This is the End

[Latrinsorm]

We tried to fight the pandemic to a draw so we could save the economy.


We failed.


https://imgur.com/8SvPSU1.png


At both.


https://www.frbatlanta.org/-/media/images/cqer/research/gdpnow/gdpnow-forecast-evolution.gif?h=483&w=912&la=en


Neither of these is the scariest part.


.


A vaccine will be released before the election.


It will be brought to us by the same people who were wrong about travel bans and not masks preventing the spread of the virus, who were wrong about not needing FDA approval for testing kits for the virus, and who were wrong about hydroxychloroquine being a treatment for the virus.


We all know they'll be wrong about this vaccine too, and we all know tens of millions will take it anyway out of loyalty or desperation, and we all know tens of millions more will point to the inevitable failure as reason to not take the genuine vaccine when it is eventually released, fatally undermining herd immunity.


This isn't the scariest part either.


.


The scariest part is that our only hope is the United States Congress.


.


But it's not as bleak as that phrase may have seemed at any other point in any of our adult lives, because we know they've already managed to come together and unanimously(!!!) approve bailout checks to many businesses and each and every one of us. All we need is for them to do that again, and more, and indefinitely.


"Inflation!" Here's the thing - we've already seen $3,000,000,000,000 in stimulus and CPI is deflating. We need immediate further injections just to get to a healthy amount of inflation, worrying about hyperinflation now is like worrying about cholesterol during a famine.


"Debt!" Here's the thing - money isn't real. Germany saw -2% GDP in the first quarter compared to our -5%, and is projected to see -10% GDP in the second quarter compared to our -35%. None of these are good numbers, but I know which ones I'd pick.


In addition to crushing us economically, Germany is crushing us medically:


http://imgur.com/mS0KdGK.png


They have done and are continuing to do better on both. We can too, and we can do it by doing what they did: $$$ (technically they did €€€ but you get the idea).


"Socialism!??" Here's the thing - I said it was the end, didn't I?


.


.


We get to choose, right now, today.
Not next week, next week is too late.
Not tomorrow, tomorrow is too late.
It's already too late today.
We are in the no-win scenario.
Our only choice is how much we want to lose.


Is this the end of capitalism, or the end of America?


Look at the first picture again. There are no blue states anymore. The red states represented by Republicans are already coming around, slowly, from the governor of Texas to the senior Senator from Kentucky. All they need is a little more push and we can survive.

[Gelston]

k bye

[Parkbandit]

Stay under your bed Latrine.. we'll handle it.

[Seran]

Deflation isn't the end of the American Dream, it's the realization that incomes across the country have been slashed, following decades of minimal wage growth. When American's can't afford to buy goods, retail suffers, utilizing price reductions and sales to spur more activity. Yes it hurts their bottom line, but raising prices to help spur inflation would do the exact opposite of encouraging economic growth.

[Murrandii]

Socialism, not the 20th century version but the "theoric" version is a fatality. It will be worldwide and every damn country will live by it. Your country will be about the last to embrace it, though.

Humans are not capable of bearing too much liberty. The greater good (community) is always preferable to the lesser good (individuality).

Capitalism has failed, capitalism is falling. It's not even true capitalism anyway, it's more a few big companies that control high % of the economy and creates "fake" liberty in order to keep people aligned.

i.e. I'm free. I buy americain! And said person goes to wal mart and buy tons of crap made in china. LOL

[Gelston]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4OEvDqRr898

[Latrinsorm]

Stay under your bed Latrine.. we'll handle it.
You had your chance. How many have to die for you to question your macroeconomic policy?

[Latrinsorm]

Deflation isn't the end of the American Dream, it's the realization that incomes across the country have been slashed, following decades of minimal wage growth. When American's can't afford to buy goods, retail suffers, utilizing price reductions and sales to spur more activity. Yes it hurts their bottom line, but raising prices to help spur inflation would do the exact opposite of encouraging economic growth.
You've got it backwards. Inflation doesn't happen when prices are raised, prices are raised when inflation happens. The Fed has no control whatsoever over prices, they only control the rate banks lend to each other, and when they cut rates it's an inflationary force, which is why in the face of impending recessions (like late 2019) they cut, cut, cut. Unfortunately they have already cut to 0 so that path is exhausted.

Another less popular and more dangerous inflationary force is for the government to print money willy-nilly and give it away to citizens. More money in the hands of the poor means more spending, that's more demand, THEN prices go up. Ask anyone who complains about fiat currency, they will talk to you about it, for great length, even though you'd much rather they stop.

This isn't hypothetical. Germany turned on the spigots, avoided the economic damage we're suffering, AND avoided the human damage we're suffering. It's not a choice between economy and medicine, it's only a choice between practicality and theory. Many Americans have the theory that socialism is bad. In this case, it turns out they're dead wrong.

[Wrathbringer]

You've got it backwards. Inflation doesn't happen when prices are raised, prices are raised when inflation happens. The Fed has no control whatsoever over prices, they only control the rate banks lend to each other, and when they cut rates it's an inflationary force, which is why in the face of impending recessions (like late 2019) they cut, cut, cut. Unfortunately they have already cut to 0 so that path is exhausted.

Another less popular and more dangerous inflationary force is for the government to print money willy-nilly and give it away to citizens. More money in the hands of the poor means more spending, that's more demand, THEN prices go up. Ask anyone who complains about fiat currency, they will talk to you about it, for great length, even though you'd much rather they stop.

This isn't hypothetical. Germany turned on the spigots, avoided the economic damage we're suffering, AND avoided the human damage we're suffering. It's not a choice between economy and medicine, it's only a choice between practicality and theory. Many Americans have the theory that socialism is bad. In this case, it turns out they're dead wrong.

:lol:

Welcome back.

[Wrathbringer]

Socialism, not the 20th century version but the "theoric" version is a fatality. It will be worldwide and every damn country will live by it. Your country will be about the last to embrace it, though.

Humans are not capable of bearing too much liberty. The greater good (community) is always preferable to the lesser good (individuality).

Capitalism has failed, capitalism is falling. It's not even true capitalism anyway, it's more a few big companies that control high % of the economy and creates "fake" liberty in order to keep people aligned.

i.e. I'm free. I buy americain! And said person goes to wal mart and buy tons of crap made in china. LOL

You're retarded, MacGyver.

[Methais]

We tried to fight the pandemic to a draw so we could save the economy.


We failed.


https://imgur.com/8SvPSU1.png


At both.


https://www.frbatlanta.org/-/media/images/cqer/research/gdpnow/gdpnow-forecast-evolution.gif?h=483&w=912&la=en


Neither of these is the scariest part.


.


A vaccine will be released before the election.


It will be brought to us by the same people who were wrong about travel bans and not masks preventing the spread of the virus, who were wrong about not needing FDA approval for testing kits for the virus, and who were wrong about hydroxychloroquine being a treatment for the virus.


We all know they'll be wrong about this vaccine too, and we all know tens of millions will take it anyway out of loyalty or desperation, and we all know tens of millions more will point to the inevitable failure as reason to not take the genuine vaccine when it is eventually released, fatally undermining herd immunity.


This isn't the scariest part either.


.


The scariest part is that our only hope is the United States Congress.


.


But it's not as bleak as that phrase may have seemed at any other point in any of our adult lives, because we know they've already managed to come together and unanimously(!!!) approve bailout checks to many businesses and each and every one of us. All we need is for them to do that again, and more, and indefinitely.


"Inflation!" Here's the thing - we've already seen $3,000,000,000,000 in stimulus and CPI is deflating. We need immediate further injections just to get to a healthy amount of inflation, worrying about hyperinflation now is like worrying about cholesterol during a famine.


"Debt!" Here's the thing - money isn't real. Germany saw -2% GDP in the first quarter compared to our -5%, and is projected to see -10% GDP in the second quarter compared to our -35%. None of these are good numbers, but I know which ones I'd pick.


In addition to crushing us economically, Germany is crushing us medically:


http://imgur.com/mS0KdGK.png


They have done and are continuing to do better on both. We can too, and we can do it by doing what they did: $$$ (technically they did €€€ but you get the idea).


"Socialism!??" Here's the thing - I said it was the end, didn't I?


.


.


We get to choose, right now, today.
Not next week, next week is too late.
Not tomorrow, tomorrow is too late.
It's already too late today.
We are in the no-win scenario.
Our only choice is how much we want to lose.


Is this the end of capitalism, or the end of America?


Look at the first picture again. There are no blue states anymore. The red states represented by Republicans are already coming around, slowly, from the governor of Texas to the senior Senator from Kentucky. All they need is a little more push and we can survive.

How are you cold cut buying skills coming along though?

[Seran]

You've got it backwards. Inflation doesn't happen when prices are raised, prices are raised when inflation happens. The Fed has no control whatsoever over prices, they only control the rate banks lend to each other, and when they cut rates it's an inflationary force, which is why in the face of impending recessions (like late 2019) they cut, cut, cut. Unfortunately they have already cut to 0 so that path is exhausted.

Another less popular and more dangerous inflationary force is for the government to print money willy-nilly and give it away to citizens. More money in the hands of the poor means more spending, that's more demand, THEN prices go up. Ask anyone who complains about fiat currency, they will talk to you about it, for great length, even though you'd much rather they stop.

This isn't hypothetical. Germany turned on the spigots, avoided the economic damage we're suffering, AND avoided the human damage we're suffering. It's not a choice between economy and medicine, it's only a choice between practicality and theory. Many Americans have the theory that socialism is bad. In this case, it turns out they're dead wrong.

Actually, you have it backwards. Per the Federal Reserve:


What is inflation and how does the Federal Reserve evaluate changes in the rate of inflation?

Inflation is the increase in the prices of goods and services over time. Inflation cannot be measured by an increase in the cost of one product or service, or even several products or services. Rather, inflation is a general increase in the overall price level of the goods and services in the economy.

Inflation is the indexed increase of goods and services, so when consumer confidence and spending drops, inflation does in the toilet as manufacturers and distributors at points of sale are charging less to spur consumption.

Your answer about the printing of money is only half right. Printing more money and distributing to consumers in the form of tax rebates or stimulus payments can have the effect of driving up purchases and thus the price component in an inflation index. However the other part of your Marxist proposal fails to account for the devaluation of a currency caused by the 'creation' of money where value doesn't exist. Look at any number of Eastern European, African or South American countries at their massive problems with hyperinflation as a result of trying to increase the value of their currency against the actual price of foreign goods/services. Prices aren't going up due to demand, but rather the cost of the supply quotient due to the devaluation of the domestic currency over goods and raw materials purchased from foreign sources.

QED; Making wealth, without creating value under a socialist policy will usually spell disaster for an economy.

[Latrinsorm]

How are you cold cut buying skills coming along though?
no complaints

[Latrinsorm]

Actually, you have it backwards. Per the Federal Reserve:



Inflation is the indexed increase of goods and services, so when consumer confidence and spending drops, inflation does in the toilet as manufacturers and distributors at points of sale are charging less to spur consumption.

Your answer about the printing of money is only half right. Printing more money and distributing to consumers in the form of tax rebates or stimulus payments can have the effect of driving up purchases and thus the price component in an inflation index. However the other part of your Marxist proposal fails to account for the devaluation of a currency caused by the 'creation' of money where value doesn't exist. Look at any number of Eastern European, African or South American countries at their massive problems with hyperinflation as a result of trying to increase the value of their currency against the actual price of foreign goods/services. Prices aren't going up due to demand, but rather the cost of the supply quotient due to the devaluation of the domestic currency over goods and raw materials purchased from foreign sources.

QED; Making wealth, without creating value under a socialist policy will usually spell disaster for an economy.
I didn't say what would usually happen. I said what happened specifically in Germany specifically in response to this specific scenario. They went socialist and we didn't, their outcome is much better - less GDP loss, better (i.e. any) inflation without hyperinflation, AND a dramatically better coronavirus situation. See for yourself: https://www.inflation.eu/inflation-rates/germany/historic-inflation/cpi-inflation-germany-2020.aspx

That's how you QED. ;)

[Suppa Hobbit Mage]

I don't know. I've made (as in bought and sold for a profit) a significant amount of money since I bought them (IVR, UAL, BOTZ, GE and F) in March and sold in May and June. I'm also in the process of getting promoted at work.

I feel like it's just the beginning.

[Suppa Hobbit Mage]

Actually I haven't sold BOTZ. So strike that one :)

[Latrinsorm]

Florida record cases 06/24, week starting 06/29 saw most deaths (312) since the week starting 05/04 (342)

Texas record cases 06/20, week starting 06/29 saw most deaths (244) since the week starting 05/11 (248)

Arizona record cases 06/16, week starting 06/22 saw most deaths (249) ever

.

We started locking down in late March when there were nationally about 300 daily deaths, which peaked three weeks later at about 2000.

https://imgur.com/gscI3Cc.png

If we had started locking down one week earlier when there were about 50, we would have peaked at about 1100.

https://i.imgur.com/FkZaQSA.png

One week's delay was the difference between 130,000 and 70,000 dead (so far).

How much longer do you want to wait this time?

.

We don't have to sacrifice the economy to save lives.

We only have to sacrifice our pride.

Capitalism can't handle this.

We were wrong.

We don't have to stay wrong.

[Gelston]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OpSBoNNurjk

[Latrinsorm]

In the first chart in the OP we went from 22 states trending down to 18 to 23 to 33 to 34.

https://imgur.com/5GJAptt.png

A week later we were at 39.

Today one of the last three green states flipped to yellow, and both of the remaining two are seeing increasing positivity and flat cases.

We're all red states now. It's time to work together.

[Suppa Hobbit Mage]

Lots of opportunity in the stock market right now. I'm gonna get back in and make half a years wages again soon.

[Gelston]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=py2J_elwLDg

[Methais]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=py2J_elwLDg

You're doing it wrong. Reported.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VScSEXRwUqQ

[Gelston]

You're doing it wrong. Reported.
]


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eVTXPUF4Oz4

[Methais]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eVTXPUF4Oz4

Now you're doing it even wronger. The wrongest.

[Wrathbringer]

Speed the spread. Herd immunity ftw.

[Methais]

https://m.media-amazon.com/images/I/41UewtqyPhL.jpg

[Latrinsorm]

Speed the spread. Herd immunity ftw.

at the current rate using antibody studies to confirm untested cases we will at the earliest achieve herd immunity at one million deaths

NYC on May 21st had 19.9% antibody presence with observed cases of 2.3% = (197004/8399000)

nationally we currently have observed cases of 2,943,823, so actual cases of 25m, to reach herd immunity we need 60% population infected or put another way we need to increase our cases by a factor of 328.2 * .6 / 25 and applying that same factor to 120610 deaths = 950,946

this rate of over 2900 deaths per 1m population would be by far the worst in the world - the current high is 843

this assumes immunity lasts long enough that exposure based herd immunity even works, and assumes no deaths at all due to an exhausted medical system. there's no way to evaluate the first assumption until we try, but we do know that nine states are already at elevated ICU occupancy with an eighth of the outbreak so the second assumption seems extremely fraught

.

OR!

we could do like Germany and just print our way out of it, saving our lives AND preserving the economy

this assumes fiat currency spelt with an E works like fiat currency spelt with a D

[Gelston]

https://i.ytimg.com/vi/P4LhWSN3YSw/maxresdefault.jpg

[Suppa Hobbit Mage]

at the current rate using antibody studies to confirm untested cases we will at the earliest achieve herd immunity at one million deaths

NYC on May 21st had 19.9% antibody presence with observed cases of 2.3% = (197004/8399000)

nationally we currently have observed cases of 2,943,823, so actual cases of 25m, to reach herd immunity we need 60% population infected or put another way we need to increase our cases by a factor of 328.2 * .6 / 25 and applying that same factor to 120610 deaths = 950,946

this rate of over 2900 deaths per 1m population would be by far the worst in the world - the current high is 843

this assumes immunity lasts long enough that exposure based herd immunity even works, and assumes no deaths at all due to an exhausted medical system. there's no way to evaluate the first assumption until we try, but we do know that nine states are already at elevated ICU occupancy with an eighth of the outbreak so the second assumption seems extremely fraught

.

OR!

we could do like Germany and just print our way out of it, saving our lives AND preserving the economy

this assumes fiat currency spelt with an E works like fiat currency spelt with a D

Seems disingenuous to assume the death rate would 8x current rates, but you do you bra. I like your chicken little style. Do you still wear a top hat and vest?

edit had to revise my multiplier.

[Methais]

Seems disingenuous to assume the death rate would 8x current rates, but you do you bra. I like your chicken little style. Do you still wear a top hat and vest?

edit had to revise my multiplier.

Give Latrin a break. He just learned how to buy cold cuts all by himself. He’s had a busy year.

I need to know more about this top hat and vest though. I require immediate details.

[Suppa Hobbit Mage]

A long time ago someone showed me a picture of him in a vest and top hat is all. Looked very Cat in the Hat.

[Wrathbringer]

at the current rate using antibody studies to confirm untested cases we will at the earliest achieve herd immunity at one million deaths

NYC on May 21st had 19.9% antibody presence with observed cases of 2.3% = (197004/8399000)

nationally we currently have observed cases of 2,943,823, so actual cases of 25m, to reach herd immunity we need 60% population infected or put another way we need to increase our cases by a factor of 328.2 * .6 / 25 and applying that same factor to 120610 deaths = 950,946

this rate of over 2900 deaths per 1m population would be by far the worst in the world - the current high is 843

this assumes immunity lasts long enough that exposure based herd immunity even works, and assumes no deaths at all due to an exhausted medical system. there's no way to evaluate the first assumption until we try, but we do know that nine states are already at elevated ICU occupancy with an eighth of the outbreak so the second assumption seems extremely fraught

.

