NFL Picks - Week 11

[RichardCranium]

SUNDAY

Giants at Lions
Patriots at Bills
Redskins at Cowboys
Panthers at Packers
Chiefs at Colts
Chargers at Jaguars
Bucs at Falcons
Steelers at Jets
Bears at Seahawks
Raiders at Vikings
Saints at Texans
Browns at Ravens
Cardinals at Bengals
Dolphins at Eagles
Rams at 49ers

MONDAY

Titans at Broncos

[TheEschaton]

Lions
Bills - UPSET OF THE CENTURY
Cowboys
Packers
Colts
Chargers
Falcons
Steelers
Seahawks
Vikings
Saints
Browns
Cardinals
Eagles
Rams
Broncos - 31

[Gallows Thief]

Lions
Patriots
Cowboys
Packers
Colts
Jaguars
Bucs
Steelers
Seahawks
Raiders
Saints
Ravens
Bengals
Eagles
Rams

MONDAY

Titans
50
__________________

[peam]

Giants
Patriots
Cowboys
Packers
Colts
Jaguars
Bucs
Steelers
Seahawks
Vikings
Texans
Browns
Cardinals
Eagles
Rams

MONDAY

Titans
21

[Skeeter]

Giants
Patriots
Cowboys
Packers
Colts
Jaguars
Bucs
Steelers
Seahawks
Vikings
Texans
Browns
Bengals
Eagles
Rams

MONDAY

Broncos

26

[RichardCranium]

SUNDAY

Giants
Patriots
Cowboys
Packers
Colts
Jaguars
Bucs
Steelers
Seahawks
Vikings
Saints
Browns
Cardinals
Eagles
49ers

MONDAY

Broncos {43}

[Snapp]

SUNDAY

Lions
Bills
Redskins
Panthers
Colts
Jaguars
Falcons
Steelers
Seahawks
Vikings
Saints
Ravens
Cardinals
Eagles (this was hard.. my two fave animals!)
Rams

MONDAY

Broncos

33

[Atlanteax]

Lions
Patriots
Cowboys
Packers
Colts
Chargers
Bucs
Steelers
Seahawks
Raiders
Saints
Ravens
Cardinals
Eagles
49ers

Broncos

[Celephais]

Giants
Patriots
Cowboys
Packers
Colts
Chargers
Bucs
Jets
Seahawks
Vikings
Saints
Browns
Bengals
Eagles
49ers

Titans 45

[Tsa`ah]

Last week's games make me second guess too much for this week ... That and Grossman is starting.

Giants
Patriots
Cowboys
Packers
Colts
Jaguars
Bucs
Steelers
Bears
Vikings
Saints
Browns
Bengals
Eagles
Rams

Titans 34

[Kembal]

Lions
Patriots
Cowboys
Packers
Colts
Chargers
Bucs
Steelers
Bears
Vikings
Texans
Browns
Bengals
Eagles
49ers

MONDAY

Broncos - 42

[Augie]

Giants
Bills
Cowboys
Packers
Colts
Jaguars
Bucs
Steelers
Seahawks
Vikings
Saints
Browns
Cardinals
Eagles
49ers

MONDAY

Broncos - 45

[Solkern]

Giants
Patriots
Cowboys
Packers
Colts
Jaguars
Bucs
Steelers
Seahawks
Vikings
Texans
Ravens
Bengals
Eagles
49ers

MONDAY

Titans 32

[Drinin]

SUNDAY

Giants
Patriots
Cowboys
Packers
Colts
Jaguars
Bucs
Steelers
Seahawks
Vikings
Saints
Browns
Bengals
Eagles
Rams

MONDAY

Titans--51

[Drew]

Gonna pick early this week so I don't forget.

