Spell failure funny

[Dazmar]

Really, whats the odds of rolling the same number twice in a row..

>mana spellup
[Spell Hindrance for a quilted leather arming coat is 4% with current Armor Use skill, d100= 4]
Your armor prevents the spell from working correctly.
Cast Roundtime 3 Seconds.
>mana spellup
[Spell Hindrance for a quilted leather arming coat is 4% with current Armor Use skill, d100= 4]
Your armor prevents the spell from working correctly.
Cast Roundtime 3 Seconds.
>snort
You make a horrendous warthog-like noise.

[Tgo01]

Really, whats the odds of rolling the same number twice in a row..

1 in 100.

[drauz]

1 in 100.

I think its about .01% chance actually or 1 in 10k

[Tgo01]

I think its about .01% chance actually or 1 in 10k

Depends how you look at it.

What are the chances of rolling exactly 4 each time? Yeah, 1 in 10k sounds right.

But if you roll a 4 and then ask "What are the chances of rolling a 4 again?" the answer is 1 in 100.

Mister 6 million karma hath spoken.

[drauz]

Depends how you look at it.

What are the chances of rolling exactly 4 each time? Yeah, 1 in 10k sounds right.

But if you roll a 4 and then ask "What are the chances of rolling a 4 again?" the answer is 1 in 100.

Mister 6 million karma hath spoken.

No it doesn't. The chance to roll a 4 twice in a row is 1 in 10k. No matter how you look at it.

Mr. 2,792,253 rep hath corrected you.

[Tgo01]

No it doesn't. The chance to roll a 4 twice in a row is 1 in 10k. No matter how you look at it.

Mr. 2,792,253 rep hath corrected you.

No no no.

Well, okay, yes yes yes but with a caveat.

The chances of rolling a 4 twice in a row is 1 in 10k, but really we're not questioning "What are the chances of rolling a 4 twice in a row" because that's such an arbitrary number to pick, we're focusing on that because that's what he rolled.

The real question is "Now that I have rolled a 4, what are the chances of rolling a 4 again?" In which case the answer is 1 in 100.

Mr. Over Double Your Rep has once again commanded.

[drauz]

No no no.

Well, okay, yes yes yes but with a caveat.

The chances of rolling a 4 twice in a row is 1 in 10k, but really we're not questioning "What are the chances of rolling a 4 twice in a row" because that's such an arbitrary number to pick, we're focusing on that because that's what he rolled.

The real question is "Now that I have rolled a 4, what are the chances of rolling a 4 again?" In which case the answer is 1 in 100.

Mr. Over Double Your Rep has once again commanded.


Really, whats the odds of rolling the same number twice in a row..

The answer to his question is 1 in 10k.

you're:


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V3y3QoFnqZc

[Tgo01]

The answer to his question is 1 in 10k.

you're:


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V3y3QoFnqZc

But the question is flawed. The question should be "What are the chances of rolling the same number again?"

It's like those conspiracy theorists who point out all of the similarities between the Lincoln assassination and the Kennedy assassination. One of those similarities being they were both shot on a Friday.

"What are the chances of BOTH presidents being shot on a Friday?!"

Well Lincoln was shot on a Friday first, obviously, so now the question is "If Kennedy is going to be assassinated too what are the chances of him being assassinated on a Friday too?"

The answer is 1 in 7.

Unless Friday has some sort of significance other than the current day of the week then it doesn't really matter what day of the week Lincoln was shot on, it just matters that the chances of Kennedy being shot on a Friday also is 1 in 7.

Likewise the number 4 has no significance other than that happened to be what he rolled, so now the question is "What are the chances of rolling a 4 again?"

Which is 1 in 100.

/mic drop

[drauz]

But the question is flawed. The question should be "What are the chances of rolling the same number again?"

It's like those conspiracy theorists who point out all of the similarities between the Lincoln assassination and the Kennedy assassination. One of those similarities being they were both shot on a Friday.

"What are the chances of BOTH presidents being shot on a Friday?!"

Well Lincoln was shot on a Friday first, obviously, so now the question is "If Kennedy is going to be assassinated too what are the chances of him being assassinated on a Friday too?"

The answer is 1 in 7.

Unless Friday has some sort of significance other than the current day of the week then it doesn't really matter what day of the week Lincoln was shot on, it just matters that the chances of Kennedy being shot on a Friday also is 1 in 7.

Likewise the number 4 has no significance other than that happened to be what he rolled, so now the question is "What are the chances of rolling a 4 again?"

Which is 1 in 100.

/mic drop

Yes, the answer to a different question is 1 in 100. The answer to the question asked is 1 in 10k.