OR!

we could do like Germany and just print our way out of it, saving our lives AND preserving the economy

this assumes fiat currency spelt with an E works like fiat currency spelt with a D

1. You aren't factoring in the massive amount of unreported asymptomatic and mild cases, which are by the most conservative estimates 70+% of all infections.

2. There is zero proof that the current "slow the spread" measures are saving any lives that would have otherwise been lost and lots of proof that they are rather costing lives in other unforeseen ways unrelated to covid.

3. The longer we allow this virus to drag on, the more time it has to mutate into something that could kill us all.

4. 1m deaths = 0.3% of the US population.

5. As for saving the economy, it has already recovered and is again setting new highs, thanks to Trump's flawless economic policies, and not everyone is even back to work yet. :) #MAGA

So let's preserve what little value is left in the dollar for the 99.986% of those who survive and allow the virus to run its course and disperse.

[Latrinsorm]

Seems disingenuous to assume the death rate would 8x current rates, but you do you bra. I like your chicken little style. Do you still wear a top hat and vest?

edit had to revise my multiplier.

8x cases, 8x deaths. cut the deaths in half if you like, that's still half a million.

i don't know what picture you're thinking of but i have never worn a top hat

[Tgo01]

So what exactly is the solution? 70% of the people stay home while 30% of "essential" workers keep working to take care of us? Surely that is sustainable.

We might not reach herd immunity with exposure because immunity might not last long enough? Well then we're fucked anyways because vaccines aren't nearly as effective as natural immunity, this is even assuming we find a safe and viable vaccine.

I'm all for people saying we should do something different to try and stem the number of cases and deaths, but no one who says this ever has a solution! Instead they just tear down whatever it is people are trying.

It is literally not sustainable to keep the economy shut down. Honestly I'm surprised the economy bounced back the way it did after 3+ months of lockdowns. That's only because the government pumped a shit ton of money into the economy, but once again that's not sustainable because eventually investors in US debt is going to realize it's just a house of cards waiting to fall.

It's time for people to stop pushing panic porn and realize what we are doing might be the best solution. Will people die? Unfortunately yes, but the alternative of "Keep everything shut down until we find a cure" means EVERYONE dies.

[Latrinsorm]

1. You aren't factoring in the massive amount of unreported asymptomatic and mild cases, which are by the most conservative estimates 70+% of all infections.

2. There is zero proof that the current "slow the spread" measures are saving any lives that would have otherwise been lost and lots of proof that they are rather costing lives in other unforeseen ways unrelated to covid.

3. The longer we allow this virus to drag on, the more time it has to mutate into something that could kill us all.

4. 1m deaths = 0.014% of the US population.

5. As for saving the economy, it has already recovered and is again setting new highs, thanks to Trump's flawless economic policies, and not everyone is even back to work yet. :) #MAGA

So let's preserve what little value is left in the dollar for the 99.986% of those who survive and allow the virus to run its course and disperse.

1. i did, by using antibody presence instead of confirmed cases - antibodies are generated regardless of report, symptoms, or severity. you may notice that 1 - 2.3/19.9 = 88%, so i actually factored them in even more than you did

2. someone whom you shoot in the head could have died from something else the next day, or the next week, or the next year, and it is impossible to prove otherwise. i strongly encourage you to NOT use that as a defense should you ever find yourself on trial for murder

3. Germany had 400 new cases of coronavirus yesterday. not deaths, cases. 30 states individually had more than that. if you really want to eliminate the virus, do what the former did, not the latter. they could have the same rate of cases for a month and barely catch up to what Florida did today

4. 1m deaths is 0.014% of the world population. the united states, in point of fact, is not the entire world

5. 10% unemployment and -35% GDP are only new highs in the extreme wrong direction

deflation does not preserve value, because it has a tremendously chilling effect on the economy (which we absolutely do not need right now). people with much more information and training than you or i discovered a long time ago that mild inflation was the best way to keep the economy thriving. to hit that target, we need immediate and sustained inflationary pressure.

[Tgo01]

Also note that the original peak in cases was 34,364 on April 4th, the peak of deaths was 2,749 on April 21st, a lag of 17 days.

Cases once again reached ~34k on June 19th at 33,578 cases, 17 days later on July 6th the number of deaths was 378, but okay let's go by yesterday's number of 993.

That's one third the number of deaths going by the same number of cases spaced 17 days apart.

Clearly a big portion of the original deaths were failures at the state and local level of not doing a better job of protecting people in nursing homes.

Also many more younger and healthier people are making up a large number of the cases now which also helps lower the death rate. When a good portion of the cases are old and sick people in nursing homes because everyone else is forced to stay at home of course it's going to fuck with the death rate.

[Latrinsorm]

So what exactly is the solution? 70% of the people stay home while 30% of "essential" workers keep working to take care of us? Surely that is sustainable.

We might not reach herd immunity with exposure because immunity might not last long enough? Well then we're fucked anyways because vaccines aren't nearly as effective as natural immunity, this is even assuming we find a safe and viable vaccine.

I'm all for people saying we should do something different to try and stem the number of cases and deaths, but no one who says this ever has a solution! Instead they just tear down whatever it is people are trying.

It is literally not sustainable to keep the economy shut down. Honestly I'm surprised the economy bounced back the way it did after 3+ months of lockdowns. That's only because the government pumped a shit ton of money into the economy, but once again that's not sustainable because eventually investors in US debt is going to realize it's just a house of cards waiting to fall.

It's time for people to stop pushing panic porn and realize what we are doing might be the best solution. Will people die? Unfortunately yes, but the alternative of "Keep everything shut down until we find a cure" means EVERYONE dies.

it is. this is because, as you may have heard, money isn't real. the government can print as much of it as it wants, whenever it wants. that 70% of people not being exposed is literally identical to the plan of 70% of people having immunity: it is enough for the virus to not have enough hosts to continue spreading and the cases dwindle to near zero. this is not hypothetical. it has worked in many other countries, and it can work here too. it is a radical solution but it is our only option left - try

vaccines don't have to be as effective as natural immunity, they only have to have less severe side effects than hospitalization, permanent crippling injury, and death. if everybody gets covid every three months, a million die every three months. if everybody gets vaccinated every month, nobody dies. having nobody die three times as often doesn't matter because 0 * 3 = 0

i have offered the solution, repeatedly, in this thread: just do what germany did. of course, prevention is known to be between 15 and 17 times as effective as cure, so we're going to have to do it a lot more now because we screwed up so badly to start with, but the principle is sound. germany didn't see a torrential outflow of investment. japan didn't. why would we be any different?

the only question is how long we want to wait

Arizona and Texas have set daily death records since i posted YESTERDAY

how many more states will it take?

[Drew]

What's your source on the bottom chart of countries?

[Latrinsorm]

Also note that the original peak in cases was 34,364 on April 4th, the peak of deaths was 2,749 on April 21st, a lag of 17 days.

Cases once again reached ~34k on June 19th at 33,578 cases, 17 days later on July 6th the number of deaths was 378, but okay let's go by yesterday's number of 993.

That's one third the number of deaths going by the same number of cases spaced 17 days apart.

Clearly a big portion of the original deaths were failures at the state and local level of not doing a better job of protecting people in nursing homes.

Also many more younger and healthier people are making up a large number of the cases now which also helps lower the death rate. When a good portion of the cases are old and sick people in nursing homes because everyone else is forced to stay at home of course it's going to fuck with the death rate.

new york state peaked at 800 deaths per day, or 41 per million

arizona is already at 16

if it or another current state reaches 41, will you agree that you were wrong about the nursing home thing?

[Latrinsorm]

What's your source on the bottom chart of countries?

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries

they don't keep past data on that page though

[Wrathbringer]

1. i did, by using antibody presence instead of confirmed cases - antibodies are generated regardless of report, symptoms, or severity. you may notice that 1 - 2.3/19.9 = 88%, so i actually factored them in even more than you did

2. someone whom you shoot in the head could have died from something else the next day, or the next week, or the next year, and it is impossible to prove otherwise. i strongly encourage you to NOT use that as a defense should you ever find yourself on trial for murder

3. Germany had 400 new cases of coronavirus yesterday. not deaths, cases. 30 states individually had more than that. if you really want to eliminate the virus, do what the former did, not the latter. they could have the same rate of cases for a month and barely catch up to what Florida did today

4. 1m deaths is 0.014% of the world population. the united states, in point of fact, is not the entire world

5. 10% unemployment and -35% GDP are only new highs in the extreme wrong direction

deflation does not preserve value, because it has a tremendously chilling effect on the economy (which we absolutely do not need right now). people with much more information and training than you or i discovered a long time ago that mild inflation was the best way to keep the economy thriving. to hit that target, we need immediate and sustained inflationary pressure.

I corrected the your estimated percentage of the US population deaths required to achieve herd immunity to 0.3%. Apologize for the oversight. I notice you didn't care to make the correction yourself or address this minuscule number. Everything else you posted was lololol. Again, welcome back. Missed the lulz.

[Latrinsorm]

I corrected the your estimated percentage of the US population deaths required to achieve herd immunity to 0.3%. Apologize for the oversight. I notice you didn't care to make the correction yourself or address this minuscule number. Everything else you posted was lololol. Again, welcome back. Missed the lulz.

that 0.3% would be by far and away the leading cause of death this year, which 0.014% would not. i had assumed you would be aware of this, so i suppose it's my turn to apologize: add up the lengths people go to to avoid heart disease, cancer, accidents, and murder, and you would be barely to 0.3%. and again, the thing is we don't actually have to go to any extreme lengths, practically speaking. we only have to give up the fairy tales we've been told about economics.

you don't believe the story about the Pilgrims at Thanksgiving, right?
you don't believe the story about Columbus discovering America, right?
you don't believe the story about... literally anything from D.A.R.E., right?

so why should the story about America being capitalist and capitalism always being the best be any different? because some guy with a suit said it instead of some lady with a chalkboard? look around. it worked in Germany, it worked in Asia. it already worked here. when we got checks from the government ex nihilo people stayed home, infection plummeted. now we're not getting checks from the government, infections skyrocket, positive rates skyrocket, hospitalizations skyrocket, deaths skyrocket.

if you don't close the door on your hand and it doesn't hurt, then you do close the door on your hand and it does hurt, what kind of major malfunction would you need to try closing the door on your hand again? stick with what works!

[Tgo01]

it is. this is because, as you may have heard, money isn't real. the government can print as much of it as it wants, whenever it wants. that 70% of people not being exposed is literally identical to the plan of 70% of people having immunity: it is enough for the virus to not have enough hosts to continue spreading and the cases dwindle to near zero. this is not hypothetical. it has worked in many other countries, and it can work here too. it is a radical solution but it is our only option left - try

Yeah we just keep printing money, surely this has never caused problems for countries who have tried it in the past.


vaccines don't have to be as effective as natural immunity, they only have to have less severe side effects than hospitalization, permanent crippling injury, and death. if everybody gets covid every three months, a million die every three months. if everybody gets vaccinated every month, nobody dies. having nobody die three times as often doesn't matter because 0 * 3 = 0

You're assuming the vaccine will be 100% effective, which is nearly impossible. Even the flu vaccine is only like 30-50% effective. Again this is even assuming we find a safe and effective vaccine at all, which isn't a guarantee.


i have offered the solution, repeatedly, in this thread: just do what germany did.

What is that exactly? Every time you have mentioned this you just said "Let's do what Germany did!" Okay, what did Germany do?


Arizona and Texas have set daily death records since i posted YESTERDAY

Florida had 49 deaths today and Arizona had 36, what you talking 'bout, Willis?

Yes Texas finally broke triple digits to sit at 121, but that's still far away from what happened to NY and NJ. Why are we acting like these three states dropped the ball while giving states like NY and NJ a pass? California had the most deaths today at 150 and that's a record for them too.

So we attacking Florida, Arizona, and Texas while giving a pass to NY, NJ, and CA. Now what could be the difference between these 6 states? What oh what could the difference be?

[Tgo01]

if it or another current state reaches 41, will you agree that you were wrong about the nursing home thing?

Why would I admit I'm wrong when we know for a fact that Cuomo was stuffing infected patients into nursing homes?

[Wrathbringer]

that 0.3% would be by far and away the leading cause of death this year, which 0.014% would not. i had assumed you would be aware of this, so i suppose it's my turn to apologize: add up the lengths people go to to avoid heart disease, cancer, accidents, and murder, and you would be barely to 0.3%. and again, the thing is we don't actually have to go to any extreme lengths, practically speaking. we only have to give up the fairy tales we've been told about economics.

you don't believe the story about the Pilgrims at Thanksgiving, right?
you don't believe the story about Columbus discovering America, right?
you don't believe the story about... literally anything from D.A.R.E., right?

so why should the story about America being capitalist and capitalism always being the best be any different? because some guy with a suit said it instead of some lady with a chalkboard? look around. it worked in Germany, it worked in Asia. it already worked here. when we got checks from the government ex nihilo people stayed home, infection plummeted. now we're not getting checks from the government, infections skyrocket, positive rates skyrocket, hospitalizations skyrocket, deaths skyrocket.

if you don't close the door on your hand and it doesn't hurt, then you do close the door on your hand and it does hurt, what kind of major malfunction would you need to try closing the door on your hand again? stick with what works!

Your ideas are akin to amputating for a mosquito bite. 995 of 1000 people survive infection. There are real issues our country should be addressing. Covid isn't in the top 20.

[Methais]

1. i did, by using antibody presence instead of confirmed cases - antibodies are generated regardless of report, symptoms, or severity. you may notice that 1 - 2.3/19.9 = 88%, so i actually factored them in even more than you did

2. someone whom you shoot in the head could have died from something else the next day, or the next week, or the next year, and it is impossible to prove otherwise. i strongly encourage you to NOT use that as a defense should you ever find yourself on trial for murder.

Except for in 2020, because if someone gets shot in the head and dies in 2020 and it turns out they also had a cold at the time, they get labeled a COVID death.

https://meme.xyz/uploads/posts/t/l-60704-a-florida-man-has-died-from-coronavirus-after-being-eaten-by-alligator.jpg

[Latrinsorm]

Yeah we just keep printing money, surely this has never caused problems for countries who have tried it in the past.



You're assuming the vaccine will be 100% effective, which is nearly impossible. Even the flu vaccine is only like 30-50% effective. Again this is even assuming we find a safe and effective vaccine at all, which isn't a guarantee.



What is that exactly? Every time you have mentioned this you just said "Let's do what Germany did!" Okay, what did Germany do?



Florida had 49 deaths today and Arizona had 36, what you talking 'bout, Willis?

Yes Texas finally broke triple digits to sit at 121, but that's still far away from what happened to NY and NJ. Why are we acting like these three states dropped the ball while giving states like NY and NJ a pass? California had the most deaths today at 150 and that's a record for them too.

So we attacking Florida, Arizona, and Texas while giving a pass to NY, NJ, and CA. Now what could be the difference between these 6 states? What oh what could the difference be?

you are correct, it didn't cause problems for Germany or any of the Asian countries that followed similar routes. you can look up how much money failed republics printed compared to what we're talking about and you'll discover why your comparison is inapt, or not. your call.

germany gave (and is still giving) money to businesses to give to their employees, and (this is the key point) are doing enough of it, quickly enough, and for long enough. as a result, their GDP is dropping 7% in the second quarter (as opposed to 35% for us) and their unemployment peaked at 6% (as opposed to 15% for us). a fifth of the economic damage AND a quarter of the viral damage - it's really not that complicated.

arizona had 117 deaths by the end of the 7th, which is after i posted in the morning. florida hasn't had record daily deaths yet, which is why i didn't say anything about florida's daily deaths.

i'm not talking about any Democratic states because you people don't care about them, and you don't need to. their representatives are already ready to do some socialism - see the $3t stimulus that sailed through the House. it's up to people in states represented by Republicans to lean on them and get it (and the next one) over the finish line. you people had sensible chuckles over the urban blues and their subways and their frappes because everyone knew real American rural red states were invincible. sooner or later you'll recognize that all humans are vincible. i'm just trying to get you there sooner rather than later, for all our sakes.

[Latrinsorm]

Except for in 2020, because if someone gets shot in the head and dies in 2020 and it turns out they also had a cold at the time, they get labeled a COVID death.



i've asked you this before, but how are you STILL not tired of how lazily faked the memes people want you to believe are? i mean seriously, that's mspaint level

[Methais]

i've asked you this before, but how are you STILL not tired of how lazily faked the memes people want you to believe are? i mean seriously, that's mspaint level

If you legitimately believe that I was posting that Shepard Smith meme as "real news," when it's an obvious hyperbolic example, then you have bigger problems than being in your 30s and still not knowing how to grocery shop.

[Suppa Hobbit Mage]

Printing money forever will have more far reaching impacts that any virus would. Lets try and not turn into Greece or Italy.

[Seran]

you are correct, it didn't cause problems for Germany or any of the Asian countries that followed similar routes. you can look up how much money failed republics printed compared to what we're talking about and you'll discover why your comparison is inapt, or not. your call.

germany gave (and is still giving) money to businesses to give to their employees, and (this is the key point) are doing enough of it, quickly enough, and for long enough. as a result, their GDP is dropping 7% in the second quarter (as opposed to 35% for us) and their unemployment peaked at 6% (as opposed to 15% for us). a fifth of the economic damage AND a quarter of the viral damage - it's really not that complicated.

arizona had 117 deaths by the end of the 7th, which is after i posted in the morning. florida hasn't had record daily deaths yet, which is why i didn't say anything about florida's daily deaths.

i'm not talking about any Democratic states because you people don't care about them, and you don't need to. their representatives are already ready to do some socialism - see the $3t stimulus that sailed through the House. it's up to people in states represented by Republicans to lean on them and get it (and the next one) over the finish line. you people had sensible chuckles over the urban blues and their subways and their frappes because everyone knew real American rural red states were invincible. sooner or later you'll recognize that all humans are vincible. i'm just trying to get you there sooner rather than later, for all our sakes.

