PDA

View Full Version : On Miracles



Latrinsorm
12-24-2020, 03:04 PM
https://i.gifer.com/origin/3d/3d92ccaea1a0b6aa54d8ba7d4ee71bab_w200.gif

Six weeks ago, when we saw 1000 daily deaths, I said we would see 2000 (http://forum.gsplayers.com/showthread.php?127108-On-the-74-Days&p=2183158#post2183158) in three weeks.
Three weeks ago, when we saw 2000 daily deaths, I said we would see 3500 (http://forum.gsplayers.com/showthread.php?127274-On-Giving-Thanks) in three weeks.
We actually saw 3600 die in one day.

Before Thanksgiving we had plateaued at 160,000 daily cases.
After the Thanksgiving surge we have plateaued at 200,000 daily cases, which means we are going to see over 4000 daily deaths - this is unavoidable.

https://imgur.com/2kgvUpz.png

If we see a similarly sized Christmas surge in cases, we will see over 5000 daily deaths.

99.8% of Americans haven't received a dose of the vaccine.
100% of Americans haven't received the both doses that are required for immunity.
0% of Americans who receive a dose of the vaccine after being infected will benefit from it.

There are no such things as miracles.

Parkbandit
12-24-2020, 04:47 PM
On getting properly medicated.

You should.

Gelston
12-24-2020, 04:51 PM
I'm not one for people being prescribed marijuana, but seriously, you need some.

Wrathbringer
12-24-2020, 06:16 PM
https://i.gifer.com/origin/3d/3d92ccaea1a0b6aa54d8ba7d4ee71bab_w200.gif

Six weeks ago, when we saw 1000 daily deaths, I said we would see 2000 (http://forum.gsplayers.com/showthread.php?127108-On-the-74-Days&p=2183158#post2183158) in three weeks.
Three weeks ago, when we saw 2000 daily deaths, I said we would see 3500 (http://forum.gsplayers.com/showthread.php?127274-On-Giving-Thanks) in three weeks.
We actually saw 3600 die in one day.

Before Thanksgiving we had plateaued at 160,000 daily cases.
After the Thanksgiving surge we have plateaued at 200,000 daily cases, which means we are going to see over 4000 daily deaths - this is unavoidable.

https://imgur.com/2kgvUpz.png

If we see a similarly sized Christmas surge in cases, we will see over 5000 daily deaths.

99.8% of Americans haven't received a dose of the vaccine.
100% of Americans haven't received the both doses that are required for immunity.
0% of Americans who receive a dose of the vaccine after being infected will benefit from it.

There are no such things as miracles.

I'm holding a kegger at 5k deaths per day to celebrate impending herd immunity and the end of unconstitutional overreach from covid, if you'd like to come. :)

Wrathbringer
12-24-2020, 06:18 PM
On getting properly medicated.

You should.

Seriously, no shit.


I'm not one for people being prescribed marijuana, but seriously, you need some.

No shit here, either. Probably have to deliver it fedex to his basement along with a special mask that allows you to smoke it without removing the mask, though.

Latrinsorm
12-24-2020, 09:56 PM
Here's what I don't get about the prescription gag - I keep being right, milestone by grim milestone. What illness am I supposed to have, always-correct-itis?

In bed?

phantasm
12-25-2020, 01:24 PM
Yes Latrin, its a fatal illness first diagnosed in Socrates.

Latrinsorm
12-25-2020, 01:36 PM
Yes Latrin, its a fatal illness first diagnosed in Socrates.

I too owe a cock to Asclepius.

phantasm
12-25-2020, 02:18 PM
There is a serene peace in the purity of math and logic. But we are human, and if you want to interact as a human you must broaden your studies to include the science of psychology.

Latrinsorm
12-26-2020, 10:29 AM
There is a serene peace in the purity of math and logic. But we are human, and if you want to interact as a human you must broaden your studies to include the science of psychology.

https://media1.tenor.com/images/90567d0cd54b67583b23339c1a6cbd80/tenor.gif?itemid=16721991

Latrinsorm
01-08-2021, 10:31 AM
Before Thanksgiving we had plateaued at 160,000 daily cases.
After the Thanksgiving surge we have plateaued at 200,000 daily cases, which means we are going to see over 4000 daily deaths - this is unavoidable.

https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/region/united-states

4,085 souls lost to the coronavirus yesterday.

.

It is hard to look at anything about these dark days with thankfulness. There is perhaps no better illustration for this than we as a nation being inexcusably at an all-time high in new cases ten months into this pandemic, but that high only represents a ~5% Christmas increase as opposed to the ~25% surge we saw over Thanksgiving. As the meme doesn't go, our expectations were low but holy s***... we (barely) met them!

How?

As I have said, there are no such thing as miracles so we can rule that out. Instead I think it is appropriate to give thanks to the decisive action taken by state and local officials such as Governor Newsom that saved us from ourselves. While the nation is 5% above its peak, California is 12% below its. We see a similar success story in Ohio, where the unilateral implementation of the strict Stay Safe Ohio protocol by Governor DeWine resulted in a 29% decrease from peak cases.