Not to mention your whole explanation is wrong, but thats another story.

http://i.imgur.com/091uA0J.gif

[Tgo01]

Yes, the answer to a different question is 1 in 100.

Finally! Progress.

[drauz]

Finally! Progress.

Now if I could just get you to admit you're wrong, hell would freeze over.

[Tgo01]

Now if I could just get you to admit you're wrong, hell would freeze over.

But I'm not wrong :O

The original question was flawed so I had to fix the flawed question so we could arrive at the correct answer.

Honestly I've done the PC a service today and I should be commended for it.

[drauz]

But the question is flawed. The question should be "What are the chances of rolling the same number again?"

It's like those conspiracy theorists who point out all of the similarities between the Lincoln assassination and the Kennedy assassination. One of those similarities being they were both shot on a Friday.

"What are the chances of BOTH presidents being shot on a Friday?!"

Well Lincoln was shot on a Friday first, obviously, so now the question is "If Kennedy is going to be assassinated too what are the chances of him being assassinated on a Friday too?"

The answer is 1 in 7.

Unless Friday has some sort of significance other than the current day of the week then it doesn't really matter what day of the week Lincoln was shot on, it just matters that the chances of Kennedy being shot on a Friday also is 1 in 7.

Likewise the number 4 has no significance other than that happened to be what he rolled, so now the question is "What are the chances of rolling a 4 again?"

Which is 1 in 100.

/mic drop

Let me answer this seriously.

Your reply assumes 1 die has already been thrown. If the question had been I've rolled a 4, what are my chances of rolling a 4 on this next throw. The answer would be 1 in 100. Now if you ask I am about to roll this die twice, what are the chances I get the same number on both throws ( the question asked). The answer is 1 in 10k.

[drauz]

But I'm not wrong :O

The original question was flawed so I had to fix the flawed question so we could arrive at the correct answer.

Honestly I've done the PC a service today and I should be commended for it.

No, its not flawed. He wanted to know the probability of rolling the same number twice. There is no flaw in the question, only in how you received it.

https://media3.giphy.com/media/WXtccLGTLB1NS/giphy.gif

[Tgo01]

Your reply assumes 1 die has already been thrown. If the question had been I've rolled a 4, what are my chances of rolling a 4 on this next throw. The answer would be 1 in 100. Now if you ask I am about to roll this die twice, what are the chances I get the same number on both throws ( the question asked). The answer is 1 in 10k.

But that's why the question is flawed. The question should be what are the chances of rolling a 4 again because the original roll result is moot.

ipso facto

[Tgo01]

No, its not flawed. He wanted to know the probability of rolling the same number twice. There is no flaw in the question, only in how you received it.

Well clearly we're just going to have to agree that I am right.

[drauz]

But that's why the question is flawed. The question should be what are the chances of rolling a 4 again because the original roll result is moot.

ipso facto

No, its not moot. You remove like 90% of the outcomes if you disregard the first roll.

You're as bad at math as I am at the English language.

[drauz]

Well clearly we're just going to have to agree that I am right.

I agree, I am right that you are wrong.

https://media3.giphy.com/media/l0HlvD4gcslXmJSq4/giphy.gif

[Tgo01]

No, its not moot. You remove like 90% of the outcomes if you disregard the first roll.

Ah ha! But would we be having this argument if he rolled a 4 then a 3, even though both rolls would have resulted in a spell failure? Hence the first roll is moot.

[drauz]

Ah ha! But would we be having this argument if he rolled a 4 then a 3, even though both rolls would have resulted in a spell failure? Hence the first roll is moot.

https://media2.giphy.com/media/AckmGL4e1i7M4/giphy.gif

Also:

http://www.idioms4you.com/img/angif-move-the-goalposts-def.gif

[Tgo01]

https://media2.giphy.com/media/AckmGL4e1i7M4/giphy.gif

Also:

http://www.idioms4you.com/img/angif-move-the-goalposts-def.gif

.

https://i.makeagif.com/media/3-06-2015/fcrqak.gif

[Tgo01]

http://cf.chucklesnetwork.com/items/6/9/7/4/original/not-sure-if-im-right-or-if-youre-wrong.jpg

[Ososis]

Using logic to any degree in an argument is pretty disrespectful to everything the PC stands for. You should both be ashamed.