The second quarter GDP hasn't been released and the forecast model you are citing has changed weekly, often times multiple times per week. Beginning with an estimated drop of 59% in the beginning of June, we're all the way down to a forecasted drop of 35.2%. The actual numbers when they come out at the end of the month we'll likely be low to mid twenties.

[Seran]

Printing money forever will have more far reaching impacts that any virus would. Lets try and not turn into Greece or Italy.

That seems to be the OPs agenda, to see just how quickly the US Dollar can he turned into the next Rand or Bolivar.

[Tgo01]

germany gave (and is still giving) money to businesses to give to their employees, and (this is the key point) are doing enough of it, quickly enough, and for long enough. as a result, their GDP is dropping 7% in the second quarter (as opposed to 35% for us) and their unemployment peaked at 6% (as opposed to 15% for us). a fifth of the economic damage AND a quarter of the viral damage - it's really not that complicated.

I don't know if you're aware of this, but we closed the country down for 3 months and we also paid companies to pay their employees. We also gave taxpayers a one time payment too.

Everything was going pretty well until Democrats openly encouraged mass protests and "medical experts" flat out said protesting was more important than COVID.

So what's the plan now? Close everything again for 3 months? You know we can't do that again right? Look up some of those countries whose economies completely failed in the past due to just printing money.

[Latrinsorm]

Printing money forever will have more far reaching impacts that any virus would. Lets try and not turn into Greece or Italy.

Greece's crisis was (contributed to) because they COULDN'T print money, not because they DID. they (and Italy, though i'm not sure what you're referring to there) as members of the European Union literally couldn't if they wanted to

[Latrinsorm]

The second quarter GDP hasn't been released and the forecast model you are citing has changed weekly, often times multiple times per week. Beginning with an estimated drop of 59% in the beginning of June, we're all the way down to a forecasted drop of 35.2%. The actual numbers when they come out at the end of the month we'll likely be low to mid twenties.

what number will it have to come in at for you to change your mind about proposals like mine?

as for the bolivar, Venezuela had over 10,000% inflation. to reach those figures we would need programs at least in the hundreds of trillions, but even the most liberal proposals top out in the single trillions. the rand of course had nowhere near the level of inflation, so has nothing to do with this discussion

like i suggested to TGO01, if you look at the actual numbers you can start to realize what a cock and bull story you've been sold

or you can keep repeating the fairy tales. it remains your call

[Latrinsorm]

I don't know if you're aware of this, but we closed the country down for 3 months and we also paid companies to pay their employees. We also gave taxpayers a one time payment too.

Everything was going pretty well until Democrats openly encouraged mass protests and "medical experts" flat out said protesting was more important than COVID.

So what's the plan now? Close everything again for 3 months? You know we can't do that again right? Look up some of those countries whose economies completely failed in the past due to just printing money.

we closed down the country for 1 month and covered paychecks for about the same. it took us until April to start that (way too late), we didn't spend nearly enough on it (Germany did 5 times as much per capita), and we gave up way too early by reopening when we were at 60% of our peak cases (as opposed to Germany's 10%)

mass protests all happened at the same time, but all the states didn't turn red at the same time. New York state had thousands of people thronging the bridges and they're STILL not seeing an uptick in cases. the people who told you that lie are desperately hoping you won't look at any actual numbers. why are you obeying them?

as i conclusively proved to Seran, you people have been taught to repeat the idea that printing money makes economies fail, and no one ever showed you any actual numbers, because if they had you'd realize we're orders of magnitude below that level of inflation even in the most pie in the sky liberal proposal. the question isn't whether we can print this much and have a strong economy - we know for a fact we will, just like Germany literally just did. the question isn't even what else those people lied to you about. (it's a LOT, by the way.) the question is how long it will take you personally to come around to acknowledging the incontrovertible failure of our current approach and the incontrovertible success of the German method.

we are going to shut down the economy again, Republicans from Senator McConnell to Governor Abbott are already breaking with the President. we can do it the proven failed way again, or we can try the proven successful way. doesn't seem like a hard choice to me, but then i've never been a dogmatic type.

[Tgo01]

what number will it have to come in at for you to change your mind about proposals like mine?

as for the bolivar, Venezuela had over 10,000% inflation. to reach those figures we would need programs at least in the hundreds of trillions, but even the most liberal proposals top out in the single trillions. the rand of course had nowhere near the level of inflation, so has nothing to do with this discussion

like i suggested to TGO01, if you look at the actual numbers you can start to realize what a cock and bull story you've been sold

or you can keep repeating the fairy tales. it remains your call

Fairy tales like we can keep 70% of people home at home indefinitely?

[Tgo01]

we closed down the country for 1 month and covered paychecks for about the same. it took us until April to start that (way too late), we didn't spend nearly enough on it (Germany did 5 times as much per capita), and we gave up way too early by reopening when we were at 60% of our peak cases (as opposed to Germany's 10%)

mass protests all happened at the same time, but all the states didn't turn red at the same time. New York state had thousands of people thronging the bridges and they're STILL not seeing an uptick in cases. the people who told you that lie are desperately hoping you won't look at any actual numbers. why are you obeying them?

as i conclusively proved to Seran, you people have been taught to repeat the idea that printing money makes economies fail, and no one ever showed you any actual numbers, because if they had you'd realize we're orders of magnitude below that level of inflation even in the most pie in the sky liberal proposal. the question isn't whether we can print this much and have a strong economy - we know for a fact we will, just like Germany literally just did. the question isn't even what else those people lied to you about. (it's a LOT, by the way.) the question is how long it will take you personally to come around to acknowledging the incontrovertible failure of our current approach and the incontrovertible success of the German method.

we are going to shut down the economy again, Republicans from Senator McConnell to Governor Abbott are already breaking with the President. we can do it the proven failed way again, or we can try the proven successful way. doesn't seem like a hard choice to me, but then i've never been a dogmatic type.

1 month? Most states were closed for 2 months and some 3 and some even longer than that.

[Solkern]

I don't know if you're aware of this, but we closed the country down for 3 months and we also paid companies to pay their employees. We also gave taxpayers a one time payment too.

Everything was going pretty well until Democrats openly encouraged mass protests and "medical experts" flat out said protesting was more important than COVID.

So what's the plan now? Close everything again for 3 months? You know we can't do that again right? Look up some of those countries whose economies completely failed in the past due to just printing money.

Paid companies to pay their employees... yet millions upon millions got fired. I’m not sure how that works, if they were getting paid, why were so many people fired?
Everything was going fine? We led the world in cases and deaths, well before the protests. Weren’t we at the highest unemployment rate since the Great Depression, BEFORE the protest? That’s not “going well”
If you want to blame those statistics on the nursing homes, I’m sure if you remove those deaths, we are still number 1.

[Suppa Hobbit Mage]

https://media1.giphy.com/media/xBqg5gAf1xINizpek6/200.gif

[Tgo01]

Paid companies to pay their employees... yet millions upon millions got fired. I’m not sure how that works, if they were getting paid, why were so many people fired?

The PPP was for small businesses, large businesses were supposed to compensate their employees and many did, the employees that were not compensated were supposed to get unemployment but that was a large clusterfuck too.


Everything was going fine? We led the world in cases and deaths, well before the protests.

Yes, cases and deaths were trending way down before the protests. You know this, I know this, Democrats and the media know this, but only one of us is saying it.

Also we led the world in CONFIRMED cases and deaths, you have to be a special kind of person to believe China's numbers of 90 million tests, 84k cases, and 4600 deaths.

Also more tests = more cases found.

[Latrinsorm]

Fairy tales like we can keep 70% of people home at home indefinitely?

and we can do it easily! it's just a question of money supply, and we have more than enough room without it becoming an issue a hundredth as bad as the Venezuelas of world history. if you want to know the real answer you have to do actual math, look at actual numbers. the s in pedmas is subtraction, not sarcasm.

anyway you brought up Florida daily deaths unprompted before, guess who just set a single day high for deaths? it's Florida, and they're on their way to break their weekly record by 10%, and their governor is still reopening full speed ahead

doing a heckuva job handling it, PB!

[Latrinsorm]

The PPP was for small businesses, large businesses were supposed to compensate their employees and many did, the employees that were not compensated were supposed to get unemployment but that was a large clusterfuck too.



Yes, cases and deaths were trending way down before the protests. You know this, I know this, Democrats and the media know this, but only one of us is saying it.

Also we led the world in CONFIRMED cases and deaths, you have to be a special kind of person to believe China's numbers of 90 million tests, 84k cases, and 4600 deaths.

Also more tests = more cases found.

cases were trending down before the early June protests in Georgia, then they started trending up in early June
cases were trending down before the early June protests in Florida and Texas, then they started trending up in mid June
cases were trending down before the early June protests in California, then they started trending up in late June
cases were trending down before the early June protests in New York, and they're still trending down

every state had protests at the same time. every state has NOT seen trends change at the same time

the protests cannot possibly be the active ingredient

.

if we were seeing more cases because of more tests, the rate of tests that are positive would be the same
the national rate of tests that are positive is twice as high as it was at its lowest... and still going up

you're making the argument that a player with 40 hits in 200 AB is as good a hitter as one with 240 hits in 600 AB. it's comical, and the people who taught you it are laughing at you just as hard.

[Tgo01]

and we can do it easily! it's just a question of money supply

And silly things like maintaining food supply chains and other supply chains. But yeah, other than that it's as simple as just printing up money!

[Solkern]

The PPP was for small businesses, large businesses were supposed to compensate their employees and many did, the employees that were not compensated were supposed to get unemployment but that was a large clusterfuck too.



Yes, cases and deaths were trending way down before the protests. You know this, I know this, Democrats and the media know this, but only one of us is saying it.

Also we led the world in CONFIRMED cases and deaths, you have to be a special kind of person to believe China's numbers of 90 million tests, 84k cases, and 4600 deaths.

Also more tests = more cases found.

Honestly, yeah I do believe China’s numbers. They literally locked down the entire country for 3 months. Zero people going out, except certain people in each neighborhood, to bring food and other supplies to everyone. They did massive testing, I showed the stamps in my passport, I saw it with my own eyes, how strict they were.

[Solkern]

And silly things like maintaining food supply chains and other supply chains. But yeah, other than that it's as simple as just printing up money!

China locked down the entire country, I mean they made it so NO one can enter and leave Wuhan, yet no massive starvation, or anything. They maintained food supply chains and other supply chains, arent we better than China? I’m sure if they can do it, we can do it.

[Tgo01]

Honestly, yeah I do believe China’s numbers. They literally locked down the entire country for 3 months. Zero people going out, except certain people in each neighborhood, to bring food and other supplies to everyone.

You dumb then. It was raging in their country for weeks/months before they finally started to do something about it. In a country of over 1 billion where people live packed tightly together and many people live in poor slums, where this all thing started, where the government ignored it for weeks/months, you really think they managed only 3400 deaths? Come on.

Also while the government knew what was going on but keeping it a secret they sure as shit allowed their citizens to travel all over the world, they even let people from Wuhan travel all over.

[Tgo01]

China locked down the entire country, I mean they made it so NO one can enter and leave Wuhan, yet no massive starvation, or anything. They maintained food supply chains and other supply chains, arent we better than China? I’m sure if they can do it, we can do it.

Are you kidding me? People were literally sealed into their apartments and left to die.

You really need to stop carrying China's water. Not a good look.

[Solkern]

Are you kidding me? People were literally sealed into their apartments and left to die.

You really need to stop carrying China's water. Not a good look.

Some people were, on a mass scale? Mass starvation? No.

And my point exactly, aren’t we better than China? Can’t we do it correctly and better than they did?

[Tgo01]

Some people were, on a mass scale? Mass starvation? No.

And my point exactly, aren’t we better than China? Can’t we do it correctly and better than they did?

Yes we're better than China but even China only locked down their country for 3 months as well, probably because they realized how much damage it was doing to their economy and population.

Clearly this can't go on for an extended period of time. A lot of countries reopened BECAUSE they knew they couldn't keep their economy locked down much longer.

Just look at all of the crime that's happening now, something I said would happen months ago if we kept this up for too long. You can't take someone's job away, tell them to stay indoors for months, and not expect tensions to flare and people resort to crime.

But no one listened to me months ago and now look at this shit. Let this be a lesson to everyone: Tgo01 is always right.

[Seran]

we closed down the country for 1 month and covered paychecks for about the same. it took us until April to start that (way too late), we didn't spend nearly enough on it (Germany did 5 times as much per capita), and we gave up way too early by reopening when we were at 60% of our peak cases (as opposed to Germany's 10%)

mass protests all happened at the same time, but all the states didn't turn red at the same time. New York state had thousands of people thronging the bridges and they're STILL not seeing an uptick in cases. the people who told you that lie are desperately hoping you won't look at any actual numbers. why are you obeying them?

as i conclusively proved to Seran, you people have been taught to repeat the idea that printing money makes economies fail, and no one ever showed you any actual numbers, because if they had you'd realize we're orders of magnitude below that level of inflation even in the most pie in the sky liberal proposal. the question isn't whether we can print this much and have a strong economy - we know for a fact we will, just like Germany literally just did. the question isn't even what else those people lied to you about. (it's a LOT, by the way.) the question is how long it will take you personally to come around to acknowledging the incontrovertible failure of our current approach and the incontrovertible success of the German method.

we are going to shut down the economy again, Republicans from Senator McConnell to Governor Abbott are already breaking with the President. we can do it the proven failed way again, or we can try the proven successful way. doesn't seem like a hard choice to me, but then i've never been a dogmatic type.

The only thing you've conclusively proved is that your grasp of domestic and international monetary systems is at most a grade school level.

I don't know if you know this, but in a capitalist market, businesses sometimes fail and their assets are bought by others, allowing for fractional payment to those who invested or extended credit foolishly. In this type of market, businesses are encouraged to save, to borrow money when repayment conditions are favorable to their growth and have capital or credit facilities to withstand downturns. Business closures, a double digit drop in the GDP, consumer confidence dropping, deflation.. none of these things are the signal of a failed economy. It's the sign of a downturn or contraction. 1988, 2000, 2004, those bubbles didn't result in a bailout, the system was allowed to do what it's designed to do through bankruptcy and asset sales. 2008 introduced the concept of "too big to fail" a misnomer at best and a door opener to unprecedented government collusion with irresponsible businesses.

Fast forward to 2020, a pandemic is causing another downturn. Unstable businesses will fail, the economy will suffer, but it will recover and return to normal when the underlying conditions resolve or are made manageable. Again bailouts have been invoked and unfortunately targeted to non-consumer business by and large, but still a knee jerk,. bipartisan reaction meant to quell panic.

[Latrinsorm]

And silly things like maintaining food supply chains and other supply chains. But yeah, other than that it's as simple as just printing up money!

another fairy tale. the only shortages we had of any kind were shelf stable goods like paper goods and cleaning products - surprise! "to each according to what they can pay" means people will buy it even if they don't need it, because why not? it won't go bad and they're going to need it eventually either way. that means you have to too, and suddenly the shelves are empty of toilet paper

and don't forget resellers!


Yes we're better than China but even China only locked down their country for 3 months as well, probably because they realized how much damage it was doing to their economy and population.

Clearly this can't go on for an extended period of time. A lot of countries reopened BECAUSE they knew they couldn't keep their economy locked down much longer.

Just look at all of the crime that's happening now, something I said would happen months ago if we kept this up for too long. You can't take someone's job away, tell them to stay indoors for months, and not expect tensions to flare and people resort to crime.

But no one listened to me months ago and now look at this shit. Let this be a lesson to everyone: Tgo01 is always right.

a lot of countries reopened because they cut their infection rates to a trickle
we could have too, and saved our economy too (so much for rising crime)
we didn't

.

another daily high in deaths for Texas. how many more will it take?

[Suppa Hobbit Mage]

OMG I can't be bothered to read through all the chicken little shit.

And yes, I've seen a picture of Latrin with a top hat and a vest. Reality trumps (get it, Trumps) lies.

[Suppa Hobbit Mage]

another daily high in deaths for Texas. how many more will it take?

ALL OF THEM

[Latrinsorm]

The only thing you've conclusively proved is that your grasp of domestic and international monetary systems is at most a grade school level.

I don't know if you know this, but in a capitalist market, businesses sometimes fail and their assets are bought by others, allowing for fractional payment to those who invested or extended credit foolishly. In this type of market, businesses are encouraged to save, to borrow money when repayment conditions are favorable to their growth and have capital or credit facilities to withstand downturns. Business closures, a double digit drop in the GDP, consumer confidence dropping, deflation.. none of these things are the signal of a failed economy. It's the sign of a downturn or contraction. 1988, 2000, 2004, those bubbles didn't result in a bailout, the system was allowed to do what it's designed to do through bankruptcy and asset sales. 2008 introduced the concept of "too big to fail" a misnomer at best and a door opener to unprecedented government collusion with irresponsible businesses.

Fast forward to 2020, a pandemic is causing another downturn. Unstable businesses will fail, the economy will suffer, but it will recover and return to normal when the underlying conditions resolve or are made manageable. Again bailouts have been invoked and unfortunately targeted to non-consumer business by and large, but still a knee jerk,. bipartisan reaction meant to quell panic.

i never said we had a failed economy. so much for reading levels, eh?

anyhoo, the point you can't dispute (and so it's no surprise you haven't bothered trying) is that Germany faced even worse underlying conditions (due to bordering the first European epicenter), made them manageable, AND engendered superior economic recovery. you can talk Venezuela and inflation until you're blue in the face, none of it addresses that in this specific case with these specific underlying conditions the specific solution is socialism and this level of printing, and we know this because... it worked!!

