BLZrizz
05-19-2016, 04:58 PM
I've seen a couple of cases now where bidders have accused sellers of shill bids. Recent cases have the bidders claiming shill bids after a "twice" call, or on the last call before "sold."
http://forum.gsplayers.com/showthread.php?101747-7x-max-light-UAC-handwraps-blessable-zested/
http://forum.gsplayers.com/showthread.php?102095-an-elven-runestaff-harness
I found this issue rather interesting and thought I'd analyze it a bit. Let's make some assumptions:
1. Bidding on "last call" is a known tactic applied by bidders as it frustrates other bidders, making it less likely others will offer a counter.
2. A seller wants MORE competing bids, as it is in their best interest to achieve a higher price and competing bids are the only way to achieve this.
3. Last call bids are closely scrutinized, and all parties are aware that the last call bid, especially from a manufactured account, has some (possibly high) likelihood of chilling further bids.
Given the above, it seems odd that a bidder would accuse sellers of shill bidding solely because of last call bids, as it frustrates most, if not all, of the seller's incentives. To me, if a seller wanted to shill bid, it would seem to be much more effective (or at least less risky) to do it early on in the auction as opposed to on last call. That is, unless the seller didn't care about being the final shill bidder, i.e. terminating the auction with the item still in their possession. This seems to be a risky play, given the PC is also quite the l'archive de provenance, and the seller risks getting stuck with the item or sullying their reputation.
I'd be interested in hearing everyone's thoughts on this.
http://forum.gsplayers.com/showthread.php?101747-7x-max-light-UAC-handwraps-blessable-zested/
http://forum.gsplayers.com/showthread.php?102095-an-elven-runestaff-harness
I found this issue rather interesting and thought I'd analyze it a bit. Let's make some assumptions:
1. Bidding on "last call" is a known tactic applied by bidders as it frustrates other bidders, making it less likely others will offer a counter.
2. A seller wants MORE competing bids, as it is in their best interest to achieve a higher price and competing bids are the only way to achieve this.
3. Last call bids are closely scrutinized, and all parties are aware that the last call bid, especially from a manufactured account, has some (possibly high) likelihood of chilling further bids.
Given the above, it seems odd that a bidder would accuse sellers of shill bidding solely because of last call bids, as it frustrates most, if not all, of the seller's incentives. To me, if a seller wanted to shill bid, it would seem to be much more effective (or at least less risky) to do it early on in the auction as opposed to on last call. That is, unless the seller didn't care about being the final shill bidder, i.e. terminating the auction with the item still in their possession. This seems to be a risky play, given the PC is also quite the l'archive de provenance, and the seller risks getting stuck with the item or sullying their reputation.
I'd be interested in hearing everyone's thoughts on this.