Lions
Patriots
Cowboys
Packers
Colts
Jaguars
Bucs
Steelers
Seahawks
Raiders
Texans
Browns
Bengals
Dolphins
Rams

MONDAY

Titans

[Stunseed]

Lions
Patriots
Cowboys
Packers
Colts
Jaguars
Bucs
Steelers
Seahawks
Raiders(!)
Saints
Browns
Cardinals
Eagles
Rams
Titans -49

[Ardwen]

Lions
Patriots
Cowboys
Packers
Chiefs
Jaguars
Bucs
Steelers
Bears
Vikings
Texans
Ravens
Cardinals
Eagles
49ers
Broncos
27

[Anebriated]

Lions
Patriots
Cowboys
Packers
Colts
Jaguars
Bucs
Steelers
Seahawks
Raiders
Texans
Browns
Cardinals
Eagles
Rams

Titans - 35

[Latrinsorm]

Giants
Bills
Cowboys
Packers
Colts
Chargers
Bucs
Steelers
Seahawks
Raiders
Texans
Browns
Cardinals
Eagles
49ers
Titans

[Silvanostar]

Giants
Patriots
cowboys
Packers
Chiefs
Jaguars
Bucs
Steelers
Seahawks
Vikings
Saints
Browns
Bengals
Eagles
Rams


Titans 27

[Apathy]

SUNDAY

Lions
Patriots
Cowboys
Packers
Colts
Chargers
Bucs
Steelers
Seahawks (Bears fans are the battered wives of NFL fans "Oh I promise I'll be good this time...")
Vikings
Texans
Browns
Cardinals
Eagles
Rams

MONDAY

Titans 31

[crazymage]

SUNDAY

Giants
-Patriots-
Cowboys
Packers
Colts
Chargers
Bucs
Steelers
Bears
Vikings
Saints
Browns
Cardinals
Eagles
Rams

MONDAY
Broncos 39

[Doughboy]

SUNDAY

Lions
Patriots
Cowboys
Packers
Chiefs
Jaguars
Bucs
Steelers
Bears
Vikings
Texans
Ravens
Cardinals
Eagles
49ers

MONDAY

Broncos - 39

[Sean of the Thread]

Jags
Colts
Vikes
Ravens
Steelers
Bucs
cardinials
eagles
patriots
cowboys
texans
packers
giants
49ers
seahawks
broncos 39

[Bobmuhthol]

Giants
Patriots
Cowboys
Packers
Colts
Chargers
Bucs
Steelers
Seahawks
Vikings
Texans
Ravens
Bengals
Eagles
Rams
Broncos 35

[Soulpieced]

Lions
Patriots
Cowboys
Packers
Colts
Jaguars
Falcons
Steelers
Seahawks
Raiders
Saints
Browns
Bengals
Dolphins
Rams

[Anebriated]

I love football sundays :popcorn:

[Sean of the Thread]

Bah only 1 game on here.. at least it's in HD.

Hopefully my wife will be home around 2pm and I can head out to my football cave.

[Sean of the Thread]

Oh I forgot Drew wanted to see my pics prior. Not feeling real solid this week but we'll see. Then again I always feel that way on Sunday plays especially after destroying the NCAA yesterday.

This is my 1pm plays with one 8:15 play locked in (which I'm sure Bruce will give me shit for)

Date placed:
Nov 18, 2007 1:01p Single #9x
Football - NFL Lines (Game) Pointspread
NFL - WEEK 11
(405) Kansas City Chiefs +15 Sun@1:00p
Competitor: (406) Indianapolis Colts


BRUCEY ESPECIAL!
Date placed:
Nov 18, 2007 12:58p Single #9x
Football - NFL Team Props (Prop) Total
(NE vs BUF) Sun, November 18th (8:15pm)
New England Patriots Total Team Points
Game must go 55 minutes for action. Overtime counts towards wager. No Parlays. Max $600
(12364/12365) Under 31½ (-105) Sun@8:15p

Date placed:
Nov 18, 2007 12:58p Single #9xx
Football - NFL Team Props (Prop) Total
(SD vs JAC) Sun, November 18th (1:00pm)
San Diego Chargers Total Team Points
Game must go 55 minutes for action. Overtime counts towards wager. No Parlays. Max $600
(11811/11812) Under 20 (-115) Sun@1:00p

Date placed:
Nov 18, 2007 12:53p Single #9x
Football - NFL Lines (Game) Pointspread
NFL - WEEK 11
(415) Arizona Cardinals +3½ (-125) Sun@1:00p
Competitor: (416) Cincinnati Bengals

Date placed:
Nov 18, 2007 12:45p Single #9x
Football - NFL Lines (Game) Total
NFL - WEEK 11
(417) Miami Dolphins vs. (418) Philadelphia Eagles Under 40½ Sun@1:00p