[Suppa Hobbit Mage]

Please post more. I fucking love your chicken little posts.

Also, I saw that picture of you in a top hat and vest.

[Tgo01]

another fairy tale. the only shortages we had of any kind were shelf stable goods like paper goods and cleaning products

Because the shutdown only lasted 3 months and many people were already beginning to worry that we were going to lose some major supply chains including beef. Yes I'm not saying a temporary shutdown can't work, it apparently "worked" in the sense that everything didn't completely crumble, but it isn't a sustainable or long term solution.


we could have too, and saved our economy too (so much for rising crime)

Could have, should have, would have, whatever. Point is here we are, what do we do now? Shut the economy down AGAIN for another 3+ months?

[Latrinsorm]

OMG I can't be bothered to read through all the chicken little shit.

And yes, I've seen a picture of Latrin with a top hat and a vest. Reality trumps (get it, Trumps) lies.

i mean, this is the only site you could possibly have seen a picture of me, should be easy to find if it exists

[Suppa Hobbit Mage]

i mean, this is the only site you could possibly have seen a picture of me, should be easy to find if it exists

I didn't get it from this site. I flew to England and met a wonderful woman and she showed it to me.

Figure it out.

[Tgo01]

another daily high in deaths for Texas. how many more will it take?

Why you always lying? Source I'm looking at (which I'm pretty sure is the same source you use) says Texas had 102 deaths today, yesterday they had 121. Of course you have once again failed to mention that California had the most deaths again today. I wonder why that is.

So much for Arizona, Texas, and Florida entering the death spiral like NY did months ago. You people just keep waiting for it though.

[Latrinsorm]

Because the shutdown only lasted 3 months and many people were already beginning to worry that we were going to lose some major supply chains including beef. Yes I'm not saying a temporary shutdown can't work, it apparently "worked" in the sense that everything didn't completely crumble, but it isn't a sustainable or long term solution.



Could have, should have, would have, whatever. Point is here we are, what do we do now? Shut the economy down AGAIN for another 3+ months?

baloney, people were "worrying" about supply chains from the jump and it never materialized for any perishable

what we do now is what Germany did. given that the President will never get on board, we'll see significant noncompliance, and we're starting from a much worse place, it's absolutely going to take more than 3 months, and we're absolutely going to have to force states to actually stick it out that long. i don't know where you got this idea "we" were locked down for three but Georgia didn't make it a month, and plenty of others followed them right down the primrose path

the economy won't be great, but if we do it right we'll be looking at a single digit type hit instead of the 35%s we're taking with this failed plan

you seem to think that we can let people die and our economy will be fine, but enough americans have showed they are just not willing to risk it. lockdown is inevitable. the only difference is we CAN do it right this time

or not

[Tgo01]

baloney, people were "worrying" about supply chains from the jump and it never materialized for any perishable

What are you talking about? Farmers were plowing over entire crops and a lot of beef farmers couldn't sell their product anymore and several meat processing plants had to be shut down due to the virus. It was a very real worry and a very real threat, just because the supply chain never completely collapsed doesn't mean it wasn't in danger of doing so.

This is like saying since humanity hasn't yet been wiped out by a meteor then it can never happen.


what we do now is what Germany did. given that the President will never get on board, we'll see significant noncompliance, and we're starting from a much worse place, it's absolutely going to take more than 3 months,

Just to make sure I'm understanding you right, your solution is to shut the economy down again for MORE than 3 months? You can't be this crazy.

And what about children? Just push back their education for another 3+ months?

[Suppa Hobbit Mage]

we'll be looking at a single digit type hit instead of the 35%s we're taking with this failed plan

35% of what? Be detailed.

[Latrinsorm]

Why you always lying? Source I'm looking at (which I'm pretty sure is the same source you use) says Texas had 102 deaths today, yesterday they had 121. Of course you have once again failed to mention that California had the most deaths again today. I wonder why that is.

So much for Arizona, Texas, and Florida entering the death spiral like NY did months ago. You people just keep waiting for it though.

the Texas Department of State Health Services (https://dshs.texas.gov/coronavirus/)

2918 total fatalities today,
2813 yesterday,
2715 the day before that

105 new fatalities today,
98 the day before that

California is on board with the plan already. New York is on board, Connecticut is on board, Washington is on board. we only need to get the Republicans on board - and they will. disseminating the numbers as widely as possible gets that done sooner rather than later, saving lives all across the country.

i've explained this to you before. i wonder why you forgot?

[Latrinsorm]

35% of what? Be detailed.

gross domestic product

like i put in the original post

stick with slurs, you're bad at the math part ;)

i still don't know what you're talking about with the top hat thing, but it's pretty convenient you can't prove it, eh?

[Tgo01]

California is on board with the plan already. New York is on board, Connecticut is on board, Washington is on board. we only need to get the Republicans on board - and they will. disseminating the numbers as widely as possible gets that done sooner rather than later, saving lives all across the country.

I thought the plan was to shut everything down for another 3+ months? Are those Democrat states doing that?

[Latrinsorm]

What are you talking about? Farmers were plowing over entire crops and a lot of beef farmers couldn't sell their product anymore and several meat processing plants had to be shut down due to the virus. It was a very real worry and a very real threat, just because the supply chain never completely collapsed doesn't mean it wasn't in danger of doing so.

This is like saying since humanity hasn't yet been wiped out by a meteor then it can never happen.



Just to make sure I'm understanding you right, your solution is to shut the economy down again for MORE than 3 months? You can't be this crazy.

And what about children? Just push back their education for another 3+ months?

forget never completely collapsed, it was never imperiled at all. farmers have been dumping their products for going on a hundred years, why else do you think we subsidize them so heavily? they dump a little more or less, doesn't matter if the shelves still have plenty of milk, eggs, meat. we've all seen bone empty shelves. we know what that looks like, we know what perishable shelves looked like. give it a rest

as it happens, i don't have a solution for schools at the moment. what, i gotta come up with everything over here? i brought you the answer for the economy and public health, how about you chip in a little

[Tgo01]

forget never completely collapsed, it was never imperiled at all. farmers have been dumping their products for going on a hundred years, why else do you think we subsidize them so heavily? they dump a little more or less, doesn't matter if the shelves still have plenty of milk, eggs, meat. we've all seen bone empty shelves. we know what that looks like, we know what perishable shelves looked like. give it a rest

Are you just making stuff up now as you go along or what? It was a very big worry that the meat supply chain might crumble. Again just because it never happened doesn't mean it wasn't a possibility. It was also a possibility that we wouldn't flatten the curve and hospitals would be so overrun that patients would be dropping dead in the middle of the street, I guess since that never happened that means we don't have anything to worry about right going forward right?

You're just destroying your own argument at this rate.

[Suppa Hobbit Mage]

stick with slurs, you're bad at the math part ;)

Dude, saying I saw a picture of you in a top hat and vest isn't a slur. But whatever. You be you. I saw it IRL, sorry I can't post a digital image for ya, but I know for sure it was 1) you, and 2) in a top hat and vest. Why you so defensive and thinking this is a slur? Is it because it's true and a real visual of you?

[Latrinsorm]

I thought the plan was to shut everything down for another 3+ months? Are those Democrat states doing that?

Democratic states have sent lawmakers to Washington who are ready to implement a German-style plan at the federal level... because the federal government is the only one who can do so. states can't print their own money.

New England is still holding out and we aren't burning down yet, but there's no mountains, no rivers, no walls. we're not an island (not even that Rhode fella!), and even if we were the fire will spread to us sooner or later.

i meant it when i said we're all in this together.

[Latrinsorm]

Are you just making stuff up now as you go along or what? It was a very big worry that the meat supply chain might crumble. Again just because it never happened doesn't mean it wasn't a possibility. It was also a possibility that we wouldn't flatten the curve and hospitals would be so overrun that patients would be dropping dead in the middle of the street, I guess since that never happened that means we don't have anything to worry about right going forward right?

You're just destroying your own argument at this rate.

i didn't say it wasn't a worry. i said the supply chain wasn't imperiled.

think it over. i have faith you can figure out the difference

[Tgo01]

Democratic states have sent lawmakers to Washington who are ready to implement a German-style plan at the federal level... because the federal government is the only one who can do so. states can't print their own money.

Oh gee, you mean Democrat states, which are billions of dollars in debt, want the federal government to print money to bail them out?

Now I'm beginning to understand. Next time skip to the punchline sooner. Saves us all a lot of trouble.

[Latrinsorm]

Dude, saying I saw a picture of you in a top hat and vest isn't a slur. But whatever. You be you. I saw it IRL, sorry I can't post a digital image for ya, but I know for sure it was 1) you, and 2) in a top hat and vest. Why you so defensive and thinking this is a slur? Is it because it's true and a real visual of you?

i didn't say it was. i have faith you can figure out where you did use a slur in this thread, though

[Suppa Hobbit Mage]

i have faith you can figure out where you did use a slur in this thread, though

I'm too stupid, show me.

Also, deny again that you've ever worn a top hat and vest...

[Latrinsorm]

Oh gee, you mean Democrat states, which are billions of dollars in debt, want the federal government to print money to bail them out?

Now I'm beginning to understand. Next time skip to the punchline sooner. Saves us all a lot of trouble.

every state is billions of dollars in debt. like the link between contemporaneous protests and staggered outbreaks, the slightest investigation dismisses this "theory"

because Republicans tend to follow the President's lead and we don't have George W. Bush in office anymore, Republicans have been actively fighting against an aggressive approach to this pandemic. Democrats, on the other hand, have already recognized the plain truth of the matter and so are on board with the one proven approach.

[Latrinsorm]

I'm too stupid, show me.

Also, deny again that you've ever worn a top hat and vest...

it was in http://forum.gsplayers.com/showthread.php?125271-This-is-the-End&p=2160356#post2160356]this post before you edited it. are you drunk or something? this is a weird interaction

[Suppa Hobbit Mage]

it was in http://forum.gsplayers.com/showthread.php?125271-This-is-the-End&p=2160356#post2160356]this post before you edited it. are you drunk or something? this is a weird interaction

seems weird, are you drunk?

[Suppa Hobbit Mage]

but what about the top hat and vest?

[Seran]

i never said we had a failed economy. so much for reading levels, eh?

anyhoo, the point you can't dispute (and so it's no surprise you haven't bothered trying) is that Germany faced even worse underlying conditions (due to bordering the first European epicenter), made them manageable, AND engendered superior economic recovery. you can talk Venezuela and inflation until you're blue in the face, none of it addresses that in this specific case with these specific underlying conditions the specific solution is socialism and this level of printing, and we know this because... it worked!!

I don't dispute a premise I can't grant.

You're comparing apples to oranges and I'm not sure you understand the difference between your comparison countries.

The United State, top five in per capita coronavirus deaths of all countries in the world. Our economy, largely agrarian and manufacturing took it in the chin when the country and the world stopped purchasing our products. Internationally we have huge foreign military commitments and lifelong pension obligations that don't get held for our military during a pandemic.

Germany didn't even make top twenty in terms of coronavirus deaths per capita. The German economy meanwhile is a largely service oriented economy, with it's banking, logistics and trade oriented businesses saw a much more gradual decline in it's business sectors as worldwide services are still high in demand. Germany, whose budget is a little less than a third of ours spent 47B in military expenditures, while the United States spent almost a third of it's overall budget on the military.

So while your hardon for Germany and it's powerhouse role in the EU might think it's valid to compare to the United States, you however could not be more wrong.

[Latrinsorm]

I don't dispute a premise I can't grant.

You're comparing apples to oranges and I'm not sure you understand the difference between your comparison countries.

The United State, top five in per capita coronavirus deaths of all countries in the world. Our economy, largely agrarian and manufacturing took it in the chin when the country and the world stopped purchasing our products. Internationally we have huge foreign military commitments and lifelong pension obligations that don't get held for our military during a pandemic.

Germany didn't even make top twenty in terms of coronavirus deaths per capita. The German economy meanwhile is a largely service oriented economy, with it's banking, logistics and trade oriented businesses saw a much more gradual decline in it's business sectors as worldwide services are still high in demand. Germany, whose budget is a little less than a third of ours spent 47B in military expenditures, while the United States spent almost a third of it's overall budget on the military.

So while your hardon for Germany and it's powerhouse role in the EU might think it's valid to compare to the United States, you however could not be more wrong.

here's a little trick i learned in the CIA - the United States GDP is 80% services, 19% industry, and a lonely 1% agriculture. Germany by comparison is 69% services, 31% industry, and the same lonely 1% agriculture. someone wanted you to believe we're farmers with pitchforks. it was a lie, and had you even bothered checking it would have taken you five minutes to find out Germany's economy is numerically LESS service oriented than ours. indeed, of the major economic powers we are the absolute #1 MOST service oriented.

that Germany did so much better against coronavirus is exactly my point - we all started at 0. that they kept their numbers lower than ours from the same starting point is how we know their method words better than ours.

we do spend a lot more on military in raw and proportional terms, but this is irrelevant because nobody's reallocating budget items to pay for coronavirus stimulus packages. people (including both Germany and us) are spiriting the money up out of nowhere, declaring it to have value by fiat... and it's worked in both places! the reason ours worked so much less is we did so much less, so much later, and for so much shorter a period of time.

one person drinks eight glasses of water a day and does alright.
the other person drinks half a glass of water a day and is in rough shape.
you're telling them to stop drinking water entirely lest they drown, but we can all see the fella doing alright with eight glasses.

the jig is up

[Keller]

Y’all don’t deserve Latrin. Be blessed and grateful.

[Tgo01]

here's a little trick i learned in the CIA - the United States GDP is 80% services, 19% industry, and a lonely 1% agriculture.

And yet you think it's a good idea to shut down SERVICES in a SERVICES orientated economy.

[Methais]

baloney, people were "worrying" about supply chains from the jump and it never materialized for any perishable

Goes shopping once and is now an expert on baloney.

Reported.

[Methais]

Dude, saying I saw a picture of you in a top hat and vest isn't a slur. But whatever. You be you. I saw it IRL, sorry I can't post a digital image for ya, but I know for sure it was 1) you, and 2) in a top hat and vest. Why you so defensive and thinking this is a slur? Is it because it's true and a real visual of you?

Are you sure you're not confusing that with Latrin's painted toenails? (http://forum.gsplayers.com/archive/index.php/t-79841-p-10.html)


Today I am wearing OPI's The It Color and Chanel No. 5.

http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v456/johnnyoldschool/KillKillKilltheWhiteMan_zps5a2c351c.jpg

[Latrinsorm]

And yet you think it's a good idea to shut down SERVICES in a SERVICES orientated economy.

they're going to be shut down regardless.

we can control the shut down and do it correctly, where "correctly" is "German"
we can control the shut down and do it incorrectly, where "incorrectly" is the proven failed approach we took last time
or we can do nothing and watch both the economy and virus spiral out of control even faster

but we're not going to do the third one. McConnell isn't a genius but he's no dummy, and with him and Pelosi on board it doesn't matter what the President thinks, and if you'll pardon my French it sure as h*ck doesn't matter what you think.

more stimulus is en route.

the smarter we do it, the better it is for all of us... except our precious fondness for what we call capitalism.

[Latrinsorm]

Are you sure you're not confusing that with Latrin's painted toenails? (http://forum.gsplayers.com/archive/index.php/t-79841-p-10.html)


yeah it seems like there were so many better options for him to go with for homophobia even if i had ever worn the alleged ensemble. it's weird how he even associates it with vests, doesn't ANYONE remember jim tressel? must be a [consults notes] University of Michigan Wolverines Men's College Football fan am i right folks

[Suppa Hobbit Mage]

You make me laugh so much, chicken little.

[Taernath]

KillKillKilltheWhiteMan.jpg

https://www.adweek.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/redford-zoom-2019.gif

[Methais]

yeah it seems like there were so many better options for him to go with for homophobia even if i had ever worn the alleged ensemble. it's weird how he even associates it with vests, doesn't ANYONE remember jim tressel? must be a [consults notes] University of Michigan Wolverines Men's College Football fan am i right folks

Wait a minute. What's gay about wearing a top hat?

[Tgo01]

Deaths been trending down lately and Latrin is no where to be seen.

SAD!

[Keller]

Deaths been trending down lately and Latrin is no where to be seen.

SAD!

Death counts always drop on the weekends. Americans enjoy their time off and death counts can wait till Monday.

You have to go back over 5 weeks to find a Sunday with a death count as high as today.

Sorry. Try again.

[Tgo01]

Death counts always drop on the weekends.

So nice of people to not die on the sabbath and wait until Monday to die.

[Keller]

So nice of people to not die on the sabbath and wait until Monday to die.

They die on the Lord's day off.

They just aren't counted.

Keep up, kiddo.

[Tgo01]

They die on the Lord's day off.

They just aren't counted.

Keep up, kiddo.

Oh okay. So tomorrow we should have about 2k deaths since tomorrow we are counting today's deaths and tomorrow's deaths right?

[Keller]

Oh okay. So tomorrow we should have about 2k deaths since tomorrow we are counting today's deaths and tomorrow's deaths right?

I know facts are really uncomfortable and you'd prefer to rely on opinion, but if you look at a simple graph of daily death counts it's unavoidable that the weekend deaths are undercounted.

Unless, as you sarcastically put it, people just decide not to die on the sabbath (also on Saturday and on holidays; see, e.g., Memorial Day).

[Tgo01]

I know facts are really uncomfortable and you'd prefer to rely on opinion, but if you look at a simple graph of daily death counts it's unavoidable that the weekend deaths are undercounted.

Unless, as you sarcastically put it, people just decide not to die on the sabbath (also on Saturday and on holidays; see, e.g., Memorial Day).

