same thing as him.
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