[Anebriated]

1) BET ID=227727026
Straight Wager 11/18/07 12:25 ET
Result: Pending
Saints(NewOrleans)
Texans(Houston) 11/18/07(13:05 ET)
Texans(Houston) -1 (-105)

2) BET ID=227725316
Straight Wager 11/18/07 12:22 ET
Result: Pending
Cardinals(Arizona)
Bengals(Cincinnati) 11/18/07(13:05 ET)
Cardinals(Arizona) +150

3) BET ID=227618093
Straight Wager 11/17/07 23:42 ET
Result: Pending
Panthers(Carolina)
Packers(GreenBay) 11/18/07(13:05 ET)
Packers(GreenBay) -9.5

4) BET ID=227618092
Straight Wager 11/17/07 23:42 ET
Result: Pending
Chargers(SanDiego)
Jaguars(Jacksonville) 11/18/07(13:05 ET)
Jaguars(Jacksonville) -3 (even)

5) BET ID=227618091
Straight Wager 11/17/07 23:42 ET
Result: Pending
Browns(Cleveland)
Ravens(Baltimore) 11/18/07(13:05 ET)
Browns(Cleveland) -2.5 (-120)

[Sean of the Thread]

Waaah back from hour at the sports bar where I can watch 5 games at the same time from my cave.

Back to the shitty fox coverage of the bucs game.

[Sean of the Thread]

Oh just saw your card. Looks nice. I was leaning on ravens especially after seeing the line jump from 3 to 1 at a lot of books 10 minutes before kickoff.

My book didn't move the line but set the juice at -140 for +3.. fuck that.

[Anebriated]

Yeah had a couple good calls with my card but there are 2 games ill be watching closely down to the very end.

[Anebriated]

4-0 so far! Hell of a kick by the browns sent that game into OT and is TBD. If the browns score first I win the bet and go 5-0, otherwise 4-1.

[Anebriated]

5-0!

[Bobmuhthol]

Browns game was LAME.

[Sean of the Thread]

5-0!

Gratz. 4-0 for me pending my brucey especial 8:15 game.

15-3 between NCAA and NFL this weekend. $$$$$$

I have a garbage action parlay and teaser as well just for action since I didn't play any 4oc games.

I love football.

[Bobmuhthol]

You're going to lose that Pats wager if I remember it right. Under 31.5 for Pats in the game? No way.

[Sean of the Thread]

You're going to lose that Pats wager if I remember it right. Under 31.5 for Pats in the game? No way.

Hehe that's why we call it gambling.

That's what a lot of my non gambling friends said about my +15 Kansas city play and the arz play. :P

I like to be on the opposite side of the public opinion as part of my method.

[Anebriated]

General rule of thumb: Public is betting heavy on a game? bet the other side. Arizona ML ftw.

edit: and Jax for that matter.

[Anebriated]

Couple of second half bets on the 4pm games:

1) BET ID=227831910
Straight Wager 11/18/07 17:41 ET
Result: Pending
2Rams 2ndHalf
249ers 2ndHalf 11/18/07(18:45 ET)
2Rams 0

2) BET ID=227825669
Straight Wager 11/18/07 17:31 ET
Result: Pending
2Redskins 2ndHalf
2Cowboys 2ndHalf 11/18/07(18:45 ET)
2Cowboys -7 (-115)

3) BET ID=227824675
Straight Wager 11/18/07 17:27 ET
Result: Pending
2Steelers 2ndHalf
2Jets 2ndHalf 11/18/07(18:30 ET)
2Steelers -7

[Sean of the Thread]

General rule of thumb: Public is betting heavy on a game? bet the other side. Arizona ML ftw.

edit: and Jax for that matter.


It's a good rule of thumb but of course never absolute. I always start there however and then adjust as I go.

Today's highest public games against the spread.

Road Teams
Tampa Bay 73%
Pittsburgh 70%
Rams 69%
Browns 68%
Saints 66%
patriots 61%

Home teams
Packers 65%
Cinci 65%
Indy 60%

74% are on Patriots OVER 46.5
One of the reasons I'm on Pats under 31 1/2 team total.
I hope the bills stay true to history and play nasty vs NE at home tonight. This game isn't a COMPLETE mis match. I couldn't touch the sides on it but I don't feel completely terrible on my play.

