View Full Version : Future of computers
Xcalibur
09-13-2003, 11:14 PM
I love making useless topics
Kranar saids somewhere that there was already VERY fast connection, but it was too expensive/not the right time yet..
In 5 years, there will be what, 5,000 mhz with 1 gig of video card, in 10, the double??
Seriously, what can be expected with computers in the very near future?
imported_Kranar
09-13-2003, 11:28 PM
Moore's Law is used to calculate the future speeds of processors.
So right now we have about 3 GHz processors, the frequency of a processor increases by 67 percent per year, so in 5 years we can expect to see 10.1 GHz processors.
RAM doubles every 15 months, and right now 512 is the standard so in 5 years 8 gigs of RAM should be standard. The new G5 Mac's use 8 gigs of RAM right now, so it's not like that far off.
The fastest computer right now is the Tokyo Earth Simulator and that's 40 teraflops, which would roughly be as fast as a 20000 GHz PIV.
Fastest base internet speed is the OC-255 that sends at 1.5 gigs per second. You can always stack it, so if you want a faster connection, just use 2 OC-255 lines or 3, or 4...
Yeah but basically the technology for beasty computers already exists. It's all just a matter of cost, but in 5-10 years from now all the specs I just mentioned will be pretty standard.
Xcalibur
09-13-2003, 11:30 PM
ok simple question o mighty kranar (in the computer sciences, at least)
Necessity of those monsters in the "personnal" uses?
personnal = (later, i imagine) runing your house, electricity, and all those crap (à la back to the future II, i suppose)
imported_Kranar
09-13-2003, 11:45 PM
Yeah, well the big advantage to fast computers are for the programmer.
Back in the days of slow computers and DOS, programmers had spend a lot of time programming hardware directly to make sure that games and applications would run at top notch speed. Nowadays that's no longer as nessecary, so instead of programming being based on technicalities and hardware, programmers can ignore all that and program much more conceptually. They can take a much more open minded and theoretical approach to programming which allows for the possibility of some very new interesting software.
It's really amazing what computers can do and we're honestly now just unlocking their capabilities. Natural Language Processing, artificial intelligence, graphics processing, and well the computer I mentioned earlier is an actual Earth Simulator, they all benefit from fast computers.
You know it may seem weird, but the operating systems of the future WILL be very much like Star Trek. If you have never seen it, you can actually talk to a computer, it's not the smartest thing in the world but I've carried out simple conversations with it before.
Combine that with voice processing and recognition, and you have yourself fully interactive computers that can be used to run your house or do God knows what.
Trinitis
09-14-2003, 01:10 AM
well, I was poking around online designing my own computer from the stuff I could order from websites..and this is what I came up with..
4 - P4 2.0 Ghz processers for a total of 8 Ghz.
4 - 512 MB Ram chips for a total of 2.048 Ghz Ram.
3 - 500 GB hard drives for a total of 1.5 TB
1 - 600 Watt Power supply
2 - DVD-RW's
1 - 3.5 Drive
1 - GeForce FX 256 MB
1 - 20in Flat Screen monitor (HD TV Capable)
1- Sound blaster (don't remember what vrs..)
1 - Mouse and keyboard, both wireless.
1 - Liquid coolent tower with black lights and water dye
all comes up to just under $8,000
-Adredrin
And what do I use this monster for? To play an online, text based game..oh yah baby!
[Edited on 9-14-2003 by LordAdredrin]
I'm still waiting for surgically implanted ethernet.
imported_Kranar
09-14-2003, 10:26 AM
<< 4 - P4 2.0 Ghz processers for a total of 8 Ghz. >>
Doesn't work like that. 4 PIVs at 2.0 GHz isn't the same as 1 PIV at 8 GHz. Infact unless you're running a really massive server, 3 of the 4 PIVs will just go to sleep or pick their nose all day long. In other words, they will be useless and you're computer will just be a regular PIV 2.0 GHz.
CrystalTears
09-14-2003, 10:32 AM
Exactly Kranar. From my understanding processors just distribute the CPU usage from different programs to different CPUs. If you're not really multi-tasking, you're rendering those other processors useless.
Artha
09-14-2003, 10:41 AM
There's a new internet thing being developed that can send an entire movie in about a second. Best of all, it's software, so current servers wouldn't even need to be replaced.
imported_Kranar
09-14-2003, 10:50 AM
<< 512 MB Ram chips for a total of 2.048 GB Ram >>
Oh and to be picky, and to educate <snicker>, 1024 MB RAM is exactly 1.000... GB of RAM. 2.048 GB of RAM would be 2097.152 MB of RAM.
It's due to the fact that 1 KB is 1024 B, 1 MB is 1024 KB, 1 GB is 1024 MB, so on so forth, and that has to do with the binary representation of numbers.
That's useful for when you're downloading big files, if your downloading a file that's 715,000 KB, and you're worried that it won't fit on your 700 MB CD, well worry not because that 715,000 KB file is 698 MB. So download and burn away...
[Edited on 9-14-2003 by Kranar]
CrystalTears
09-14-2003, 10:52 AM
Hey Kranar, I think you're going to break your fine toothed comb if you keep that up. :D
imported_Kranar
09-14-2003, 10:53 AM
Anything but my comb! ANYTHING!
CrystalTears
09-14-2003, 11:22 AM
There are 10 types of people in the world. Those who understand binary, and those who do not.
LOL! I love it!
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