We know we should wear our clothes in public.
We know we should wear our seat belt.
We know we should wear our mask.

But sometimes some of us need a little push.

And we know that works too.

.

We also have good news on the vaccination front! First of all, we are mere days away from some people being fully vaccinated! January 4th saw the first people receive their second doses, and one week after that (i.e. Monday) those 130 people will gain the benefits of the vaccine. This was not the work of a faith healer, or a scrounging up of magic bread from the ground, but an incredible accomplishment by the state and local officials and for that matter random civilians who were left to work out the administration of the vaccine on their own, and have done so. These disorganized efforts are now getting about 2,000,000 doses of the vaccine distributed every day, which means we'll see everyone fully vaccinated on literally the Fourth of July, 2021. You can't make this stuff up, folks!

So long as vaccinated immunity lasts that long.
And everyone chips in and does their part, and takes the needle.
And the vaccines work for people outside the tested age groups.

Joe Biden wants to go faster, which in my very humble opinion would be great! But it's hard to model since we have absolutely no data on the federal government helping the COVID vaccination process, and as you know, dear reader, I am utterly beholden to data and only data. I recognize we would prefer to get everyone vaccinated before the seasonal effect kicks in and the Texas summer drives cases up again, but what we should have learned a long time ago is the virus doesn't much care what we prefer.

So we'll have to keep fighting.

And...

https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/629454548122271745/e_C2Tcmm.jpg

Wrathbringer
01-08-2021, 10:39 AM
https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/region/united-states

4,085 souls lost to the coronavirus yesterday.

.

It is hard to look at anything about these dark days with thankfulness. There is perhaps no better illustration for this than we as a nation being inexcusably at an all-time high in new cases ten months into this pandemic, but that high only represents a ~5% Christmas increase as opposed to the ~25% surge we saw over Thanksgiving. As the meme doesn't go, our expectations were low but holy s***... we (barely) met them!

How?

As I have said, there are no such thing as miracles so we can rule that out. Instead I think it is appropriate to give thanks to the decisive action taken by state and local officials such as Governor Newsom that saved us from ourselves. While the nation is 5% above its peak, California is 12% below its. We see a similar success story in Ohio, where the unilateral implementation of the strict Stay Safe Ohio protocol by Governor DeWine resulted in a 29% decrease from peak cases.

We know we should wear our clothes in public.
We know we should wear our seat belt.
We know we should wear our mask.

But sometimes some of us need a little push.

And we know that works too.

.

We also have good news on the vaccination front! First of all, we are mere days away from some people being fully vaccinated! January 4th saw the first people receive their second doses, and one week after that (i.e. Monday) those 130 people will gain the benefits of the vaccine. This was not the work of a faith healer, or a scrounging up of magic bread from the ground, but an incredible accomplishment by the state and local officials and for that matter random civilians who were left to work out the administration of the vaccine on their own, and have done so. These disorganized efforts are now getting about 2,000,000 doses of the vaccine distributed every day, which means we'll see everyone fully vaccinated on literally the Fourth of July, 2021. You can't make this stuff up, folks!

So long as vaccinated immunity lasts that long.
And everyone chips in and does their part, and takes the needle.
And the vaccines work for people outside the tested age groups.

Joe Biden wants to go faster, which in my very humble opinion would be great! But it's hard to model since we have absolutely no data on the federal government helping the COVID vaccination process, and as you know, dear reader, I am utterly beholden to data and only data. I recognize we would prefer to get everyone vaccinated before the seasonal effect kicks in and the Texas summer drives cases up again, but what we should have learned a long time ago is the virus doesn't much care what we prefer.

So we'll have to keep fighting.

And...

https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/629454548122271745/e_C2Tcmm.jpg

These posts from you are like watching you masturbate. In your basement. Wearing 72 masks. To NBA stats. Stupidly. With tweezers.

caelric
01-08-2021, 10:47 AM
It is hard to look at anything about these dark days with thankfulness.

And yet, we here at the PC are thankful for your blathering on about all sorts of things, pretending you know anything at all.

As WB said, go back to masturbating about whatever stats you want.

Parkbandit
01-08-2021, 11:12 AM
These posts from you are like watching you masturbate. In your basement. Wearing 72 masks. To NBA stats. Stupidly. With tweezers.

This is true.

Bhaalizmo
01-08-2021, 12:03 PM
These posts from you are like watching you masturbate. In your basement. Wearing 72 masks. To NBA stats. Stupidly. With tweezers.

This might actually be right. If anyone knows about stupidity it's Wraithbringer. He's our resident expert on it, and is well versed in the nuances.

Wrathbringer
01-08-2021, 02:10 PM
And yet, we here at the PC are thankful for your blathering on about all sorts of things, pretending you know anything at all.

As WB said, go back to masturbating about whatever stats you want.

The days are only dark to him because he refuses to leave his basement or open curtains because covid.