[drauz]

.

https://i.makeagif.com/media/3-06-2015/fcrqak.gif

https://media3.giphy.com/media/3Ha8uOcJmlQl2/giphy.gif

[Ososis]

.

https://i.makeagif.com/media/3-06-2015/fcrqak.gif

Appreciate it :)

[Tgo01]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fKiujBCKXZY

[drauz]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fKiujBCKXZY

http://i.imgur.com/3LI063d.jpg

[Tgo01]

http://i.imgur.com/3LI063d.jpg

http://e.lvme.me/2tkqra9.jpg

[drauz]

https://media2.giphy.com/media/Kz420G0aGw5mU/giphy.gif

[Tgo01]

https://media2.giphy.com/media/Kz420G0aGw5mU/giphy.gif

http://www.moviesongs.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/top-gun-danger-zone.jpg

[drauz]

http://i.gifntext.com/8hDCyqKR7U-tgo01.gif

[Tgo01]

http://www.funnycenter.net/wp-content/uploads/CPR-fail-Girls-Logic.gif

[drauz]

http://www.funnycenter.net/wp-content/uploads/CPR-fail-Girls-Logic.gif

Grats on your boyfriend!

[Tgo01]

http://orig15.deviantart.net/eefe/f/2009/349/a/e/don__t_be_hatin_by_werelover969.jpg

[Dazmar]

Unbelievable. my next fail was during hunting and it was a 4. I laughed about it. Then I get back to town and roll a 4 again. that is four 4's in a row.

prep 515
cast

[Script finished!]
You recite a series of mystical phrases while raising your hands, invoking Rapid Fire...
Your spell is ready.
>You gesture.
[Spell Hindrance for a quilted leather arming coat is 4% with current Armor Use skill, d100= 4]
Your armor prevents the spell from working correctly.
Cast Roundtime 3 Seconds.
(Forcing stance down to guarded)

[Tgo01]

Unbelievable. my next fail was during hunting and it was a 4. I laughed about it. Then I get back to town and roll a 4 again. that is four 4's in a row.

prep 515
cast

[Script finished!]
You recite a series of mystical phrases while raising your hands, invoking Rapid Fire...
Your spell is ready.
>You gesture.
[Spell Hindrance for a quilted leather arming coat is 4% with current Armor Use skill, d100= 4]
Your armor prevents the spell from working correctly.
Cast Roundtime 3 Seconds.
(Forcing stance down to guarded)

1 in 100 each time.

[Dazmar]

well the first two were in a row. one after the other. The next two were spaced out with no other failures between them. At any rate. heh

[drauz]

http://orig15.deviantart.net/eefe/f/2009/349/a/e/don__t_be_hatin_by_werelover969.jpg

http://i.imgur.com/9THsPhe.gif

[drauz]

1 in 100 each time.

50% of the time, you're right all the time.

[Tgo01]

50% of the time, you're right all the time.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pjvQFtlNQ-M

[drauz]

YOU DON'T MAKE SENSE!

[Tgo01]

YOU DON'T MAKE SENSE!

https://s-media-cache-ak0.pinimg.com/736x/ed/5b/bc/ed5bbc20265fb7b13f8c2602faae94ad--still-love-you-i-love.jpg

[drauz]

https://s-media-cache-ak0.pinimg.com/736x/ed/5b/bc/ed5bbc20265fb7b13f8c2602faae94ad--still-love-you-i-love.jpg

https://media3.giphy.com/media/aIKBDJM2Rb86Q/giphy.gif

[Tgo01]

https://media3.giphy.com/media/aIKBDJM2Rb86Q/giphy.gif

https://zuts.files.wordpress.com/2015/01/noes2c.gif

[drauz]

https://zuts.files.wordpress.com/2015/01/noes2c.gif

https://media.giphy.com/media/wR8Zkm3MbUoZG/giphy.gif

[Tgo01]

https://media.giphy.com/media/wR8Zkm3MbUoZG/giphy.gif

http://persephonemagazine.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/08/david-tennant-doctor-who-OhYES.gif

[drauz]

http://persephonemagazine.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/08/david-tennant-doctor-who-OhYES.gif

https://media0.giphy.com/media/ktKMXkXRVbMoo/giphy.gif

[Tgo01]

https://media0.giphy.com/media/ktKMXkXRVbMoo/giphy.gif

http://cdn4.gurl.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/12/bad-kiss_o_GIFSoup.com_.gif

[Gelston]

I agree with Drauz. My rep + his rep > your rep.

[Tgo01]

I agree with Drauz. My rep + his rep > your rep.

My rep times infinity > your rep + drauz's rep.

[drauz]

http://cdn4.gurl.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/12/bad-kiss_o_GIFSoup.com_.gif

http://i.imgur.com/HoUwFYB.gif

[Gelston]

My rep times infinity > your rep + drauz's rep.

No. That isn't how we do it. You fail and must delete your account and start at 0 rep.

[drauz]

I agree with Drauz. My rep + his rep > your rep.

http://i.imgur.com/YBLj5BW.gif