Still time for the pats/bills numbers to change obviously. 2 hours to go.

[Anebriated]

Picked:
TB - Fading Atlanta
Pitt - good team vs mediocre Jets team
Rams - Fading 49ers
Browns - Fading Baltimore
NO - Picked Houston against public opinion
Packers - Fading Carolina
Cinci - Picked Arizona SU against public opinion

Decisions werent too hard imo.

San Diego had about 60% of the publics pick too, I took Jax.

[Anebriated]

1-2 in my 2h plays bringing me to 6-2 on the day. No play on tonights game.

[Bobmuhthol]

10-4 for picks so far, 11-4 when Pats DOMINATE.

[Sean of the Thread]

10-4 for picks so far, 11-4 when Pats DOMINATE.

Might be good enough for 3rd place this week.

[Bobmuhthol]

LMAO

[Sean of the Thread]

LMAO

Seeing how both me and Anebriated are ahead of you at this point and we all have the patriots... I haven't looked at anyone elses picks cept us three at this point.

You've not got a shot at 1st.

And 2nd goes the poster with fewer swords by rule.

So you're looking at 3rd at best.

[Bobmuhthol]

I was talking about the first 3 minutes of the game, not responding to you.

[Sean of the Thread]

Oh sorry my psychic abilities are drained today.

[Bobmuhthol]

Not blaming you, just clarifying.

[Drinin]

11-3 going into tonight. Not too shabby.

[Tsa`ah]

Seeing how both me and Anebriated are ahead of you at this point and we all have the patriots... I haven't looked at anyone elses picks cept us three at this point.

You've not got a shot at 1st.

And 2nd goes the poster with fewer swords by rule.

So you're looking at 3rd at best.

Eh, I've got 3 losses this week and I doubt the Pats are losing this game ... that said ... I didn't have to go past the fourth post on the first page to know that Peam is at one loss (fucking steelers) up to the Pats game, and he has the Pats. So unless someone is going undefeated, I didn't bother going any further.

[Sean of the Thread]

Yeah I never look at anyones picks but Drew's for a good laugh once in awhile.

I check after Latrin does his tally so I can find his mistakes however :lol:

[Bobmuhthol]

I went into tonight's game losing 97-32 in the fantasy league.

Now I'm ahead 104-102. 35 from Brady, 35 from Moss, 2 from Stallworth - Muslim Pilots with 5 from Gostkowski.


PS. Sorry for your loss, Sean2.

[Sean of the Thread]

I went into tonight's game losing 97-32 in the fantasy league.

Now I'm ahead 104-102. 35 from Brady, 35 from Moss, 2 from Stallworth - Muslim Pilots with 5 from Gostkowski.


PS. Sorry for your loss, Sean2.


What loss? I'm not in your fantasy league? (but I did get my ass kicked in mine rofl)

[Bobmuhthol]

Your Brucey Especial.

[Sean of the Thread]

Your Brucey Especial.


OH. Not worried about that I bought it back and am guaranteed profit now.

[TheEschaton]

Wow. We got spanked.

(not that I was watching, damn WoW has me addicted. Just had GameCast on in the background)

-TheE-

[Drew]

Yeah I never look at anyones picks but Drew's for a good laugh once in awhile.

I check after Latrin does his tally so I can find his mistakes however :lol:



Even with my 10-5 day today I'm still beating you man, sorry that you pick worse than a football idiot. But your pick of the "cardinials" was inspired, I'll admit.

[Drew]

Awesome fantasy week for me too in my real league, 163.42 - 84.30. Tom Brady, Randy Moss, and Andre Johnson ftmfw.

[Drew]

hahaha Ben Roethlithberger saves the world flash game: http://www.doubtaboutit.com/2007/11/watch-out-for-that-rotating-chrysler.html

Funniest part is when Bill Simmons appears as an enemy.

[Sean of the Thread]

Even with my 10-5 day today I'm still beating you man, sorry that you pick worse than a football idiot. But your pick of the "cardinials" was inspired, I'll admit.

I'm just over halfway done on the tally but not looking so great for your count so far.

I don't think I've gotten to the second week that your picks didn't count yet either.