You didn't answer my question. Could it be because you're full of shit? You're not seriously suggesting we just don't count the people who die on Sunday at all are you? You are saying we instead count the deaths the following day on Monday right?

[Methais]

You didn't answer my question. Could it be because you're full of shit? You're not seriously suggesting we just don't count the people who die on Sunday at all are you? You are saying we instead count the deaths the following day on Monday right?

Monday-Friday should be classified as business deaths, to avoid confusion.

[Solkern]

You didn't answer my question. Could it be because you're full of shit? You're not seriously suggesting we just don't count the people who die on Sunday at all are you? You are saying we instead count the deaths the following day on Monday right?


So you just bitched at me for not understanding the “Nuances“ of what is behind the words, yet, you just did the same shit here.

[Keller]

You didn't answer my question. Could it be because you're full of shit? You're not seriously suggesting we just don't count the people who die on Sunday at all are you? You are saying we instead count the deaths the following day on Monday right?

I'm just stating facts of how weekend (and long weekend) deaths drop from weekday averages. That is either because people that die on Sunday aren't always counted in Sunday's deaths or because people enjoy the weekend so much that they refuse to die on a Saturday or Sunday.

Let's cut the nonsense and agree that the former is correct.

To answer your question, I have no idea whether those deaths are counted on Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, or not counted at all. I suspect they are counted on a later weekday, but expecting me to know the answer to that is asinine. So it makes sense you continue to belabor the question.

[Tgo01]

So you just bitched at me for not understanding the “Nuances“ of what is behind the words, yet, you just did the same shit here.

What are you even talking about?

[Tgo01]

I'm just stating facts of how weekend (and long weekend) deaths drop from weekday averages. That is either because people that die on Sunday aren't always counted in Sunday's deaths or because people enjoy the weekend so much that they refuse to die on a Saturday or Sunday.

Let's cut the nonsense and agree that the former is correct.

To answer your question, I have no idea whether those deaths are counted on Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, or not counted at all. I suspect they are counted on a later weekday, but expecting me to know the answer to that is asinine. So it makes sense you continue to belabor the question.

So you know they aren't counted on Sunday for whatever reason, but you don't know when or even if they are counted?

Okay.

At any rate the number of deaths today, a Monday, was 467. So either your theory is incorrect or deaths are indeed trending down lately even as the number of cases is trending higher than it was 2 months ago and trending about the same for the past week or two.

If this trend keeps up (cases up/deaths way down) are you going to finally admit we were all suckered by politicians who had an agenda to push and didn't really give a shit about saving lives?

Or you going to continue sticking your head in the sand?

[Latrinsorm]

This is a graph of the percentage of deaths reported on the day in question in any given week over the past 13 (i.e. since the peak):

https://imgur.com/105rEo9.png

I don't know exactly where Tgo01 is getting his numbers, but there's a very simple way to avoid all of this confusion and any other single-day artifacts or noise: weekly totals!

.

This past week (i.e. Monday July 6th to Sunday July 12th), 4880 Americans were reported to have died.

This was an increase over the previous week's total of 3387, and the previous week's total of 3745, and the previous week's total of 4074, and the previous week's total of 4847.

The last time there was a week-over-week increase at all was the week starting April 13th.

Eleven weeks in a row we saw decreases.

This week we saw an increase big enough to wipe out a month of decline.

.

If we plateau at this level of 5,000 weekly deaths, we will have another 120,000 coronavirus deaths by the end of the year.

[RichardCranium]

Latrin I just wanted to say that, as a fellow registered Republican, I'm glad you're back.

[Bobmuhthol]

So either your theory is incorrect or deaths are indeed trending down lately even as the number of cases is trending higher than it was 2 months ago and trending about the same for the past week or two.

The lowest 7 day rolling number of deaths in the last 3 months occurred on 7/8/2020 with a total of 4070 deaths in the prior 7 days. That number has grown every day since, and less than a week later, we're at 5299, a 30% increase. Was the 7/8/2020 number less than half of the measure from 2 months ago? Yeah, it was. That's awesome. But, on average, the deceleration of deaths has been negative (fewer and fewer deaths but at a lower rate of decrease), i.e. negative velocity but positive acceleration. And now the positive acceleration of deaths has been running for so long that the velocity is also positive, so there are more deaths recently than immediately prior.

I totally agree with you that, in absolute terms, fewer people are dying today than were dying two months ago. But that's not what "trending down lately" means. Lately, the number of deaths in absolute terms is trending up, irrefutably.

[Tgo01]

This is a graph of the percentage of deaths reported on the day in question in any given week over the past 13 (i.e. since the peak):

https://imgur.com/105rEo9.png

I don't know exactly where Tgo01 is getting his numbers, but there's a very simple way to avoid all of this confusion and any other single-day artifacts or noise: weekly totals!

.

This past week (i.e. Monday July 6th to Sunday July 12th), 4880 Americans were reported to have died.

This was an increase over the previous week's total of 3387, and the previous week's total of 3745, and the previous week's total of 4074, and the previous week's total of 4847.

The last time there was a week-over-week increase at all was the week starting April 13th.

Eleven weeks in a row we saw decreases.

This week we saw an increase big enough to wipe out a month of decline.

.

If we plateau at this level of 5,000 weekly deaths, we will have another 120,000 coronavirus deaths by the end of the year.

All I took away from your post is the protests and riots have led to a major increase in the number of cases and even though we have been having about 1.5x-2x the number of cases for the past 3 weeks compared to April/May the death rate is about a third lower than it was back in April/May. But I'm sure you have some sort of excuse for why this doesn't point to a complete failure on the part of certain governors shoving infected patients into nursing homes.

[Bobmuhthol]

All I took away from your post is the protests and riots have led to a major increase in the number of cases and even though we have been having about 1.5x-2x the number of cases for the past 3 weeks compared to April/May the death rate is about a third lower than it was back in April/May. But I'm sure you have some sort of excuse for why this doesn't point to a complete failure on the part of certain governors shoving infected patients into nursing homes.

All I took away from this post is that you think epidemiology is just running average() in Excel and making policy recommendations based on aggregate numbers. Using more than one variable in a model? Hogwash.

[Alfster]

Why do we care so much about the death rate? No one knows the long term effects, so it seems fairly short sited to only look at the immediate death stats and pretend this virus is going away. There's plenty of studies that link heart, lung, and strokes to the way the virus attacks the body.

[Tgo01]

All I took away from this post is that you think epidemiology is just running average() in Excel and making policy recommendations based on aggregate numbers. Using more than one variable in a model? Hogwash.

Well let's hear all of the variables then that would explain up to 2x the number of cases yet only a third of deaths.

[Tgo01]

Why do we care so much about the death rate?

Of course! For weeks/months it was "OMG! So many people are dying and it's all Trump's fault!"

Now that the death rate is way down of course now it's "OMG! So many cases and it's all Trump's fault!"

Can you guys at least pretend to be honest?

[Bobmuhthol]

Well let's hear all of the variables then that would explain up to 2x the number of cases yet only a third of deaths.

One clear example is age. The majority of new cases are younger individuals, and they have milder symptoms in general, including lower fatality. Most people will end up recovering, but a meaningful percentage will be permanently impacted in ways we don't understand yet. I don't know why you needed this very basic information.


Of course! For weeks/months it was "OMG! So many people are dying and it's all Trump's fault!"

Now that the death rate is way down of course now it's "OMG! So many cases and it's all Trump's fault!"

Can you guys at least pretend to be honest?

I'm sorry, are you trying to imply that concern for the number of deaths and concern for the number of infected individuals are in conflict?

[Tgo01]

One clear example is age. The majority of new cases are younger individuals, and they have milder symptoms in general, including lower fatality.

Exactly my point. Thank you.


I'm sorry, are you trying to imply that concern for the number of deaths and concern for the number of infected individuals are in conflict?

Am I trying to say that certain people aren't really that concerned with the number of dead and infected and are instead just using this to push their politics?

Yes.

Here are some examples:

People didn't care when hundreds of thousands of people took to the streets to protest, in fact they were even encouraged.
The LA teachers union is using the virus as an excuse to push for their political agenda of defunding the police and charter schools, even willing to hold the education of young kids hostage.
Certain people in the media and in politics play up the need for a mask when the cameras are shoved in their face but as soon as they think the cameras are off they can't wait to ripe the mask off, even if they are in a crowded room.
Some "celebrities" and politicians are using the virus as an excuse to push for a universal basic income, which is yet another political agenda.
Do I even need to remind you about mail in voting, yet another political agenda that is being shoved down our throats without so much as a debate?

Oh yeah, how could I forget the first round of stimulus where certain people were pushing for the following in a bill designed to help with the pandemic:

Bailing out the postal service
Demanding mail in voting (and a bunch of other shit such early voting) for all federal elections
Give aways to so many institutions that I can't even begin to remember all of them
Requires diversity on corporate boards
Required airlines to offset their carbon footprint
Required stronger fuel efficiency standards
Bunch of other shit I can't remember at the moment

[Suppa Hobbit Mage]

I've missed Bob.

[Wrathbringer]

One clear example is my retardation. I'm retarded In ways we don't understand yet. I don't know why you needed this very basic information.



I'm sorry.

This is all correct.

[Gelston]

One clear example is age. The majority of new cases are younger individuals, and they have milder symptoms in general, including lower fatality. Most people will end up recovering, but a meaningful percentage will be permanently impacted in ways we don't understand yet. I don't know why you needed this very basic information.


That is the thing. Even the military is saying a past COVID-19 infection is a disqualifier for service. They might know something that hasn't been fully released to the general public yet.

[Latrinsorm]

All I took away from your post is the protests and riots have led to a major increase in the number of cases and even though we have been having about 1.5x-2x the number of cases for the past 3 weeks compared to April/May the death rate is about a third lower than it was back in April/May. But I'm sure you have some sort of excuse for why this doesn't point to a complete failure on the part of certain governors shoving infected patients into nursing homes.

cases were trending down before the early June protests in Georgia, then they started trending up in early June
cases were trending down before the early June protests in Florida and Texas, then they started trending up in mid June
cases were trending down before the early June protests in California, then they started trending up in late June
cases were trending down before the early June protests in New York, and they're still trending down
the protests all happened at the same time, the changes in trend didn't. ergo, the protests are not a significant factor.

we are seeing 2x the number of deaths in the areas where cases spiked that dramatically. who told you we weren't? Texas last week saw 555, more than double the previous week's 244. Arizona came in slightly under the double number with a 93% increase from 221 to 428. the rest of the country isn't seeing it yet, because the rest of the country hasn't seen the explosion of cases yet, and as we already saw back in April, new cases peaked 04/07 but deaths didn't peak until 04/18 so even once the cases spike starts there's a time lag. the Northeast for example is still steady or trending down, the Midatlantic to Midwest is steady or trending up slightly. those essentially flat numbers have cushioned the blow on the national scale but allow me to reiterate a previous statement with emphasis added: "hasn't seen the explosion of cases yet". it's only a matter of time, which is why the sooner we all get on the same page (and all get on the same cases of our representatives) the better it will be for all of us. to wit:

Arizona last week suffered 58 deaths per million residents, dramatically higher than the New York peak of 41. do you believe Governor Ducey "shov[ed] infected patients into nursing homes" too, or are you starting to think maybe you bought in a little too heavily to that scapegoat, that it was a convenient story to tell rather than a real explanation?

[Latrinsorm]

Why do we care so much about the death rate? No one knows the long term effects, so it seems fairly short sited to only look at the immediate death stats and pretend this virus is going away. There's plenty of studies that link heart, lung, and strokes to the way the virus attacks the body.

i for one care about it because it is increasing precipitously, it's not going to stop on its own, and i (perhaps overly optimistically) hope it is the last redoubt of denial

first we heard it was only a problem in foreign places
then we heard it was only a problem in cities and blue states
then we heard it didn't matter cases were going up in red states because tests were going up
then we heard it didn't matter positivity rates were going up too because deaths weren't
now deaths are

as i say, it is perhaps overly optimistic after so many rationalizations to hope people won't come up with another, but given the steps already taken from such prominent Republicans as Governor Abbott and Senator McConnell i think there's a chance

which is more than we had a week ago

[Tgo01]

cases were trending down before the early June protests in Georgia, then they started trending up in early June
cases were trending down before the early June protests in Florida and Texas, then they started trending up in mid June
cases were trending down before the early June protests in California, then they started trending up in late June
cases were trending down before the early June protests in New York, and they're still trending down
the protests all happened at the same time, the changes in trend didn't. ergo, the protests are not a significant factor.

Ergo you're full of it. So because NY didn't spike after the protests means it's impossible the protests are responsible for the spikes in other states even though we have been told for close to half a year now that large gatherings DO increase the number of cases?


we are seeing 2x the number of deaths in the areas where cases spiked that dramatically.

Okay. How do you explain about ~30k cases a day and about 2k+ deaths a day to 40-70k+ cases a day and about 800 deaths a day? You're such a deflection king but it won't work. I'm on to you.

[Tgo01]

That is the thing. Even the military is saying a past COVID-19 infection is a disqualifier for service. They might know something that hasn't been fully released to the general public yet.

Doesn't the military also have protocols in place for an alien invasion?

I think the military is going to have to roll back that infection being a disqualifier or else they will have a lot of trouble recruiting people.

[Suppa Hobbit Mage]

You want to talk about the end?

Look at Biden's platform. AOC is his environmental advisor. AOC. You heard that right. The Green New Deal.

[Latrinsorm]

Ergo you're full of it. So because NY didn't spike after the protests means it's impossible the protests are responsible for the spikes in other states even though we have been told for close to half a year now that large gatherings DO increase the number of cases?



Okay. How do you explain about ~30k cases a day and about 2k+ deaths a day to 40-70k+ cases a day and about 800 deaths a day? You're such a deflection king but it won't work. I'm on to you.

no. because the states that did spike did so at different times, the protests that all happened at the same time cannot be responsible. that there are a few states holding steady only further buttresses this rudimentary observation. about seven million people protested the murder of George Floyd, which is a big number! but even if every one of them were infected and it wouldn't be enough to account for the million case surge we've seen since June given our general 1/8 success rate of confirming a coronavirus infection, AND they would have needed to coordinate relocation such that they happened to overwhelmingly show up in states that had reopened early as opposed to states that were still on the locked down side.

by pointing out (again) that human beings do not generally contract coronavirus and die on the same day, ergo there is a significant time lag between the two measurements. that's how 30k cases a day also was contemporaneous with 1k deaths a day (04/03), and 1k deaths a day was also contemporaneous with 20k cases a day (05/23), and 20k cases a day was also contemporaneous with 700 deaths a day (06/11). trying to compare deaths and cases on the same day is made doubly futile when both variables have moved up and down over time. the daily ratio looks like this:

https://imgur.com/1kVVpJn.png

all of this has happened before, and all of this will happen again

[Latrinsorm]

You want to talk about the end?

Look at Biden's platform. AOC is his environmental advisor. AOC. You heard that right. The Green New Deal.

that is explicitly what i talked about in the OP - this is the end of America, or this is the end of capitalism, and these are the only two choices

the worse Republicans exacerbate this crisis, the stronger they push everyone else towards the latter choice, both from general incompetence and because the worse it gets the more socialism we're going to use to get out of it, and Republicans have proven completely incapable of clawing it back once it's out - Medicare, Obamacare, CARES.

Mitch McConnell doesn't want socialism, but he wants it a heck of a lot more than Mad Max. so we're going to do it. the only questions are 1) how long we wait, and 2) whether we do it right this time or repeat the failures of May

[Tgo01]

no. because the states that did spike did so at different times, the protests that all happened at the same time cannot be responsible.

No the protests did not "all happen at the same time."

Some states had protests that lasted much longer than other states, some states had protests that started sooner than other states, some states had much larger protests than other states. Shit Portland is STILL under attack by violent Antifa on a nightly basis.


by pointing out (again) that human beings do not generally contract coronavirus and die on the same day, ergo there is a significant time lag between the two measurements.

Yes, that's why I went back THREE WEEKS to point out the rise in cases because as you should know typically a person who is going to die from the virus will be dead within 3 weeks of contracting, ERGO people who were infected 3 weeks ago most likely would have died by now if they are going to die at all from the virus.

Let me know if you plan on answering my question without all of the deflections.

[Latrinsorm]

No the protests did not "all happen at the same time."

Some states had protests that lasted much longer than other states, some states had protests that started sooner than other states, some states had much larger protests than other states. Shit Portland is STILL under attack by violent Antifa on a nightly basis.



Yes, that's why I went back THREE WEEKS to point out the rise in cases because as you should know typically a person who is going to die from the virus will be dead within 3 weeks of contracting, ERGO people who were infected 3 weeks ago most likely would have died by now if they are going to die at all from the virus.

Let me know if you plan on answering my question without all of the deflections.

some states had protests that started a matter of days sooner than other states - specifically, protests started in Minnesota on May 26th and protests had reached every state by June 1st. a delay of (at most) six days is not like a delay of over a month; the former is far far smaller. if length of protest was the key ingredient, your citation of Oregon would be the worst off state - but its 14 day trend increase of 48% is almost exactly the national average of 46% per covidexitstrategy.org. if size of protest was the key ingredient, New York would be in very rough shape since they had multiple five figure protests - but New York is one of the best trending states in the Union and easily the best of 10m+ states, seeing less than a quarter of the increase that North Carolina is suffering

as i have cited for you already, the people in the states with spiking cases ARE seeing spiking deaths - Texas and Arizona both saw their weekly deaths roughly double. proving that you have been lied to about deaths declining is not "deflecting"

[Tgo01]

as i have cited for you already, the people in the states with spiking cases ARE seeing spiking deaths - Texas and Arizona both saw their weekly deaths roughly double. proving that you have been lied to about deaths declining is not "deflecting"

And NY's death rate doubled several times in a matter of weeks.