[Latrinsorm]

RECAP

14-1: Peam
13-2: Skeeter
12-3: RichardCranium, Drinin, Anebriated, Apathy
11-4: Celephais, Tsa`ah, Augie, Solkern, Stunseed, Silvanostar, Sergey, Bob
10-5: Drew, Latrinsorm
9-6: Eschaton, Gallows Thief, Kembal, Ardwen, Bisco
8-5: Snapp, Atlanteax, Soulpieced (need a MNF pick btw)
0-15: Sean2

Unless Peam pulls a reverse Sean2 the top two are in it w/ tiebreakers of 21 and 26.

Drew is 82/125 and Sean2 is 102/158 as of today, giving Drew an advantage of 1.04%.

All in all, a good bounce back week for the PC.

[Daniel]

Lol.

[Sean of the Thread]

RECAP

14-1: Peam
13-2: Skeeter
12-3: RichardCranium, Drinin, Anebriated, Apathy
11-4: Celephais, Tsa`ah, Augie, Solkern, Stunseed, Silvanostar, Sergey, Bob
10-5: Drew, Latrinsorm
9-6: Eschaton, Gallows Thief, Kembal, Ardwen, Bisco
8-5: Snapp, Atlanteax, Soulpieced (need a MNF pick btw)
0-15: Sean2

Unless Peam pulls a reverse Sean2 the top two are in it w/ tiebreakers of 21 and 26.

Drew is 82/125 and Sean2 is 102/158 as of today, giving Drew an advantage of 1.04%.

All in all, a good bounce back week for the PC.

Lol you prick.

[peam]

RECAP

14-1: Peam



Fucking Jets.

[Sean of the Thread]

Each of those 23 picks he's behind the 158 are equal to a fat zero. If you want to put a percentage up it's based off of the total amount of picks that should have been submitted. The non submitted or fucked up turned in late all count as a wrong pick.

Points in a Pick'Em pool are based off correctly predicting which team will win each game. If you correctly choose the winning team you receive 1 point, if do not choose the winning team you receive 0 points. The person with the highest win total will be declared the winner.

Drew is currently hitting 51.89% vs Sean2 64.6%

Percentage don't count for shit unless you have the equal amount of picks. It is HIGHLY disadvantageous to not get your picks in on any sports pool. Missing a week almost guarantees you no chance.

[Stunseed]

Says the man who talked shit after 12 weeks of picks last year.

This is just for fun, right? lolol

[Sean of the Thread]

We're playing by real rules this year as a result of last years whining. And it wasn't 12 week was it? Can't remember or find it and don't feel like digging right now. Feel free to post the link to those threads since I suck at pc search.

I do think my total picks were right up there with anyone who had a week more.

Yes it's for fun.. competition is fun right?

[Stunseed]

Oh, I agree, but I think it's a real vagina move to gripe and complain about what got you the win last year.

Especially after "this shit is just for fun" comment you made earlier in the season, is all.

[Sean of the Thread]

Oh, I agree, but I think it's a real vagina move to gripe and complain about what got you the win last year.

Especially after "this shit is just for fun" comment you made earlier in the season, is all.

Not vagina at all. It's in response to him constantly saying "I'm killing you in the pool" when it couldn't be further from the truth.

This shit is just for fun.. no money or silvers right? Competition enough is fun for me... What's the point to anything otherwise.

[Latrinsorm]

Lol you prick.:D
We're playing by real rules this year as a result of last years whining.The only people keeping score by "real" rules seem to be you and Tsa`ah.

As for last year, you ended up with 121 of 192 total picks, good for 10th in the league in terms of picks in.

And if you want to be a real stickler about this, you should probably remember that you never got a Monday Night pick in for Week 7, putting you at 64.2% by your reckoning. :)

[Sean of the Thread]

I didn't count the colts game in my count.

And of course it's real rules. What's the point to having a pool otherwise?

[Stunseed]

( Technically, I think I'm ahead of everyone, but that's beside the point :) )

I didn't see anyone vote or simply overall modify the season, I honestly thought we were doing AVERAGES to give everyone the same chance. We stopped idiots who pick 4 weeks of easy games a chance to top those dedicated, but for a no cashola system, we went for 75% which is 12 of 16 weeks. Whether or not we argue a full week or not is another story.