You keep wanting to focus on two particular states and ignore the fact that the US as a whole has many more cases than it did in March/April yet way fewer deaths. I'm just looking for your explanation for this instead of you deflecting to Texas and Arizona.

[Latrinsorm]

And NY's death rate doubled several times in a matter of weeks.

You keep wanting to focus on two particular states and ignore the fact that the US as a whole has many more cases than it did in March/April yet way fewer deaths. I'm just looking for your explanation for this instead of you deflecting to Texas and Arizona.

i explicitly addressed that point with this post (http://forum.gsplayers.com/showthread.php?125271-This-is-the-End&p=2161226#post2161226). the US as a whole has hit 700 daily deaths when it had 60k daily cases, 20k daily cases, 30k daily cases - cases and deaths just don't match up, as the graph indicates

consider, if you will:

https://imgur.com/2kzaBqA.png

one large state at a previously high level decreases and stabilizes, then later another large state at a previously low level increases. the states as a whole have many more cases and fewer deaths because not everything happens at the same time. that's why looking at individual states and regions can help us see what's going on - new york state didn't have a spike in cases but it didn't go down to zero either, and that blurs what's happening if you only look at the national level

.

let me ask you this, though - if we reach a point where we do have more deaths nationally than we did in March/April, will you agree we need federal action, whether of the kind i've described or otherwise? arizona and texas have already gone into full reverse and mcconnell is right behind them so i doubt we'll get there anyway, but i am interested to see what your decision point is

[Latrinsorm]

and just to put a bow on that, the latest regional data from the covid tracking project:

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Ec6yzq1UYAEZxbN?format=png

and notice how like my toy example, they're on the same scale

[Tgo01]

i explicitly addressed that point with this post (http://forum.gsplayers.com/showthread.php?125271-This-is-the-End&p=2161226#post2161226). the US as a whole has hit 700 daily deaths when it had 60k daily cases, 20k daily cases, 30k daily cases - cases and deaths just don't match up, as the graph indicates

consider, if you will:

https://imgur.com/2kzaBqA.png

one large state at a previously high level decreases and stabilizes, then later another large state at a previously low level increases. the states as a whole have many more cases and fewer deaths because not everything happens at the same time. that's why looking at individual states and regions can help us see what's going on - new york state didn't have a spike in cases but it didn't go down to zero either, and that blurs what's happening if you only look at the national level

So just a bunch of words instead of blaming bad policies at the state level?


let me ask you this, though - if we reach a point where we do have more deaths nationally than we did in March/April, will you agree we need federal action, whether of the kind i've described or otherwise?

If you're talking about lockdowns then no. Enough with the lockdowns already. If people want to stay home and waste away then I say let them, but don't force people. Enough is enough already.

[Wrathbringer]

No the protests did not "all happen at the same time."

Some states had protests that lasted much longer than other states, some states had protests that started sooner than other states, some states had much larger protests than other states. Shit Portland is STILL under attack by violent Antifa on a nightly basis.



Yes, that's why I went back THREE WEEKS to point out the rise in cases because as you should know typically a person who is going to die from the virus will be dead within 3 weeks of contracting, ERGO people who were infected 3 weeks ago most likely would have died by now if they are going to die at all from the virus.

Let me know if you plan on answering my question without all of the deflections.

Latrinsormed

[Keller]

FYI - I knew how much thought and effort Latrin would put into this thread and told him he was wasting his time - once via text and a second time in real-time chat in a sim basketball league. In between giving play-by-play of game 7 of a sim basketball championship in the league he runs to 20+ other people in the league (and spectators, like me), he explained that if he convinced any one of you to wear a mask and take this seriously it was worth it.

Latrin is the best of us. His generosity and patience is exemplary.

[RichardCranium]

FYI - I knew how much thought and effort Latrin would put into this thread and told him he was wasting his time - once via text and a second time in real-time chat in a sim basketball league. In between giving play-by-play of game 7 of a sim basketball championship in the league he runs to 20+ other people in the league (and spectators, like me), he explained that if he convinced any one of you to wear a mask and take this seriously it was worth it.

Latrin is the best of us. His generosity and patience is exemplary.

Can't rep again so I'll just say again, truth.

[Gelston]

FYI - I knew how much thought and effort Latrin would put into this thread and told him he was wasting his time - once via text and a second time in real-time chat in a sim basketball league. In between giving play-by-play of game 7 of a sim basketball championship in the league he runs to 20+ other people in the league (and spectators, like me), he explained that if he convinced any one of you to wear a mask and take this seriously it was worth it.

Latrin is the best of us. His generosity and patience is exemplary.

Sorry that a forum for a Text based RPG that is 30+ years old isn't taking this this dumbass shit seriously. People only come here because they are bored. Like when you pop up every couple months.

[Suppa Hobbit Mage]

Yeah if coming across as a holier than though know it all is the best of us, I guess. He may be book smart, but clearly he is emotionally crippled.

[Keller]

Yeah if coming across as a holier than though know it all is the best of us, I guess. He may be book smart, but clearly he is emotionally crippled.

I disagree. He is very emotionally healthy and mature.

[Suppa Hobbit Mage]

I disagree. He is very emotionally healthy and mature.

That's fine. Everyone has an opinion, and I've shared mine.

[Gelston]

I disagree. He is very emotionally healthy and mature.

You sound like you're trying to blow him.

[Keller]

Speaking of people lacking maturity . . .

[Gelston]

Speaking of people lacking maturity . . .

You're the one holding his balls for the past 20 posts.

[Latrinsorm]

So just a bunch of words instead of blaming bad policies at the state level?



If you're talking about lockdowns then no. Enough with the lockdowns already. If people want to stay home and waste away then I say let them, but don't force people. Enough is enough already.

what if we reach a point where we have twice as many deaths nationally as we did in March/April?
three times?
ten times?
is there any point at which you'll reassess?

in Alabama they had 3006 new cases and 64 new deaths reported the week starting 06/01
the week starting 06/22 they had 5366 and 69 respectively
last week they had 117 new deaths
today their Governor issued a statewide mask mandate

massive increase in new cases simultaneous with no increase in new deaths, followed soon after by a surge in new deaths, followed soon after by government intervention

that pattern look familiar?

if you're the last one to come around, are you the most sensible and ruggedly independent, or are you just the dumbest?

[Suppa Hobbit Mage]

if you're the last one to come around, are you the most sensible and ruggedly independent, or are you just the dumbest?

See, he's not so angelic.

[Taernath]

You're the one holding his balls for the past 20 posts.

No, he's right. Grow the fuck up and move beyond the 'lmao r u gay' shit.

[Gelston]

No, he's right. Grow the fuck up and move beyond the 'lmao r u gay' shit.

No he's wrong. Shut the fuck up, fruit cake.

Read beyond the "lmao r u gay" that you immediately brought up. The dude has been sucking up/white knighting the fuck out of Latrin.

And that is exactly how internet dudes try to defend chicks they'll never have a chance with.

[Taernath]

No he's wrong. Shut the fuck up, fruit cake.

Read beyond the "lmao r u gay" that you immediately brought up. The dude has been sucking up/white knighting the fuck out of Latrin.

And that is exactly how internet dudes try to defend chicks they'll never have a chance with.

The only way you could mistake agreeing with someone for wanting to hop on their dick is if you had the mental maturity of a 14 year old. See my previous post.

[Keller]

See, he's not so angelic.

Sometimes you've got to call a spade a spade.

[Gelston]

The only way you could mistake agreeing with someone for wanting to hop on their dick is if you had the mental maturity of a 14 year old. See my previous post.

You don't have to call someone angelic and too good for people when you agree with them, but okay. Nice stretch.

Also, get the fuck off my nuts bitch, coming over here telling me how I should post.

[Latrinsorm]

i'm no angel and nobody has called me one, so that works out
with that said i am a reliable messenger
every number i've posted in this thread is 100% correct
i said (http://forum.gsplayers.com/showthread.php?125271-This-is-the-End&p=2159780#post2159780) FL/TX/AZ were on track to see record deaths, people like Tgo01 (http://forum.gsplayers.com/showthread.php?125271-This-is-the-End&p=2160129#post2160129) told you the death rate was going to stay lower, because NuRsiNg HoMEs

they were wrong

i was right

and major Republicans agree with me - this isn't a matter of party. this isn't even a matter of intelligence - anyone can see the plain truth that the numbers are going up at horrific rates. this is a matter of how obedient you want to be to a man who would cheerfully sell your life for a dinged aggie and an empty can of Coca-Cola, how viciously you want to contort yourself to fit the latest rationalization. the President is never going to read this - he's never going to read anything. you have absolutely everything to gain and absolutely nothing to lose by accepting and promulgating the truth

[Suppa Hobbit Mage]

i'm no angel and nobody has called me one, so that works out
with that said i am a reliable messenger
every number i've posted in this thread is 100% correct
i said (http://forum.gsplayers.com/showthread.php?125271-This-is-the-End&p=2159780#post2159780) FL/TX/AZ were on track to see record deaths, people like Tgo01 (http://forum.gsplayers.com/showthread.php?125271-This-is-the-End&p=2160129#post2160129) told you the death rate was going to stay lower, because NuRsiNg HoMEs

they were wrong

i was right

and major Republicans agree with me - this isn't a matter of party. this isn't even a matter of intelligence - anyone can see the plain truth that the numbers are going up at horrific rates. this is a matter of how obedient you want to be to a man who would cheerfully sell your life for a dinged aggie and an empty can of Coca-Cola, how viciously you want to contort yourself to fit the latest rationalization. the President is never going to read this - he's never going to read anything. you have absolutely everything to gain and absolutely nothing to lose by accepting and promulgating the truth

nice reductio ad absurdum.

[Latrinsorm]

nice reductio ad absurdum.

i'd like to hear you elaborate on what you mean by this

[Tgo01]

FYI - I knew how much thought and effort Latrin would put into this thread and told him he was wasting his time - once via text and a second time in real-time chat in a sim basketball league. In between giving play-by-play of game 7 of a sim basketball championship in the league he runs to 20+ other people in the league (and spectators, like me), he explained that if he convinced any one of you to wear a mask and take this seriously it was worth it.

Just shut up already.

I'm reading Latrin's posts, I happen to disagree. Is that now a crime? Apparently some people such as yourself want to make it a crime.

Also I'm pretty sure everyone already is taking the virus seriously, but once again to certain people like you "taking it seriously" means we have to shut down the entire economy and cause untold suffering for tens of millions of people.

We get it, you have plenty of money in the bank where you don't have to worry about the economy shutting down. Try thinking about other people who are less fortunate than you for a change.

[Tgo01]

what if we reach a point where we have twice as many deaths nationally as we did in March/April?
three times?
ten times?
is there any point at which you'll reassess?

No. We tried the lockdown already and then Democrats proved they didn't really care about the virus when they fully supported mass protests and riots. So why do it again?

Be responsible for yourself. Stay home as much as possible if you're worried, keep a distance from others when possible, wear a gas mask 24/7 for all I care. But let the people who want to live their lives live their lives already.

It's pretty funny watching a group of people who were so worried about Trump becoming a dictator now fully supporting and even demanding a dictatorship.

[Tgo01]

Sometimes you've got to call a spade a spade.

Why would you use such a racist term?

[Tgo01]

i said (http://forum.gsplayers.com/showthread.php?125271-This-is-the-End&p=2159780#post2159780) FL/TX/AZ were on track to see record deaths, people like Tgo01 (http://forum.gsplayers.com/showthread.php?125271-This-is-the-End&p=2160129#post2160129) told you the death rate was going to stay lower, because NuRsiNg HoMEs

Once again Latrin ignores the national death rate because it doesn't suit his argument.

Once again Latrin ignores the fact that the death rate doubled several times in NY over a span of a few weeks while it's taken over a month for Florida, Texas, and Arizona to double once and it hasn't even gotten close to doubling again in several weeks.

Latrin can't admit he's wrong, he has never been able to. All he knows how to do is deflect and steer the argument into the direction he wants because he is incapable of defending holes in his arguments.

And then people like Keller come along and proclaim him to be some sort of genius so all of us mere peasants must be wrong and Latrin must be right.

Latrin, the guy who said we should literally have everyone stay home for months and just print up money, because yeah there are no historical records we can cite that shows printing up money leads to disaster.

But by all means, Keller the racist who wishes death upon white people who disagree with him, tell us again how Latrin is right about everything. Because your word means so much around here.

[Latrinsorm]

Just shut up already.

I'm reading Latrin's posts, I happen to disagree. Is that now a crime? Apparently some people such as yourself want to make it a crime.

Also I'm pretty sure everyone already is taking the virus seriously, but once again to certain people like you "taking it seriously" means we have to shut down the entire economy and cause untold suffering for tens of millions of people.

We get it, you have plenty of money in the bank where you don't have to worry about the economy shutting down. Try thinking about other people who are less fortunate than you for a change.

prevent, not cause

otherwise you nailed it, people like you tell yourselves you're taking it seriously when you're doing anything but

[Tgo01]

people like you tell yourselves you're taking it seriously when you're doing anything but

Screw you. You don't know what I'm doing. I happen to live with someone who has a compromised immune system.

Since March we have tried our best to never be in the same room at the same time. I wear a mask whenever I go out somewhere and I have severely cut back on how often I go out to places. I try to stay as far away from other people at all times, even friends and family. We haven't let anyone else inside the home since March, we instead hang out with friends and family outside the house and keep apart as much as possible. Everyone in the house takes their temperature on a regular basis, even if they don't feel sick.

Not once has anyone in the household, not even the person with a compromised immune system, ever demanded that everyone else lose their jobs and be forced to stay in their homes for months on end. It never even occurred to me to even think I should expect other people to do that. We take responsibility for our own actions and expect others to do the same.

So kindly take your assessment of how seriously I am taking this virus and shove it up Keller's ass.

[Latrinsorm]

Once again Latrin ignores the national death rate because it doesn't suit his argument.

Once again Latrin ignores the fact that the death rate doubled several times in NY over a span of a few weeks while it's taken over a month for Florida, Texas, and Arizona to double once and it hasn't even gotten close to doubling again in several weeks.

Latrin can't admit he's wrong, he has never been able to. All he knows how to do is deflect and steer the argument into the direction he wants because he is incapable of defending holes in his arguments.

And then people like Keller come along and proclaim him to be some sort of genius so all of us mere peasants must be wrong and Latrin must be right.

Latrin, the guy who said we should literally have everyone stay home for months and just print up money, because yeah there are no historical records we can cite that shows printing up money leads to disaster.

But by all means, Keller the racist who wishes death upon white people who disagree with him, tell us again how Latrin is right about everything. Because your word means so much around here.

if the death rate doubles in Florida again, will you admit you're wrong? a third time? a fourth time? Arizona and Texas, obviously, are going to see reduced increase now that they've taken significant steps back towards shutdown. i've asked you several times for specific quantitative future criteria that you would accept as proof, one might look on your refusal to do so as... deflection B-)

and i'll say it again, this is not a contest of intellect - it doesn't take a gumshoe to see record highs and deduce something has gone wrong. it is only a contest of how much you are willing to debase yourself in the face of overwhelming evidence

you've been taught to be smug about the historical record of printing money, that's not your fault. it is your fault that you don't actually look at it - as demonstrated earlier in this thread, the go-tos for hyperinflation are in the 10,000% range. not even the most ambitious Democratic plan gets within 1/100th of that, just like the German plan that was and continues to be a resounding success

we know what the right answer is for this coronavirus pandemic
we know all the knee jerk reactions against it were wrong
we know every last thing you've parroted from this administration was wrong
we know these things for a fact
"we"; that is, both of us

it's up to you when you admit it

at this point it doesn't matter either way. public sentiment is rolling inexorably towards more government intervention and shutdowns. your intransigence is irrelevant

my job here is done. i'm not sure i'll be back after our next rushed reopening when we experience the same death spikes, but we'll see

https://static0.cbrimages.com/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2019/08/mamoru-and-usagi-in-sailor-moon.jpg?q=50&fit=crop&w=740&h=1480

[Keller]

I just want to be clear I never said Latrin was a genius. I never even said he was smart.

That was Suppa Hobbit Mage.

Just wanted to correct the record.

Carry on.

[Tgo01]

I just want to be clear I never said Latrin was a genius. I never even said he was smart.

Yeah you literally just said he was "the best among us" and chided us for not falling over ourselves to agree with his assessment that we lock everyone up in their homes for several more months and just print up money.

Even ignoring for one second the absurdness of such a plan, how will this be enforced? There are protests and riots still going on to this day! You really think these people will go back to their homes and stay there like good little boys and girls for several more months?

Or is this more nonsense of "Oh no...Democrat approved protests and riots are fine! We just mean everyone else has to stay locked up in their homes!"

[Keller]

I said he was generous and patient.

I said that because he thinks you are worth his time. His judgment is poor.

[Tgo01]

I said he was generous and patient.

I said that because he thinks you are worth his time. His judgment is poor.

What does this even mean? I'll debate/argue with anyone who is willing to have an honest debate, something you are unwilling to do most of the time. I guess that means everyone is "worth my time."

But I say shit you don't like so I'm probably a |insert your favorite pejorative for people you disagree with here| while Latrin says shit you like so he's "the best among us."

[Tgo01]

Let's put the numbers into perspective.

From July 6th to July 12th the number of deaths from COVID-19 in the US was 5,178.

According to the CDC between 2010 and 2018 anywhere between 12k and 79k Americans die to the flu each year. (https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/faq.htm#References)

That means anywhere between 923 and 6,076 Americans die each week during the flu season.

So for the sake of argument let's say the cases remain stable for now, since they haven't shown any signs of doubling over and over again like they did earlier in the year, and based on what we know from what happened earlier in the year in the US and what happened everywhere else in the world, the number of deaths are going to start declining again until they reach near 0 deaths a day again.

So for 13 weeks a year up to 6k Americans die every week from the flu, that's 1k more deaths than currently dying to COVID-19. My question to Latrin, Keller, the rest of the "shut it down" gang, do we shut down the entire economy for 13 weeks every year during flu season? Why or why not? Use your words and don't deflect.

[Suppa Hobbit Mage]

I just want to be clear I never said Latrin was a genius. I never even said he was smart.

That was Suppa Hobbit Mage.

Lets be clear, I said "He may be book smart, but clearly he is emotionally crippled." Note the word in front of smart. I'm not even going to stress the "may" because the way I said it and meant it, I think he is book smart.

[Solkern]

Lets be clear, I said "He may be book smart, but clearly he is emotionally crippled." Note the word in front of smart. I'm not even going to stress the "may" because the way I said it and meant it, I think he is book smart.

it's bad, that you even need to explain that. kinda given with that phrase.

[Alfster]

We get it, you have plenty of money in the bank where you don't have to worry about the economy shutting down. Try thinking about other people who are less fortunate than you for a change.

So you're pro socialism then? You know, the programs meant to help people like you that haven't saved enough for an emergency.

[Methais]

Why do we care so much about the death rate?

Why don't you care about the death rate?

[Alfster]

Why don't you care about the death rate?

There's a delay from infection to death, in some cases months. There's also all kinds of potential long term health effects that we aren't sure we fully understand yet. Dry humping over what killed who does no help - but knowing how many people are gaining pre-existing conditions that can affect future healthcare costs matters the most to me.

[Methais]

You want to talk about the end?

Look at Biden's platform. AOC is his environmental advisor. AOC. You heard that right. The Green New Deal.

Sometimes I wonder if Biden is intentionally trying to lose.

[Gelston]

Why don't you care about the death rate?

Is misread that as Death Race at first.

[Methais]

FYI - I knew how much thought and effort Latrin would put into this thread and told him he was wasting his time - once via text and a second time in real-time chat in a sim basketball league. In between giving play-by-play of game 7 of a sim basketball championship in the league he runs to 20+ other people in the league (and spectators, like me), he explained that if he convinced any one of you to wear a mask and take this seriously it was worth it.

Latrin is the best of us. His generosity and patience is exemplary.

Could you and/or Latrin tell us who specifically from here is and isn't wearing masks? Thanks in advance.

[Tgo01]

So you're pro socialism then? You know, the programs meant to help people like you that haven't saved enough for an emergency.

Uh...I'm saying DON'T shut down the economy so people can continue to work. Are you confused again?

Outside of millionaires very few people save enough money to be out of work for 6+ months.

[Tgo01]

There's a delay from infection to death, in some cases months.

It's not months. If someone is going to die from the virus chances are very high they will be dead within 3 weeks of catching the virus. Sometimes it's as little as a week.

[Methais]

Is misread that as Death Race at first.

Death Race is actually what I meant to say.


There's a delay from infection to death, in some cases months. There's also all kinds of potential long term health effects that we aren't sure we fully understand yet. Dry humping over what killed who does no help - but knowing how many people are gaining pre-existing conditions that can affect future healthcare costs matters the most to me.

Why don’t you care about the Death Race?

[Tgo01]

Why don’t you care about the Death Race?

Death Race 2000!

[Gelston]

It's not months. If someone is going to die from the virus chances are very high they will be dead within 3 weeks of catching the virus. Sometimes it's as little as a week.

I saw a guy post about having it and then being dead within 9 days, on a ventilator in 7. Of course, this doesn't say when he may have actually gotten it, just that he felt symptoms and got tested. So first signs to death was 9 days.

[Wrathbringer]

No. We tried the lockdown already and then Democrats proved they didn't really care about the virus when they fully supported mass protests and riots. So why do it again?

Be responsible for yourself. Stay home as much as possible if you're worried, keep a distance from others when possible, wear a gas mask 24/7 for all I care. But let the people who want to live their lives live their lives already.

It's pretty funny watching a group of people who were so worried about Trump becoming a dictator now fully supporting and even demanding a dictatorship.

This is all goddamn motherfucking correct.

[Methais]

This is all goddamn motherfucking correct.

This is correct.

[drumpel]

That is the thing. Even the military is saying a past COVID-19 infection is a disqualifier for service. They might know something that hasn't been fully released to the general public yet.

Really? I find that hard to believe seeing as i know someone whose kid is in the air force. His academy is back to having classes and training like nothing has changed before the covid scares. No distancing, no masks and any person that has been tested positive is still an active member of the academy and still going through classes and training. If any one tests positive while on campus, they get locked down in their room with their roommate for at least 10 days. After that they go right back into class and training, no masks or distancing.

[drumpel]

Uh...I'm saying DON'T shut down the economy so people can continue to work. Are you confused again?

Outside of millionaires very few people save enough money to be out of work for 6+ months.

Doubt you'd actually be surprised, but I'd venture to guess a lot of folks that do make a lot of money don't have much to fall back on.

I heard a member of a local casino talking about how all natives that are part of the tribe are paid almost $500k a year from the casino - you're talking about a couple hundred people each getting paid about half a mil a year. With the forced shutdown and "social distancing" with limited capacity opening, the tribe members are on track to only make around $100k. He said every member he knows, they all have multiple houses and cars and, like him, rely on that $500k a year to pay their bills. He's been trying his hands in other aspect to earn money to pay his bills now that his casino isn't paying out as much as it usually does.

How sad is that?

[Suppa Hobbit Mage]

Doubt you'd actually be surprised, but I'd venture to guess a lot of folks that do make a lot of money don't have much to fall back on.

I heard a member of a local casino talking about how all natives that are part of the tribe are paid almost $500k a year from the casino - you're talking about a couple hundred people each getting paid about half a mil a year. With the forced shutdown and "social distancing" with limited capacity opening, the tribe members are on track to only make around $100k. He said every member he knows, they all have multiple houses and cars and, like him, rely on that $500k a year to pay their bills. He's been trying his hands in other aspect to earn money to pay his bills now that his casino isn't paying out as much as it usually does.

How sad is that?

It’s not sad at all. I’d love getting 100-500k a year for doing nothing but having lost a war decades or more ago where no living person was involved.

[Keller]

Outside of millionaires very few people save enough money to be out of work for 6+ months.

That's a problem.

I realize you're saying it is a fact (and I wouldn't question its veracity, even coming from someone like you) - but it's more a problem than a fact.

[Suppa Hobbit Mage]

That's a problem.

I realize you're saying it is a fact (and I wouldn't question its veracity, even coming from someone like you) - but it's more a problem than a fact.

I don't think it is. A million dollars isn't what it used to be. I would have to dip into non-liquid savings after 4 months, maybe could stretch to 6 if I was very frugal, and I consider myself a very sound financial planner. I personally think it'd take a bunch more than a million dollars before I could comfortably just "not work".

[Stanley Burrell]

Keller, who's the chick in your avatar drinking the strawberry jooce? Is it, like, someone famous I should know or something?

[Tgo01]

Doubt you'd actually be surprised, but I'd venture to guess a lot of folks that do make a lot of money don't have much to fall back on.

I heard a member of a local casino talking about how all natives that are part of the tribe are paid almost $500k a year from the casino - you're talking about a couple hundred people each getting paid about half a mil a year. With the forced shutdown and "social distancing" with limited capacity opening, the tribe members are on track to only make around $100k. He said every member he knows, they all have multiple houses and cars and, like him, rely on that $500k a year to pay their bills. He's been trying his hands in other aspect to earn money to pay his bills now that his casino isn't paying out as much as it usually does.

How sad is that?

Yeah I really should have said multimillionaires. People don't realize that even a lot of wealthy people don't save money just because they earn a lot of money, it's just their tastes are more expensive so their bills are higher than someone earning 40k a year.

[Tgo01]

Another week has gone by and the number of deaths STILL haven't exploded in Arizona, Texas, Florida, or the US as a whole.

But we just keep ignoring that fact week after week in the hopes that maybe finally one day they will explode so you can say "See? I told you so!" right?

Heck I just realized that this thread here was started almost 3 weeks ago and the number of deaths still haven't exploded in that time. By this time in NY's outbreak they were well over 15k deaths already, and here is Arizona, Texas, and Florida with 11,628 deaths combined in total since the beginning of the outbreak. But we won't mention Cuomo's policy of murdering seniors in nursing homes because he's a Democrat.

Are any of you panic porners going to realize you've been peddling shit? Are any of you going to apologize for the fear mongering? Of course not. Much like I said in the other thread it's all confirmation bias with you people.

You'll just keep ignoring the data that doesn't support your narrative then the second you see data that supports your narrative you'll rush in to proclaim you were right all along and we were all fools for not listening.

[Methais]

Doubt you'd actually be surprised, but I'd venture to guess a lot of folks that do make a lot of money don't have much to fall back on.

I heard a member of a local casino talking about how all natives that are part of the tribe are paid almost $500k a year from the casino - you're talking about a couple hundred people each getting paid about half a mil a year. With the forced shutdown and "social distancing" with limited capacity opening, the tribe members are on track to only make around $100k. He said every member he knows, they all have multiple houses and cars and, like him, rely on that $500k a year to pay their bills. He's been trying his hands in other aspect to earn money to pay his bills now that his casino isn't paying out as much as it usually does.

How sad is that?

That’s their own fault for choosing to live debt-rich.

[Bobmuhthol]

Another week has gone by and the number of deaths STILL haven't exploded in Arizona, Texas, Florida, or the US as a whole.

But we just keep ignoring that fact week after week in the hopes that maybe finally one day they will explode so you can say "See? I told you so!" right?

Heck I just realized that this thread here was started almost 3 weeks ago and the number of deaths still haven't exploded in that time. By this time in NY's outbreak they were well over 15k deaths already, and here is Arizona, Texas, and Florida with 11,628 deaths combined in total since the beginning of the outbreak. But we won't mention Cuomo's policy of murdering seniors in nursing homes because he's a Democrat.

Are any of you panic porners going to realize you've been peddling shit? Are any of you going to apologize for the fear mongering? Of course not. Much like I said in the other thread it's all confirmation bias with you people.

You'll just keep ignoring the data that doesn't support your narrative then the second you see data that supports your narrative you'll rush in to proclaim you were right all along and we were all fools for not listening.

The number of deaths per week has literally been increasing this entire time, what the fuck are you talking about?

There are at least two strains of the virus, and the one that first spread in the Northeast was much more lethal -- and less contagious -- than the one that is currently spreading in the South. Being less lethal than something else doesn't make a thing nonlethal. You can't compare number of deaths in NYC to number of deaths in Texas for a few different reasons, but you can definitely compare number of deaths in Texas a month ago to number of deaths in Texas today. That number is supposed to be falling if people are doing a good job of responding to the virus. The number is rising. They are not doing a good job.

[Keller]

That’s their own fault for choosing to live debt-rich.

Yep.

If you’re a millionaire and can’t live for 6 months without a salary/income than you need help managing your money.

[Suppa Hobbit Mage]

That number is supposed to be falling if people are doing a good job of responding to the virus. The number is rising. They are not doing a good job.

This is true of every state (according to this site https://wamu.org/story/20/07/18/map-tracking-the-spread-of-the-coronavirus-in-the-u-s/) except Maine, NJ, Delaware and Arizona. Sooooo...

[Bobmuhthol]

This is true of every state (according to this site https://wamu.org/story/20/07/18/map-tracking-the-spread-of-the-coronavirus-in-the-u-s/) except Maine, NJ, Delaware and Arizona. Sooooo...1. I said deaths, not cases.
2. Tgo01 thinks that deaths in Texas are not alarmingly higher today than they were a month ago. This belief is false.

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[Orthin]

This is true of every state (according to this site https://wamu.org/story/20/07/18/map-tracking-the-spread-of-the-coronavirus-in-the-u-s/) except Maine, NJ, Delaware and Arizona. Sooooo...

I think he was referencing Texas specifically for that statement at least that is how I read those sentences

[Suppa Hobbit Mage]

1. I said deaths, not cases.
2. Tgo01 thinks that deaths in Texas are not alarmingly higher today than they were a month ago. This belief is false.http://forum.gsplayers.com/image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAxwAAAH2CAYAAAD 6R4rFAAAgAElEQVR4Aey9i3MUVbv/ /s3TtU5dWqn6rfPSZXv3u7jb//c77vf18srRMEoSFBUvBGJijdQURGFoEgUEbwAKuA1ohjxBoJyE QIC4R4VCBcDAkkgEBCI3CIEnlNPz6xJd0/PZHqm55rPVHX1dPfTa63 rGem17eftVb/D EDAQhAAAIQgAAEIAABCEAgTQT R5rSJVkIQAACEIAABCAAAQhAAALiS3CcPHVaDrf9Ls0th2Tv/gMsMMAH8AF8AB/AB/ABfAAfwAfwgbg kJDgUKGhIuNQ2i3893dsrFixfRaxCAAAQgAAEIQAACEIAABOIS 6FZwHP39hBxobZOzZzviJsRBCEAAAhCAAAQgAAEIQAACbgJxBY eKDY1qEM1wY2MbAhCAAAQgAAEIQAACEEiEQEzBoV2nNLKB2EgE IzYQgAAEIAABCEAAAhCAgBeBmIJDx2zQjcoLGfsgAAEIQAACEI AABCAAgUQJeAoOjW5oVyo EIAABCAAAQhAAAIQgAAEUiHgKTh06lsVHXwgAAEIQAACEIAABC AAAQikQsBTcGh3Kp36lg8EIAABCEAAAhCAAAQgAIFUCHgKDn2p H4PFU8HKuRCAAAQgAAEIQAACEICAEogpOMADAQhAAAIQgAAEIA ABCEAgVQIIjlQJcj4EIAABCEAAAhCAAAQgEJMAgiMmGg5AAAIQ gAAEIAABCEAAAqkSQHCkSpDzIQABCEAAAhCAAAQgAIGYBBAcMd FwAAIQgAAEIAABCEAAAhBIlQCCI1WCnA8BCEAAAhCAAAQgAAEI xCSA4IiJhgMQgAAEIAABCEAAAhCAQKoEEBypEuR8CEAAAhCAAA 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Ah gotcha. Yeah, Texas passed the US average deaths per 100K this last week. I'd be alarmed if I was in Texas, but only mildly because I stay in the house, work from home, get groceries delivered and generally just stay away from people.

[Suppa Hobbit Mage]

I also think it's an artifact from July 4th.

[Geijon]

Here is some data tgo.

First, you're a troll. The #1 on this forum. Literally all of you right wingers killed this community beyond merchanting around 2017. Care to actually check it. It'll be bad. You won't. I, no the other hand, have checked your Obama era racism to 2008. It's bad, but nothing that should surprise us now. You are just silly emboldened along with your other idea logs. So back on point. The Vietnam War. Bad news right? Maybe you saw Platoon or Jacob's later. Parkbandit, Tgo01, a few these other posters are old enough to have served or dodged it like cowards. I wasn't alive for the record.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vietnam_War

1955-1975. The vietnam war. You're old, obviously or you are just an uncompromising bigot (I go with you're old). My family fought in it. Khe Sahn. Look it up. Democrats. I grew up as a moderate, conservative, independent. I voted who I felt would lead us.

Trump spent his time telling people his daddy says he has foot problems. His businesses were 6x bankrupt. He'd be richer on interest. He's an idiot. He's tied for worst President of all time currently unless he can win a second term. Please god he doesn't. You're one level above a facebook poster who co-signs with their name this stuff (A TON do) because you're twice as annoying from the anonymity of the internet and I'm sure the reality of your internet activity is EVEN WORSE THAN THE PC, but it's a guess cause you are all cowards.

Trump didn't get my vote. I didn't vote for Sanders either. Let's go back to the point.

Over 20 years 59,000 Americans (Oh no I rounded up for you) vs. 140,000 DEAD from the "Wuhan Virus". your emperors terminology, you think should be perpetrated as a no big deal mentality when the actual dead in America from March 2020 to July 2020, that's 5 months, is approaching triple of perhaps the largest death toll for the US in regards to war that championed civil rights, abuse of the military, social changes and an American aversion to war, but you skip over it.

Then you quote a Fauci statement about masks that he's revisted from March 26th, 2020 and a Cuomo mistake about seniors who don't need to be hospitalized that he explained when Trump don't explain a thing, as if people die he talks about the economy, protests and some other random bullshit to look like a god damn fool. Cuamo and Fauci have then explained and distanced or apologized. If a mask discussion comes up? Fauci said 5 months ago! is your answer and you posted literally 50-100 times the same talking point. He recanted and changed that. Durr. Update your shit.

Trump calls this "Summer". A coward facing zero accountability, as the POTUS mind you, thinks 140,000 deaths is no big deal, a hoax, media bias. A part of is I'm sure, but those Portland paramilitary have already been pre-bunked as "poorly trained" they were armed to the nails, btw, then you rail against everything with Parkbandit, Wraithbringer, Methais, Suppa Hobbit and a bunch of other racist, inflammatory trolls. If you aren't these things, you sure associate. There is a few more of you.

Want me to start posting all of your black lives matter, uncle tom, I hate Obama shit? It's not a surprise. You are just emboldened because of Trump. You said the same shit back then. It was similarly bad. Might have been worse since you called out dead black leaders, Israel, Palestinians and just about everybody as the problem. You all just are emboldened to post right wing rhetorical. It's when it started. Good job being ahead of the curve. You maybe beat the Russian bots. Personally. You are bots, really.

*

*

*

*

*

Everyone else. Please stop feeding these idiots. Stop standing in the fire.