[Latrinsorm]

We had a minimum the first year too. I consider it less due to "whining" and more due to common sense. I see only three real ways of resolving this issue:
1) Head to head comparisons only (extremely time consuming).
2) 0/0 for no pick, minimum required (not time consuming at all).
3) Compare penis sizes (and then I'd win going away every year, what fun would that be?).

Now if we had some reason to believe people were getting picks in late on purpose to somehow pad their stats, then we could resolve that as necessary. Unless and until that happens, I'm going with #2.

.

And I notice now that an edit will make this post appear like it came out of nowhere, but I'm going to post it anyway.

[Sean of the Thread]

Honestly doesn't matter to me. Bottom line drew's claim that he's "killing me" rofl in picks is hilarious. He can't even figure out how to put a total point down.

When it's all said and done all that's going to matter to me and a few others is the final points based on a total seasons card.

[Sean of the Thread]

We had a minimum the first year too. I consider it less due to "whining" and more due to common sense. I see only three real ways of resolving this issue:
1) Head to head comparisons only (extremely time consuming).
2) 0/0 for no pick, minimum required (not time consuming at all).
3) Compare penis sizes (and then I'd win going away every year, what fun would that be?).

Now if we had some reason to believe people were getting picks in late on purpose to somehow pad their stats, then we could resolve that as necessary. Unless and until that happens, I'm going with #2.

.

And I notice now that an edit will make this post appear like it came out of nowhere, but I'm going to post it anyway.


One thing that should be in stone is late or non picks count for 0.

It's everyones responsibility to have their own picks in on time and correct. <shrug>

[Anebriated]

Do you only have the overall record of Drew and Sean2 or do you have the rest of them as well? Id like to see the standings.

[Latrinsorm]

I've since found out that it's very cumbersome doing it before MNF, so I'm going to stick with my "after week 13" idea.

[Augie]

We had a minimum the first year too. I consider it less due to "whining" and more due to common sense. I see only three real ways of resolving this issue:
1) Head to head comparisons only (extremely time consuming).
2) 0/0 for no pick, minimum required (not time consuming at all).
3) Compare penis sizes (and then I'd win going away every year, what fun would that be?).


If you do #3 for the guys, you have to add a #4 for the girls:

#4) Compare cup sizes (and then I'd get to win!)

[Drinin]

I would prefer that if you miss a week, you either:

1) Get 0 points
2) Get points equal to the lowest win total of the week

My pool does #2. I mean, I could just not pick during the tough weeks just to jack my % up, but that's sneaky.

[Sean of the Thread]

I would prefer that if you miss a week, you either:

1) Get 0 points
2) Get points equal to the lowest win total of the week

My pool does #2. I mean, I could just not pick during the tough weeks just to jack my % up, but that's sneaky.

and also the reason for number 1.


Gah I had no idea we played in such a carebear pool.

[Anebriated]

Does it matter? Im gonna win it anyway :grin:

[Latrinsorm]

If you do #3 for the guys, you have to add a #4 for the girls:Besides you I think the closest thing to a girl the regulars in the pool have is me (which is admittedly fairly close).
Gah I had no idea we played in such a carebear pool.It's my fault really, I didn't expect everyone to roll shaman this year.

[Latrinsorm]

wtg Skeeter!

[Sean of the Thread]

Skeeter is overrated and knows less about football than Drew.

[Celephais]

Gah I had no idea we played in such a carebear pool.
Seriously... if you don't pick, you don't get points. Tough weeks are meant to be tough, if you don't pick you don't get anything. I'm not exactly doing good or anything, but I'm picking.

This is NFL Picks, not NFL welfare.

[Anebriated]

Not rocket science.... Total Picks Correct/Total Picks Available... miss some tough shit, you lose out on your chance to win... NOTHING.

[Drew]

Besides you I think the closest thing to a girl the regulars in the pool have is me (which is admittedly fairly close).

What about Snapp? Haha joke.

[Skeeter]

Skeeter is overrated and knows less about football than Drew.

I R teh Greatest

[Latrinsorm]

This is NFL Picks, not NFL welfare.Time for a POLL.

And I'm way more girly than Snapp. PSH.

[Anebriated]

catcher?

[Celephais]

Time for a POLL.

And I'm way more girly than Snapp. PSH.
Now it's NFL-Democracy? You are way girly.

[Sean of the Thread]

Lol I thought the same thing.