They love it. You never change your viewpoint. It's literally stupidity. I hope you don't get it, but continue to minimize everything and anything. Even when Trump loses in 2020 you'll be on some bullshit, but zero folks should be surprised. Your record shows since 2012 how you felt.

Privileged. Bias. Unwilling to reason. Troll.

[Suppa Hobbit Mage]

https://i0.wp.com/lucillezimmerman.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/5-ways-to-self-soothe-after-trigger-2-1.jpg?fit=735%2C1159

[Alashir]

1. I said deaths, not cases.
2. Tgo01 thinks that deaths in Texas are not alarmingly higher today than they were a month ago. This belief is false.


tgo and crew are well known racist right wing bigots - why bother debating them? its a bummer theyve destroyed the boards and this site is now 70% right wing hate speech and 30% merchanting but arguing with them isn't going to change that.

[Bobmuhthol]

tgo and crew are well known racist right wing bigots - why bother debating them? its a bummer theyve destroyed the boards and this site is now 70% right wing hate speech and 30% merchanting but arguing with them isn't going to change that.Yeah, I have visited this site like once a year over the last 5-7 years and it gets worse every time. I have plenty more I could have said to Tgo01 in particular, but I get that it isn't worth the effort because I can see that he spends way too much time here saying some very outlandish shit. The same familiar people who were a drag on this place 10-15 years ago are still here today, and I have certainly noticed in the last week or whatever that I've been casually glancing at the posts that the majority of conversation is extremist Fox News level propaganda. It's wild, man.

[Fortybox]

tgo and crew are well known racist right wing bigots - why bother debating them? its a bummer theyve destroyed the boards and this site is now 70% right wing hate speech and 30% merchanting but arguing with them isn't going to change that.

Please give examples of "right wing hate speech" here.

[Fortybox]

Yeah, I have visited this site like once a year over the last 5-7 years and it gets worse every time. I have plenty more I could have said to Tgo01 in particular, but I get that it isn't worth the effort because I can see that he spends way too much time here saying some very outlandish shit. The same familiar people who were a drag on this place 10-15 years ago are still here today, and I have certainly noticed in the last week or whatever that I've been casually glancing at the posts that the majority of conversation is extremist Fox News level propaganda. It's wild, man.

Sorry you're triggered over the most watched cable news network. Praying for u.

[Suppa Hobbit Mage]

tgo and crew are well known racist right wing bigots - why bother debating them? its a bummer theyve destroyed the boards and this site is now 70% right wing hate speech and 30% merchanting but arguing with them isn't going to change that.

Wait, are you saying I'm in his crew? Because I posted a factual site detailing the rise in cases, not deaths?

[Bobmuhthol]

Please give examples of "right wing hate speech" here.

I am sourcing this from "Activity Stream" and not going to go very deep...

http://forum.gsplayers.com/showthread.php?116004-Things-that-made-you-Facepalm-today-(Political-Version)&p=2162048#post2162048

http://forum.gsplayers.com/showthread.php?125443-Portland&p=2162040#post2162040

http://forum.gsplayers.com/showthread.php?116004-Things-that-made-you-Facepalm-today-(Political-Version)&p=2162036#post2162036

http://forum.gsplayers.com/showthread.php?125443-Portland&p=2162010#post2162010

http://forum.gsplayers.com/showthread.php?125443-Portland&p=2162004#post2162004

http://forum.gsplayers.com/showthread.php?116004-Things-that-made-you-Facepalm-today-(Political-Version)&p=2161997#post2161997

These might not be the most powerful examples, but they are all examples from the last 24 hours alone.

[Suppa Hobbit Mage]

Shocker. Neg rep.

I gave you neg rep because you are off your rocker. I also signed it. Thoughts and prayers bra. Thoughts and prayers.

[Bobmuhthol]

Sorry you're triggered over the most watched cable news network. Praying for u.I'm not "triggered" by anything, but that is some common denominator-level bullshit that viewers of an outlet like Fox News would congratulate you on for that sick burn.

https://www.adfontesmedia.com/

[Suppa Hobbit Mage]

I am sourcing this from "Activity Stream" and not going to go very deep...

http://forum.gsplayers.com/showthread.php?116004-Things-that-made-you-Facepalm-today-(Political-Version)&p=2162048#post2162048

http://forum.gsplayers.com/showthread.php?125443-Portland&p=2162040#post2162040

http://forum.gsplayers.com/showthread.php?116004-Things-that-made-you-Facepalm-today-(Political-Version)&p=2162036#post2162036

http://forum.gsplayers.com/showthread.php?125443-Portland&p=2162010#post2162010

http://forum.gsplayers.com/showthread.php?125443-Portland&p=2162004#post2162004

http://forum.gsplayers.com/showthread.php?116004-Things-that-made-you-Facepalm-today-(Political-Version)&p=2161997#post2161997

These might not be the most powerful examples, but they are all examples from the last 24 hours alone.

I glanced at those posts. I'd strongly disagree they are hate speech.

[Bobmuhthol]

I glanced at those posts. I'd strongly disagree they are hate speech.Like I said, they aren't the worst things people are saying, they're just the most recent things. I didn't make the original statement about hate speech, and I'm not going to try to identify prior examples of it, but there is a definite subtone of it here. If I really cared, I could find people defending politicians who have said unequivocally hateful things.

[Fortybox]

I'm not "triggered" by anything, but that is some common denominator-level bullshit that viewers of an outlet like Fox News would congratulate you on for that sick burn.

https://www.adfontesmedia.com/

I'll trust the Nielson ratings over some cherry picked website. Fox News is consistently at the top, week after week, month by month, year by year.

[Alashir]

Yeah, I have visited this site like once a year over the last 5-7 years and it gets worse every time. I have plenty more I could have said to Tgo01 in particular, but I get that it isn't worth the effort because I can see that he spends way too much time here saying some very outlandish shit. The same familiar people who were a drag on this place 10-15 years ago are still here today, and I have certainly noticed in the last week or whatever that I've been casually glancing at the posts that the majority of conversation is extremist Fox News level propaganda. It's wild, man.

I'm a RN and halfway into my masters of public health with a focus in epidemiology - I understand the desire to reach out. As you said the same ding dongs 15 years ago are still here now, however they're even more outspoken which IMO is largely due to simu continuing to focus on whales and turn gsiv into a pay to play/win scenario where it continues to bury itself deeper every day as a niche product. I think if we focus our energy on anything it should be stressing the ideas of decreasing the microtrans and broadening the playerbase to simu which in turn would create an environment that's not quite as hospitable for the current band of baby hitlers who dwell/lurk/nest here.

[Fortybox]

I am sourcing this from "Activity Stream" and not going to go very deep...

http://forum.gsplayers.com/showthread.php?116004-Things-that-made-you-Facepalm-today-(Political-Version)&p=2162048#post2162048

http://forum.gsplayers.com/showthread.php?125443-Portland&p=2162040#post2162040

http://forum.gsplayers.com/showthread.php?116004-Things-that-made-you-Facepalm-today-(Political-Version)&p=2162036#post2162036

http://forum.gsplayers.com/showthread.php?125443-Portland&p=2162010#post2162010

http://forum.gsplayers.com/showthread.php?125443-Portland&p=2162004#post2162004

http://forum.gsplayers.com/showthread.php?116004-Things-that-made-you-Facepalm-today-(Political-Version)&p=2161997#post2161997

These might not be the most powerful examples, but they are all examples from the last 24 hours alone.

What classifies these posts as hate speech?

[Solkern]

I'll trust the Nielson ratings over some cherry picked website. Fox News is consistently at the top, week after week, month by month, year by year.

Yeah, ratings mean what exactly? The more people that watch it, it means that information is true?

[Bobmuhthol]

I'll trust the Nielson ratings over some cherry picked website. Fox News is consistently at the top, week after week, month by month, year by year.Uh, I think you need to revisit the topic being discussed here? I in no way, at no point, attempted to say Fox News was not the most popular cable news network. That's not even relevant to anything being discussed, unless you want to put forth the argument that "most popular" implies "not biased," or "not common denominator news."

[Suppa Hobbit Mage]

Like I said, they aren't the worst things people are saying, they're just the most recent things. I didn't make the original statement about hate speech, and I'm not going to try to identify prior examples of it, but there is a definite subtone of it here. If I really cared, I could find people defending politicians who have said unequivocally hateful things.

I find myself having difficulty responding to this. I'd say this board has a handful of far left and far right viewpoints. I think if you look for it, you'll always find subtones. Other than T4F being a racist bigot, I don't think anyone else is as overt about it.

[Fortybox]

Yeah, ratings mean what exactly? The more people that watch it, it means that information is true?

Oh I see. So Hillary "winning" the popular vote means she should have been President but people voting with their viewership to a network you don't like doesn't matter?

[Bobmuhthol]

I find myself having difficulty responding to this. I'd say this board has a handful of far left and far right viewpoints. I think if you look for it, you'll always find subtones. Other than T4F being a racist bigot, I don't think anyone else is as overt about it.I wrote a response to this but it was blocked by a firewall for "containing HTML"? The summary is that people might not be overtly racist, but they are outspokenly (what I consider) hateful, regardless of the target.

[Bobmuhthol]

Oh I see. So Hillary "winning" the popular vote means she should have been President but people voting with their viewership to a network you don't like doesn't matter?Hahaha what the fuck how did you turn this into a Hillary topic? Now that is truly some Fox News shit.

[Fortybox]

Uh, I think you need to revisit the topic being discussed here? I in no way, at no point, attempted to say Fox News was not the most popular cable news network. That's not even relevant to anything being discussed, unless you want to put forth the argument that "most popular" implies "not biased," or "not common denominator news."

You labelled the conversations here as "extremist Fox News level propaganda." So yes, it is relevant when your slander of a news station just doesn't hold weight to the ratings the network receives. If it really was extremist propaganda the network wouldn't be as popular as it is.

[Fortybox]

Hahaha what the fuck how did you turn this into a Hillary topic? Now that is truly some Fox News shit.

Because the narrative from the left is a "do what we say, not as we do" mantra.

Just like rioting = ok (don't worry about covid-19) but congregating at church = bad (we could spread the virus!).

[Bobmuhthol]

You labelled the conversations here as "extremist Fox News level propaganda." So yes, it is relevant when your slander of a news station just doesn't hold weight to the ratings the network receives. If it really was extremist propaganda the network wouldn't be as popular as it is.
1. It's libel if I wrote it.
2. It's neither libel nor slander if it's true.
3. An opinion being popular among a base that is more poorly educated, blue collar or retired, white Republicans than anything else (https://pos.org/whos-watching-a-look-at-the-demographics-of-cable-news-channel-watchers/), and really among any group ever, doesn't make that opinion correct or not extreme. Fox News literally put up a graph showing the relationship between black men being murdered and the return of the S&P 500 immediately afterward.

[Bobmuhthol]

Because the narrative from the left is a "do what we say, not as we do" mantra.

Just like rioting = ok (don't worry about covid-19) but congregating at church = bad (we could spread the virus!).Are you arguing with me or your straw man fantasy concept of what "the left" is? How is this relevant? What does this have to do with Hillary? What does this have to do with bias across media outlets?

[Solkern]

Are you arguing with me or your straw man fantasy concept of what "the left" is? How is this relevant? What does this have to do with Hillary? What does this have to do with bias across media outlets?

Bob, this is guy thinks America and Sweden are exactly the same and we should model everything after Sweden because they have smaller Covid cases and death counts than we do. That’s the type of person you are arguing with right now.

[Teveriel]

tgo and crew are well known racist right wing bigots - why bother debating them? its a bummer theyve destroyed the boards and this site is now 70% right wing hate speech and 30% merchanting but arguing with them isn't going to change that.

I think this has more to do with most out-of-game discourse broadly moving to Discord, on both official and unofficial channels, than with the PC's content or who's posting it. Traditional forum sites have become a pretty outdated medium.


Are you arguing with me or your straw man fantasy concept of what "the left" is? How is this relevant? What does this have to do with Hillary? What does this have to do with bias across media outlets?

I just wish I could see the look on your face when you realize you've been arguing with an actual parrot this whole time.

[Tgo01]

The number of deaths per week has literally been increasing this entire time, what the fuck are you talking about?

I said they haven't exploded like they did in NY earlier in the year that everyone keeps saying would happen.


You can't compare number of deaths in NYC to number of deaths in Texas for a few different reasons

Explain to me the reasons for why Texas would have 78% of the cases NY has but only have 12% of the deaths.

[Tgo01]

2. Tgo01 thinks that deaths in Texas are not alarmingly higher today than they were a month ago. This belief is false.

A month ago the number of deaths in Texas was 48, yesterday it was 75, today it's at 33.

The highest deaths on record for Texas was 162 on July 17th. Yes tripling the number of deaths is a bad sign, but it took a month for that to happen and this will be two days in a row now that the number was less than half that amount.

Don't act like people weren't saying Texas was going to be the next NY, now when that argument is no longer convenient let's act like going from 48 to 162 in a month is the end of the world while NY had 1k+ deaths a single day with far fewer cases.

[Fortybox]

Bob, this is guy thinks America and Sweden are exactly the same and we should model everything after Sweden because they have smaller Covid cases and death counts than we do. That’s the type of person you are arguing with right now.

:lol:

Still triggered I see. You were wrong then and still are now.

[Tgo01]

Yeah, I have visited this site like once a year over the last 5-7 years and it gets worse every time. I have plenty more I could have said to Tgo01 in particular, but I get that it isn't worth the effort because I can see that he spends way too much time here saying some very outlandish shit. The same familiar people who were a drag on this place 10-15 years ago are still here today, and I have certainly noticed in the last week or whatever that I've been casually glancing at the posts that the majority of conversation is extremist Fox News level propaganda. It's wild, man.

Oh gee what a surprise, Bob is such an intellectual midget that he's already on the "Everyone here who disagrees with me is a racist Fox news watching moron!"

That didn't take long. You've never been an intelligent person, Bob, you just like to pretend.

[Tgo01]

I am sourcing this from "Activity Stream" and not going to go very deep...

http://forum.gsplayers.com/showthread.php?116004-Things-that-made-you-Facepalm-today-(Political-Version)&p=2162048#post2162048

http://forum.gsplayers.com/showthread.php?125443-Portland&p=2162040#post2162040

http://forum.gsplayers.com/showthread.php?116004-Things-that-made-you-Facepalm-today-(Political-Version)&p=2162036#post2162036

http://forum.gsplayers.com/showthread.php?125443-Portland&p=2162010#post2162010

http://forum.gsplayers.com/showthread.php?125443-Portland&p=2162004#post2162004

http://forum.gsplayers.com/showthread.php?116004-Things-that-made-you-Facepalm-today-(Political-Version)&p=2161997#post2161997

These might not be the most powerful examples, but they are all examples from the last 24 hours alone.

All of your examples are laughable, but this one?


Wait... there are normal people who aren't sure if BLM is a corrupt organization?

Really? You consider that "right wing hate speech"? It's okay, buttercup. The mean words can't hurt you.

[Tgo01]

You gotta love the left wing talking points of the PC.

-If you don't agree with me you're racist
-If you don't agree with me then it's a waste of time to even talk with you
-If you don't agree with me you are ruining the PC

This is like the arguments of 90% of the left wing posters on this forum. When critical thinking skills are in short supply just accuse the other person of being a racist who isn't worth your time.

But they'll continue to sit there in their ivory towers sucking one another off over how more triggered they are than the other person.

[Tgo01]

Want me to start posting receipts? Uncle tom jokes? Black History month jokes? Irsraeli jokes? Palestinian jokes?

At least you recognize they are jokes. So, what are you saying? We can't make jokes about Israel, Black History Month, or Palestinians? Those are now off limits? What else is off limits? I need to know so I can better myself by walking on as many eggshells as possible.

[Geijon]

Walk it back. You weren't joking. It's 8+ years of trolling. It's all racist shit. It's 1000's of posts from both of you and several of you. You and Parkbandit can't delete fast enough. The internet doesn't forget.

[Tgo01]

Walk it back. You weren't joking. It's 8+ years of trolling. It's all racist shit. It's 1000's of posts from both of you and several of you. You and Parkbandit can't delete fast enough. The internet doesn't forget.

You just said I was joking, now you're saying I wasn't joking? Come on, man, don't do this. You were being so entertaining for a while and now you're just being boring.

[Geijon]

I was being sarcastic. IS THIS A JOKE TO YOU type shit. Is this all funny? Read your own comments.

[Tgo01]

I was being sarcastic. IS THIS A JOKE TO YOU type shit. Is this all funny? Read your own comments.

Geijon, do more humorous shit like this and stop the other trolling you do. I don't know if you're purposefully trying to be funny or it's just a happy accident but more please.

[Fortybox]

I was being sarcastic. IS THIS A JOKE TO YOU type shit. Is this all funny? Read your own comments.

:lol:

He said he ignored Zaoloo on LNet and then a whole bunch of people asked to be on his ignore list. This triggered him.

[Suppa Hobbit Mage]

Nobody agrees with this WHIRLIN. You've posted racist shit for years. If not you, Parkbandit or others that you co-signed. Want me to start posting receipts? Uncle tom jokes? Black History month jokes? Irsraeli jokes? Palestinian jokes?

I bet it turns out for you....

You can't delete the internet bro.

So you think TGO is Whirlin?

Can I see more receipts?
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/proxy/-OTpwPe3HxQpye8QGK28454q9BQDTZaG7m-ru2XxZr3P-hSFbbjs0PYoA5dq1NDR9NLd-dzz11vPBrrrNksGyVBlhWBYulNMUDHnkB0f1Qf0djfdyu_4zc_ EK9w-cGrP1PcMXjcjol8eg-cE5vUoeFG0U5GiuYMFbTE